Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 241944
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
244 PM EST TUE FEB 24 2015

.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES TONIGHT
BRINGING THE NEXT ROUND OF ACCUMULATING SNOW SHOWERS. ONLY AN INCH
OR TWO IS EXPECTED. COLDER AIR IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WILL HOLD
TEMPERATURES AT LEAST 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY...WITH SOME LAKE EFFECT SNOWS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.

NYZ001-002-010-011-250915-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
244 PM EST TUE FEB 24 2015

                              TONIGHT          WED    WED NIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     70           30           40           30
PRECIP TYPE              SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                        9           13            0           10
AM WIND (MPH)                                 W 17                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 17         W 17         W 10        NW  5
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.07         0.02         0.03         0.03
PRECIP DURATION                     7            2            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 PM   CONTINUING        12 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         3 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               85           64           75           62
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            4            4
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              1730         3560            0         3750
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 26         W 20        NW  3        NE  8
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               44980        71200            0        30000
DISPERSION INDEX                   45           71            0           30
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-250915-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
244 PM EST TUE FEB 24 2015

                              TONIGHT          WED    WED NIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     80           40            0           30
PRECIP TYPE              SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS         NONE SNOW SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                        5           14           -3           10
AM WIND (MPH)                                 W 16                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 16         W 14        NW  8      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.06         0.02         0.00         0.01
PRECIP DURATION                     9            2                         2
PRECIP BEGIN                     7 PM   CONTINUING                      1 PM
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         9 AM                CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               83           62           81           65
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            4            4
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              1520         3230           30         3000
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 25         W 24         W 11        NE  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               38000        77520          330        27000
DISPERSION INDEX                   38           78            0           27
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-250915-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
244 PM EST TUE FEB 24 2015

                              TONIGHT          WED    WED NIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     60           30           40           30
PRECIP TYPE              SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       11           19           -1           10
AM WIND (MPH)                                 W 15                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                    S 15         W 16         W 11      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.04         0.02         0.04         0.02
PRECIP DURATION                     4            1            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     9 PM   CONTINUING         9 PM         1 PM
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         9 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               78           58           76           57
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            4            4
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              1210         4020            0         3120
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S 24         W 20        NW  6        NE  7
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               29040        80400            0        21840
DISPERSION INDEX                   29           80            0           22
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-250915-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
244 PM EST TUE FEB 24 2015

                              TONIGHT          WED    WED NIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     80           50           50            0
PRECIP TYPE              SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                        9           19          -12            7
AM WIND (MPH)                                SW 10                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                    S 16         W 15         W 11      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.06         0.11         0.07         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     6            2            3
PRECIP BEGIN                     9 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING         3 AM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               76           59           99           51
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3            4
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              1020         5420            0         3190
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S 18         W 24        NW  4         N  7
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               18360       130080            0        22330
DISPERSION INDEX                   18          130            0           22
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 5 BELOW.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 11.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
3 BELOW. HIGHS AROUND 19.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 6. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S.
.MONDAY...CLOUDY WITH SNOW LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
11. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S.

WIND THURSDAY NIGHT...EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$

SMITH





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