Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 212007
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
407 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...SOUTHEASTERN MICHIGAN WILL REMAIN INFLUENCED BY
NORTHERLY FLOW ON WEDNSDAY KEEPING COOL CONDITIONS IN PLACE. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD INTO THE REGION FOR WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY...BRINGING QUIET WEATHER BUT STILL KEEPING TEMPERATURES
BELOW NORMAL.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-221415-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
407 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 5
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (430).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2350-2850 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (34790).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT...THEN...BECOMING LIGHT LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......280-480 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT...THEN...BECOMING WEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH BY
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2120-2620 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 0 TO 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (19280).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-221415-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
407 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2060-2260 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 20 TO 25 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND
                    15 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (17400).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 PM...THEN
                    SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-71 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3010-3510 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (42740).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2190-2690 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (17400).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-221415-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
407 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1350-1550 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2320).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 PM...THEN
                    SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-66 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3350-3850 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (50560).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......180-380 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2640-3140 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (26110).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.

$$

CB



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