Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 210833
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
433 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...

OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACCOMPANY A
COLD FRONT AS IT CROSSES THE AREA TODAY...WITH MUCH COOLER WEATHER
RETURNING FOR TONIGHT AND MONDAY IN ITS WAKE. EXPANSIVE HIGH
PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK AND PROVIDE WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK WITH AN
EXTENDED PERIOD OF FINE EARLY FALL WEATHER...ALONG WITH SLOWLY
WARMING TEMPERATURES.

NYZ001-002-010-011-212115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
433 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     80           50            0
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS      SHOWERS         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       73           49           57
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW 11                     NW 13
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 11        NW 10         W 13
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.29         0.06         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     7            5
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         6 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               65           94           56
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 4            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4370           70         5170
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 18        NW 16         W 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               78660         1120        82720
DISPERSION INDEX                   79            1           83
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-212115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
433 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     80           50           30
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       72           47           55
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW 10                     NW 11
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 10        NW  8        NW 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.26         0.11         0.01
PRECIP DURATION                     7            5            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING        12 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               65           99           61
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            4
LAL                                 4            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5210           70         5140
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 18        NW 14        NW 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               93780          980        87380
DISPERSION INDEX                   94            1           87
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-212115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
433 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     80           50           30
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       75           50           57
AM WIND (MPH)                    S 12                     NW 12
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 10        NW  7        NW 13
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.26         0.07         0.02
PRECIP DURATION                     7            5            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING        12 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               61           98           57
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 4            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5790           70         5300
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 17        NW 13         W 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               98430          910        95400
DISPERSION INDEX                   98            1           95
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-212115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
433 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     80           50           40
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       72           46           56
AM WIND (MPH)                    S 13                     NW  9
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW  8         W  5         W 10
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.30         0.14         0.02
PRECIP DURATION                     6            5            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     8 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING        12 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               64          100           64
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 4            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4510           70         5450
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 18         W 11         W 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               81180          770        87200
DISPERSION INDEX                   81            1           87
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS AROUND 70.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S.

WIND MONDAY NIGHT...WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.

$$







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