Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 311955
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
346 PM EDT FRI JUL 31 2015

.DISCUSSION...SATURDAY WILL BE VERY SIMILAR TO TODAY AS ANOTHER WEAK
TROUGH TRACKS ACROSS MICHIGAN. IT WILL REMAIN WARM...WITH GUSTY WINDS
IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
NORTH OF M-59. A STRONGER SYSTEM WILL THEN WORK ACROSS THE AREA
SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL PROVIDE A MUCH BETTER CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...AND AGAIN PROVIDE GUSTY WINDS.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-011400-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
346 PM EDT FRI JUL 31 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT). POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......SLIGHTLY DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......SLIGHTLY DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 5 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH
                    BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9740-10240 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2090).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 4 AM.
                    POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15-20 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 TO
                    25 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5220-5720 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    25 TO 30 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1700).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-011400-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
346 PM EDT FRI JUL 31 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (35-45 PERCENT). POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 9 AM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...30
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9570-10070 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2030).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    20 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5090-5590 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    30 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1750).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-011400-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
346 PM EDT FRI JUL 31 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 5 MPH
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH...DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-43 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 5 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH
                    BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9380-9880 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2070).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-91 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND
                    5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 TO
                    25 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4510-5010 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    30 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1540).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.

$$

GM/HLO



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