Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Cleveland, OH

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000
FXUS61 KCLE 271748
AFDCLE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
148 PM EDT MON JUL 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA FROM THE NORTH TODAY AND
TUESDAY. THIS HIGH WILL SHIFT TO THE EAST COAST ON WEDNESDAY
ALLOWING ANOTHER COLD FRONT TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST. THIS FRONT
WILL CROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN
RETURN FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
ADJUSTED THE CLOUD COVER TO MATCH REALITY. THE PRECIP JUST SOUTH
OF THE AREA SHOULD NOT COME NORTH INTO THE AREA.

ORIGINAL...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTH TODAY.
MAINLY HIGH CLOUDS OVER THE AREA NOW AND EXPECT THESE TO BE
THINNING THROUGH THE MORNING AS THE DRIER AIR MOVES IN. CONCERNED
ABOUT CU DEVELOPMENT TODAY ESPECIALLY INLAND CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
GIVEN RAIN SUNDAY. CU RULE SUGGESTS A FEW HOURS OF BKN CLOUDS
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. STILL THINK ENOUGH SUN FOR PC SO WILL NOT
HAVE HIGHER THAN 60 PERCENT SKY COVER. GIVEN THE WEAK NORTHERLY
FLOW WILL GO CLOSER TO MET HIGHS FOR TODAY WHICH ARE GENERALLY A
DEGREE OR TWO LOWER THAN THE MAV.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
STILL LOOKING LIKE THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK WILL BE GENERALLY
DRY AND INCREASINGLY WARM AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE
OHIO VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES. WEDNESDAY THE UPPER RIDGE BEGINS TO
FLATTEN AS LOW PRESSURE ROTATES THROUGH NRN ONTARIO. THIS WILL
EVENTUALLY DRAG A WEAKENING COLD FRONT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING/NIGHT. WITH MOISTURE INCREASING WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...WILL BEGIN CHANCE POPS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH HIGHEST
CHANCES WEST/NORTHWEST AND A SLIGHT CHANCE EAST OF A KCLE-KMFD
LINE. WILL HAVE CHANCE POPS FOR ALL WEDNESDAY EVENING...DROPPING
OFF IN THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. THURSDAY SHOULD BE A RETURN TO DRY
CONDITIONS WITH THE FRONT AND ASSOCIATED MOISTURE OUT OF THE AREA
AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING. TEMPS SHOULD BE CLOSER TO NORMAL VS
THE UPPER 80S TO NEAR 90 TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
FAIRLY BENIGN WEATHER SHAPING UP FOR THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK.
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA DURING
THE END OF THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND. EXPECTING SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE TO DOMINATE THE FORECAST AREA FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. A
COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST TOWARD THE AREA SUNDAY INTO
SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS FEATURE WILL HAVE LIMITED MOISTURE ASSOCIATED
WITH IT. EXPECTING THIS FEATURE WILL KICK OFF A FEW SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.
OTHERWISE...TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE 80S FOR
HIGHS THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH LOWS IN THE 60S.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE IS CURRENTLY DOMINATING THE WEATHER PATTERN ACROSS
NORTHERN OH AND NW PA. GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS ARE
EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A CHANCE OF
MVFR FOG EXISTS AT MFD...CAK...YNG...AND TOL RIGHT BEFORE SUNRISE BUT
LEFT OFF MENTION IN TAFS DUE TO LOW CONFIDENCE. ANY FOG CHANCE
HINGES ON THE MOISTURE RETURNS ACROSS THE REGION TODAY.
OTHERWISE...CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN VFR THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.

OUTLOOK...SOME NON VFR POSSIBLE FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON TO LATE
THURSDAY MORNING WITH POSSIBLE SHRA/TSRA ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD
FRONT.

&&

.MARINE...
LAKE IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL SLIDE EAST ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT CAUSING WINDS
TO INCREASE FROM THE WEST AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MAY NEED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT BUT WILL DIMINISH FAIRLY QUICKLY THURSDAY.
LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED MUCH OF FRIDAY.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...TK
NEAR TERM...TK/KUBINA
SHORT TERM...TK
LONG TERM...LOMBARDY
AVIATION...SEFCOVIC
MARINE...LOMBARDY


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