Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 070743
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
343 AM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACCOMPANY A COLD FRONT
TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING ACROSS THE REGION WILL THEN RESULT IN
COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS ON WEDNESDAY...WITH MIN RH VALUES FALLING
INTO THE 50S.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-072115-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
343 AM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). PERIODS OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 11 AM. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 2 PM. SCATTERED SHOWERS AFTER 11 AM
                    UNTIL 2 PM. POP...90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTH BY
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4530-5030 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST BY
                    AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (860).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......18 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5310-5810 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (500).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-072115-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
343 AM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 8 AM. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
                    PERIODS OF SHOWERS AFTER 8 AM. POP...80
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-75 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON...THEN...BECOMING NORTH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3960-4460 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTH BY
                    AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1030).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-91 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-67 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5190-5690 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (460).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-072115-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
343 AM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 8 AM...THEN
                    PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND NUMEROUS
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-74 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3510-4010 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    25 MPH THROUGH MID AFTERNOON...THEN...BECOMING
                    NORTH AROUND 15 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1380).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......510-710 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-63 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4830-5330 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 5
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (570).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80.

$$

SF



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