Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 100947
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
447 AM EST WED FEB 10 2016

.DISCUSSION...

LOW PRESSURE OVER LAKE ONTARIO WILL SLIDE EASTWARD INTO NEW
ENGLAND TODAY. IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM...A PROGRESSIVELY COLDER
ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...WHILE GENERATING ACCUMULATING LAKE SNOWS TO THE LEE OF
THE GREAT LAKES. THE MOST FRIGID CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON
SATURDAY...WHEN HIGHS WILL LIKELY STRUGGLE TO CLIMB MUCH ABOVE
ZERO...AND WIND CHILLS WILL BE AT DANGEROUSLY LOW LEVELS.

NYZ001-002-010-011-102115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
447 AM EST WED FEB 10 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     80           60           60
PRECIP TYPE                      SNOW SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       29           10           17
AM WIND (MPH)                    W 16                     NW 18
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 16         W 16         W 18
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.10         0.09         0.05
PRECIP DURATION                    10            5            8
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING         6 PM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               66           73           54
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4330          460         6190
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 20         W 25        NW 26
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               86600        11500       160940
DISPERSION INDEX                   87           12          161
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-102115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
447 AM EST WED FEB 10 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     80           70           70
PRECIP TYPE                      SNOW         SNOW         SNOW
MIN/MAX TEMP                       27            7           14
AM WIND (MPH)                    W 15                     NW 17
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 16         W 14        NW 18
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.14         0.12         0.07
PRECIP DURATION                    12           12           12
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               67           77           57
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5660           70         7200
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 27         W 26        NW 29
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              152820         1820       208800
DISPERSION INDEX                  153            2          209
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-102115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
447 AM EST WED FEB 10 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY        MCLDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     80           70           80
PRECIP TYPE                      SNOW         SNOW         SNOW
MIN/MAX TEMP                       33           11           17
AM WIND (MPH)                    W 15                     NW 18
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 16         W 14        NW 19
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.09         0.15         0.09
PRECIP DURATION                    11           12           12
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               63           72           57
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6070          770         6700
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 22         W 26        NW 32
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              133540        20020       214400
DISPERSION INDEX                  134           20          214
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-102115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
447 AM EST WED FEB 10 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     90           60           60
PRECIP TYPE                      SNOW SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       32            6           15
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW  8                     NW 12
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 11         W 11        NW 14
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.18         0.10         0.04
PRECIP DURATION                    12            7            7
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               74           87           54
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4620           70         6470
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W  7         W 20        NW 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               32340         1400       129400
DISPERSION INDEX                   32            1          129
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 10.
.FRIDAY...SNOW. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S.
.SATURDAY...SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH THE DAY.
COLDER. LOWS AROUND 2 BELOW. HIGHS NEAR ZERO.
.SUNDAY...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH THE NIGHT. MOSTLY CLOUDY
WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS AROUND 8 BELOW. HIGHS
AROUND 11.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW. NOT AS COLD. LOWS
AROUND 5. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.

WIND THURSDAY NIGHT...WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


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