Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 300815
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
415 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL INTERRUPT THE FINE STRETCH OF AUTUMN
WEATHER WE HAVE BEEN EXPERIENCING RECENTLY. THIS DISTURBANCE WILL BRING
CLOUDS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS TO THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. THERE
WILL BE FAIR WEATHER AND AGAIN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY ON WEDNESDAY
WITH THE SUNSHINE AND PLEASANT WARMTH LINGERING INTO THURSDAY.
A STRONG COLD FRONT IS THEN EXPECTED TO CROSS THE REGION ON
FRIDAY...BRINGING A LIKELIHOOD OF SHOWERS FOLLOWED BY MUCH COOLER
TEMPERATURES FOR THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

NYZ001-002-010-011-302115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
415 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30           30            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       72           53           71
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                     NE  6
PM WIND (MPH)                   NE  5        NE  5        NE  8
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.02         0.02         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     1            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     2 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         6 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               59          100           64
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4260          320         4110
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N  1         E 10         E  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                4260         3200        36990
DISPERSION INDEX                    4            3           37
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-302115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
415 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     60           60            0
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       71           51           71
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.04         0.11         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     2            3
PRECIP BEGIN                     1 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         6 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               53          100           62
HAINES INDEX                        3            2            3
LAL                                 4            4            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4960          540         4940
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW  3        SE  9        SE  8
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               14880         4860        39520
DISPERSION INDEX                   15            5           40
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-302115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
415 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30           40            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       73           55           72
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR         E  5
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.01         0.03         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     0            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     5 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         6 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               56          100           62
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            3            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6170           40         4730
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S  5         E  5         E  8
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               30850          200        37840
DISPERSION INDEX                   31            0           38
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-302115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
415 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       72           51           72
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               61          100           62
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              7430            0         5500
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SE  6         E  8         E  6
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               44580            0        33000
DISPERSION INDEX                   45            0           33
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.

WIND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...WEST AROUND 15 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$







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