Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 250736
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
336 AM EDT SUN SEP 25 2016

.DISCUSSION...CONTINUATION OF DRY CONDITIONS TODAY WITH HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY MONDAY MORNING AS A COLD FRONT TRACKS
ACROSS THE AREA. MUCH COOLER AIR WILL FOLLOW ON TUESDAY, WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS POSSIBLE.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-252115-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
336 AM EDT SUN SEP 25 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN MOSTLY
                    SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3250-3750 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...INCREASING TO 10 TO 15
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (480).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 9 PM UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO SOUTH
                    AROUND 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL NOON...THEN A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 2 PM. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 TO
                    25 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6330-6830 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH...INCREASING TO WEST 30
                    TO 35 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2000).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-252115-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
336 AM EDT SUN SEP 25 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN MOSTLY
                    SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3490-3990 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (480).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2 AM. POP...80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-86 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......140-340 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2 PM...THEN A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. POP...90
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-63 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6120-6620 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    35 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1970).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-252115-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
336 AM EDT SUN SEP 25 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN MOSTLY
                    SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3450-3950 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (440).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2 AM. POP...80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......220-420 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2 PM...THEN A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. POP...90
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO WEST 20
                    TO 25 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400-6900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND
                    30 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2150).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS AROUND 70.

$$

CB


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