Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 030814
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
414 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.DISCUSSION...DRY AND WARMER CONDITIONS TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
SETTLES ACROSS THE REGION. THIS WILL RESULT IN AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES
OF MIDDLE 60S...YIELDING A MINIMUM AFTERNOON RH AT OR JUST BELOW 40
PERCENT. A COLD FRONT WILL ENTER THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER PERIOD OF RAINFALL DURING THIS
TIME.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-032115-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
414 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
                    8 AM. AREAS OF FROST AFTER 5 AM UNTIL 8 AM. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 7 PM.
                    POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9410-9910 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 0 TO 5 MPH...INCREASING TO WEST 15 TO
                    20 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1830).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2 AM...THEN RAIN SHOWERS.
                    POP...90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-88 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......540-740 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-73 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......43 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO 15
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4560-5060 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (990).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-032115-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
414 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN MOSTLY
                    SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 PM...THEN PARTLY
                    SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 8 AM.
                    AREAS OF FROST AFTER 5 AM UNTIL 8 AM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-37 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE...BECOMING
                    LIGHT...THEN...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH
                    BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9270-9770 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING WEST THROUGH MID
                    AFTERNOON...THEN...INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1540).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 3 AM...THEN RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY. POP...70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-87 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 5
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......43 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTH BY
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1980-2480 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO NORTH
                    20 TO 25 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (620).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-032115-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
414 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
                    8 AM. AREAS OF FROST AFTER 5 AM UNTIL 8 AM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-38 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......36 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9790-10290 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND 15
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1350).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 3 AM...THEN RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY. POP...70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-88 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-75 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......44 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5770-6270 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO NORTH
                    AROUND 30 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1300).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.

$$

JVC



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