Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 211011
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
511 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...

LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL WEAKEN LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE
PASSES BY TO THE SOUTH OF OUR NEW YORK. MUCH WARMER AIR WILL ARRIVE
OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK ALONG WITH RAIN SHOWERS AT
TIMES...POTENTIALLY BRINGING A FLOOD RISK TO AREAS WHICH WERE BURIED
BY LAKE EFFECT SNOW. TEMPERATURES WILL THEN TURN COLDER AGAIN FOR
THE SECOND HALF OF NEXT WEEK.

NYZ001-002-010-011-212115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
511 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR       MCLEAR        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0           60
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         RAIN
MAX/MIN TEMP                       28           16           39
AM WIND (MPH)                   NW 11                     SW 16
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  9         W  9        SW 19
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.05
PRECIP DURATION                                               2
PRECIP BEGIN                                              12 PM
PRECIP END                                           CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               51           80           54
HAINES INDEX                        3            4            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6030          230         1670
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 14         W 16        SW 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               84420         3680        26720
DISPERSION INDEX                   84            4           27
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-212115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
511 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     40            0           70
PRECIP TYPE              SNOW SHOWERS         NONE         RAIN
MAX/MIN TEMP                       25           13           38
AM WIND (MPH)                    W 12                     SW 16
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  9        SW 10        SW 20
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.11         0.00         0.05
PRECIP DURATION                     3                         3
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM                     12 PM
PRECIP END                       6 PM                CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               57           88           50
HAINES INDEX                        3            4            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              8200          200          950
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 22        SW 14        SW 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              180400         2800        19950
DISPERSION INDEX                  180            3           20
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-212115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
511 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        CLEAR        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     60            0           40
PRECIP TYPE              SNOW SHOWERS         NONE         RAIN
MAX/MIN TEMP                       28           16           40
AM WIND (MPH)                   NW 14                      S 14
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  9        SW  8        SW 17
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.12         0.00         0.03
PRECIP DURATION                     4                         1
PRECIP BEGIN                     9 AM                      2 PM
PRECIP END                       3 PM                CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               51           84           49
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              7640            0         1840
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 20        SW 11        SW 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              152800            0        25760
DISPERSION INDEX                  153            0           26
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-212115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
511 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR       MCLEAR        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0           40
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE    SNOW/RAIN
MAX/MIN TEMP                       26           17           37
AM WIND (MPH)                   NW 10                      S 13
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 11         W  8         S 14
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.05
PRECIP DURATION                                               1
PRECIP BEGIN                                               3 PM
PRECIP END                                           CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               50           81           51
HAINES INDEX                        3            4            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              7250            0         3310
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 11         W 16        SW 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               79750            0        59580
DISPERSION INDEX                   80            0           60
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S.
.MONDAY...RAIN...WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.

WIND SATURDAY NIGHT...SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$

SMITH





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