Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 040829
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
329 AM EST THU FEB 4 2016

.DISCUSSION...

SOME LIMITED LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL BRING VERY MINOR SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN EAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO
TODAY AND TONIGHT. OTHERWISE THE REST OF THE AREA WILL BE MAINLY DRY
WITH TEMPERATURES STILL A LITTLE ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGH THE END OF
THE WEEK. A COLD FRONT WILL BRING A FEW SNOW SHOWERS SATURDAY NIGHT.
MORE ACTIVE WEATHER MAY ARRIVE NEXT WEEK WITH SLOW MOVING LOW
PRESSURE POSSIBLY BRINGING WIDESPREAD LIGHT SNOW TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY FOLLOWED BY ARCTIC AIR LATE IN THE WEEK.

NYZ001-002-010-011-042115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
329 AM EST THU FEB 4 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           40           30
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       37           23           35
AM WIND (MPH)                    W 15                      W  8
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 13         W  6         W 13
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.03         0.01
PRECIP DURATION                                  1            1
PRECIP BEGIN                                 12 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING        11 AM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               57           99           55
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5780         1300         5510
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 15        NW  8         W 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               86700        10400        77140
DISPERSION INDEX                   87           10           77
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-042115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
329 AM EST THU FEB 4 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50           40           30
PRECIP TYPE              SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       35           20           33
AM WIND (MPH)                    W 13                      W 10
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 11         W  7         W 11
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.05         0.04         0.02
PRECIP DURATION                     5            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING         3 PM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               65           98           50
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5170         1290         5600
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 14         W 12         W 15
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               72380        15480        84000
DISPERSION INDEX                   72           15           84
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-042115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
329 AM EST THU FEB 4 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           40           40
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       39           23           36
AM WIND (MPH)                    W 13                     NW  7
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 13        NW  7         W 11
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.02         0.03
PRECIP DURATION                                  1            2
PRECIP BEGIN                                  3 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING         2 PM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               55           98           51
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5550         1110         5940
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 15        NW  9         W 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               83250         9990        83160
DISPERSION INDEX                   83           10           83
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-042115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
329 AM EST THU FEB 4 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     60           30            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       39           17           32
AM WIND (MPH)                    W 13                     NW  7
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 12         W  8         W  9
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.05         0.01         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     4            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     7 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         6 AM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               59           94           52
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4890          250         5580
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 19        NW 11        NW 15
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               92910         2750        83700
DISPERSION INDEX                   93            3           84
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S.
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S.

WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...EAST AROUND 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$


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