Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 171950
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
343 PM EDT WED SEP 17 2014

.DISCUSSION...
.HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE REGION THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT...HOWEVER...RH VALUES WILL REMAIN GENERALLY ABOVE 50 PERCENT.
THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND CHANCE OF RAIN WILL RETURN ON
SATURDAY AND LAST THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE AND DRY
WEATHER RETURNS ONCE AGAIN FOR THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-181400-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
343 PM EDT WED SEP 17 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-71 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3640-4140 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (460).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......580-780 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4190-4690 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (610).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-181400-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
343 PM EDT WED SEP 17 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......360-560 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN...BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-67 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3330-3830 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (450).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (640).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-181400-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
343 PM EDT WED SEP 17 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-69 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6420-6920 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (590).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......510-710 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-55 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH BY
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH BY
                    AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (460).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S.

$$

DRK






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