Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 281002
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
502 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2014

.DISCUSSION...

IT WILL BE COLD ACROSS THE REGION THIS BLACK FRIDAY WITH SOME LAKE
EFFECT SNOWS FOUND EAST OF BOTH LAKES. THE COLD WEATHER WILL GIVE
WAY TO FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT WARMING DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE
HOLIDAY WEEKEND THOUGH...AS HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB AN AVERAGE
OF 25 DEGREES BETWEEN TODAY AND SUNDAY. THE MODERATING TEMPERATURES
WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY SOME SPOTTY MIXED PRECIPITATION SATURDAY THEN
SOME SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS FOR SUNDAY. COLD WEATHER WILL RETURN FOR
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

NYZ001-002-010-011-282115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
502 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30           30           40
PRECIP TYPE                  FLURRIES SNOW SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       29           20           40
AM WIND (MPH)                    W 13                      S  8
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 11        SW  5         S  9
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.01         0.03
PRECIP DURATION                     4            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING         3 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               55           93           61
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6030          520         3210
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 18         W  9        SW 24
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              108540         4680        77040
DISPERSION INDEX                  109            5           77
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-282115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
502 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50           30           30
PRECIP TYPE              SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       25           19           39
AM WIND (MPH)                    W 11                      S 10
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 10        SW  6         S 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.06         0.01         0.02
PRECIP DURATION                     6            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING         1 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               58           87           59
HAINES INDEX                        4            2            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6310         1040         2710
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 19        SW 17        SW 27
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              119890        17680        73170
DISPERSION INDEX                  120           18           73
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-282115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
502 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     40           30           30
PRECIP TYPE                      SNOW SNOW SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       30           20           39
AM WIND (MPH)                    W 14                      S  8
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 11        SW  5         S 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.09         0.00         0.02
PRECIP DURATION                     8            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM         5 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                       5 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               55           88           58
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6900          460         2820
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 19         W 11         S 23
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              131100         5060        64860
DISPERSION INDEX                  131            5           65
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-282115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
502 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50           50           40
PRECIP TYPE                      SNOW SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       29           16           34
AM WIND (MPH)                   NW  8                     SE  8
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  9         W  5        SE 11
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.15         0.07         0.03
PRECIP DURATION                    11            5            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING         9 AM
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               60           94           56
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6960         1580         3750
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 14        SW 11         S 11
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               97440        17380        41250
DISPERSION INDEX                   97           17           41
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S.

WIND SATURDAY NIGHT...SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$

RSH





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