Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 011009
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
509 AM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM THE OHIO VALLEY THIS
MORNING TO NEW ENGLAND BY TONIGHT AND BRING WIDESPREAD LIGHT TO
MODERATE SNOW TO THE REGION. THE SNOW WILL QUICKLY TAPER OFF MONDAY
MORNING AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BACK INTO THE GREAT LAKES. A
STRONGER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE CENTRAL GREAT
LAKES TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL SPREAD A WINTRY MIX ACROSS THE REGION
WHICH WILL BRIEFLY CHANGE TO RAIN AS TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE
FREEZING TUESDAY NIGHT. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL THEN MOVE BACK INTO THE
AREA WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

NYZ001-002-010-011-012115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
509 AM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     90           80           50
PRECIP TYPE                      SNOW         SNOW SNOW SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       28           21           24
AM WIND (MPH)                    S  5                      W 18
PM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR         W  5         W 20
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.10         0.14         0.03
PRECIP DURATION                     9           11            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING         4 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               58           96           59
HAINES INDEX                        2            2            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3230           70         5510
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW  8         W 12         W 30
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               25840          840       165300
DISPERSION INDEX                   26            1          165
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-012115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
509 AM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                    100          100           60
PRECIP TYPE                      SNOW         SNOW SNOW SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       29           19           23
AM WIND (MPH)                    S  8                      W 17
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW  7         W  7         W 18
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.19         0.19         0.03
PRECIP DURATION                    12           12            4
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING         4 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               50           98           63
HAINES INDEX                        2            3            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3270          200         5010
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 13         W 14        NW 28
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               42510         2800       140280
DISPERSION INDEX                   43            3          140
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-012115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
509 AM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     90           90           60
PRECIP TYPE                      SNOW         SNOW SNOW SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       30           21           26
AM WIND (MPH)                    S  9                      W 18
PM WIND (MPH)                    S  7      LGT/VAR         W 22
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.11         0.17         0.04
PRECIP DURATION                     9           12            3
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING         5 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               54           96           60
HAINES INDEX                        2            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3170           90         5780
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 11         W  7        NW 33
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               34870          630       190740
DISPERSION INDEX                   35            1          191
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-012115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
509 AM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     90           90           70
PRECIP TYPE                      SNOW         SNOW SNOW SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       26           20           24
AM WIND (MPH)                   SE  9                      W 13
PM WIND (MPH)                    S  9        SW  7         W 18
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.05         0.16         0.07
PRECIP DURATION                     7           12            6
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               57           93           58
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3690           80         7890
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 14        SW 12        NW 31
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               51660          960       244590
DISPERSION INDEX                   52            1          245
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 5.
.TUESDAY...SNOW LIKELY AND FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S.
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN...FREEZING RAIN...SNOW AND SLEET. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
AROUND 12. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 5. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
30S.

WIND MONDAY NIGHT...WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.

$$







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