Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 200914
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
514 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE RIDGED OVER NEW YORK THIS MORNING WILL SLIDE OFF TO
THE EAST TODAY. CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE AND LOWER TODAY
AHEAD OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING EAST ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES WITH
SHOWERS LATER TODAY. COOL TEMPERATURES AND SHOWERY WEATHER WILL
PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE COMING WEEK AS THIS SYSTEM SLOWLY
CROSSES THE LOWER GREAT LAKES.

NYZ001-002-010-011-202115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
514 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30           90           90
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       56           46           53
AM WIND (MPH)                    S 10                      W  6
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 13         S 13         N 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.02         0.24         0.20
PRECIP DURATION                     1           11           12
PRECIP BEGIN                     4 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               49           97           76
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4870          870         3280
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 18        SW 10         N 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               87660         8700        45920
DISPERSION INDEX                   88            9           46
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-202115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
514 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30           90           90
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       55           43           52
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW 11                      W  5
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 12         S 10        NW  9
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.01         0.27         0.22
PRECIP DURATION                     1           11           12
PRECIP BEGIN                     5 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               51           98           73
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4950          190         5180
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 17         S 14         N  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               84150         2660        46620
DISPERSION INDEX                   84            3           47
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-202115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
514 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           90           90
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       58           46           56
AM WIND (MPH)                    S  9                      S  6
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 10         S  9         N  9
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.22         0.18
PRECIP DURATION                                  8           12
PRECIP BEGIN                                  6 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               43           96           71
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6250            0         4930
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 15         S 12         N  7
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               93750            0        34510
DISPERSION INDEX                   94            0           35
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-202115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
514 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           90           90
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       55           41           55
AM WIND (MPH)                    S  6                      E  6
PM WIND (MPH)                    S  7         S  7        NE  9
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.12         0.09
PRECIP DURATION                                  6           12
PRECIP BEGIN                                  7 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               50           96           67
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6340           10         3770
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 12         S 12         E 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               76080          120        37700
DISPERSION INDEX                   76            0           38
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...LIGHT RAIN AND AREAS OF DRIZZLE. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S.
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN. HIGHS AROUND 50.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S.

WIND TUESDAY NIGHT...NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$







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