Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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681
FNUS51 KBUF 040757
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
357 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.DISCUSSION...

A DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CENTERED OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES WILL
GRADUALLY SETTLE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.
AS A RESULT...WE CAN EXPECT SOMEWHAT UNSETTLED WEATHER OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS...THOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN FAIRLY CLOSE TO NORMAL
LEVELS FOR EARLY MAY.

NYZ001-002-010-011-042115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
357 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30           30           30
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       63           45           64
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                     NE  6
PM WIND (MPH)                   NE  8        NE  5        NE 10
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.01         0.03         0.05
PRECIP DURATION                     1            4            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     3 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               44           94           50
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 3            3            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              7060           70         5710
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              E  8         E 13        NE 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               56480          910       114200
DISPERSION INDEX                   56            1          114
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-042115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
357 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     60           50           40
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS      SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       62           43           61
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                     NE  5
PM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR         E  5         N 11
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.04         0.06         0.09
PRECIP DURATION                     4            4            2
PRECIP BEGIN                    11 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               44           97           56
HAINES INDEX                        4            2            3
LAL                                 4            4            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              8850           70         5750
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S  5         E  8        NE 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               44250          560       103500
DISPERSION INDEX                   44            1          104
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-042115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
357 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     40           40           30
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       64           45           63
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                     NE  5
PM WIND (MPH)                    E  5         E  5         N 10
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.04         0.04         0.05
PRECIP DURATION                     3            4            2
PRECIP BEGIN                    12 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               51           95           52
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 4            3            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              7860           70         5770
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              E 10         E 11        NE 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               78600          770       103860
DISPERSION INDEX                   79            1          104
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-042115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
357 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50           40           30
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS      SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       61           43           65
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                     NE  6
PM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR        NE  8
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.10         0.07         0.03
PRECIP DURATION                     4            4            2
PRECIP BEGIN                    10 AM   CONTINUING        11 AM
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               54           98           47
HAINES INDEX                        3            2            3
LAL                                 4            4            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6250           70         7580
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S  7        SE 12        NE 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               43750          840       106120
DISPERSION INDEX                   44            1          106
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S.

WIND THURSDAY NIGHT...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$



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