Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 301733
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1233 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

.DISCUSSION...
COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE DRAPED FROM THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO
THE OHIO VALLEY WILL PUSH ACROSS OUR REGION THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS
SYSTEM WILL BRING SOME RAIN MAINLY TO AREAS SOUTH OF BUFFALO...
ROCHESTER...AND WATERTOWN TODAY...FOLLOWED BY MORE WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS TONIGHT. IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM...A COLDER AIRMASS
WILL THEN OVERSPREAD THE REGION FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK...
WITH LAKE EFFECT RAIN SHOWERS EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE LAKES THURSDAY
SHIFTING SOUTHWARD AND BECOMING MIXED WITH SNOW FOR THURSDAY NIGHT
AND FRIDAY.

NYZ001-002-010-011-302100-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
1233 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     40           90            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS        TSTMS         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       60           41           45
AM WIND (MPH)                   SE  6                      W 15
PM WIND (MPH)                   SE  8        SW  8         W 17
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.04         0.24         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     2            5
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                       3 PM         6 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               59          100           64
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL)           2010           70         5070
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SE 18         S 11         W 34
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               36180          770       172380
DISPERSION INDEX                   36            1          172
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-302100-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
1233 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     70           90           30
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS        TSTMS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       57           37           41
AM WIND (MPH)                   SE  8                      W 13
PM WIND (MPH)                   SE  8        SW 10         W 14
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.07         0.26         0.07
PRECIP DURATION                     5            6            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM         7 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                       2 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               54          100           61
HAINES INDEX                        2            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL)           2530           70         5460
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SE 23         S 18         W 31
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               58190         1260       169260
DISPERSION INDEX                   58            1          169
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-302100-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
1233 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50           90           30
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS        TSTMS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       57           41           45
AM WIND (MPH)                   SE  6                      W 13
PM WIND (MPH)                   SE  9         S  8         W 14
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.05         0.17         0.04
PRECIP DURATION                     3            6            1
PRECIP BEGIN                     7 AM         9 PM         1 PM
PRECIP END                       4 PM         5 AM   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               66           96           55
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL)           2450           70         6740
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SE 23         S 15         W 32
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               56350         1050       215680
DISPERSION INDEX                   56            1          216
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-302100-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
1233 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     60           90           70
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       53           42           46
AM WIND (MPH)                   SE  6                      W 12
PM WIND (MPH)                   SE 10        SE 11         W 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.07         0.46         0.10
PRECIP DURATION                     4            5            5
PRECIP BEGIN                    10 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               74           93           66
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL)           2390           70         6500
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SE 23        SE 28         W 30
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               54970         1960       195000
DISPERSION INDEX                   55            2          195
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
.FRIDAY...A A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY WITH A A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.
.MONDAY...CLOUDY WITH A A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 40.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S.

WIND THURSDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


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