Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 301133
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
733 AM EDT SAT JUL 30 2016

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL PRODUCE A PERIOD OF SHOWERS THIS
MORNING AND MIDDAY ACROSS WESTERN NY, WITH SHOWERS AND A FEW
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LASTING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER. ANOTHER MORE POTENT MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE
AND WARM FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY,
BRINGING MORE WIDESPREAD AND BENEFICIAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO
MUCH OF THE REGION. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL LINGER INTO MONDAY BEFORE
DRY WEATHER RETURNS BY TUESDAY.

NYZ001-002-010-011-302100-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
733 AM EDT SAT JUL 30 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     60           70           70
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS        TSTMS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       82           64           79
AM WIND (MPH)                    E  8                      E  5
PM WIND (MPH)                    E  9         E  6        NE  6
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.07         0.07         0.42
PRECIP DURATION                     3            3            8
PRECIP BEGIN                     8 AM         1 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                       3 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               45           93           60
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            4            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6320           70         5490
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              E 10         E 14        NE 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               63200          980        65880
DISPERSION INDEX                   63            1           66
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-302100-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
733 AM EDT SAT JUL 30 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     70           70           70
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       79           60           78
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                    E  6      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.20         0.18         0.40
PRECIP DURATION                     6            7            9
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               46          100           60
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6250           70         5560
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              E  8         E  9        NE  3
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               50000          630        16680
DISPERSION INDEX                   50            1           17
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-302100-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
733 AM EDT SAT JUL 30 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     40           80           80
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS        TSTMS        TSTMS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       82           64           78
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                      E  5
PM WIND (MPH)                   NE  6      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.04         0.17         0.76
PRECIP DURATION                     2            3           12
PRECIP BEGIN                     8 AM         1 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                       5 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               43           94           63
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            4            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6920           70         5360
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NE  7        NE 10         E 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               48440          700        53600
DISPERSION INDEX                   48            1           54
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-302100-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
733 AM EDT SAT JUL 30 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           30           80
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE      SHOWERS        TSTMS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       83           59           76
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                      E  7
PM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR         E  9
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.03         0.77
PRECIP DURATION                                  1           11
PRECIP BEGIN                                  4 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               39          100           52
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 1            3            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              7100           70         6120
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N  4        NE  7         E 15
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               28400          490        91800
DISPERSION INDEX                   28            0           92
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 60S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.

WIND SUNDAY NIGHT...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.

$$



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