Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 271940
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
338 PM EDT SUN JUL 27 2014

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT...WITH HEAVY
RAINFALL AND A CHANCE OF SEVERE STORMS. ANOTHER STRONG COLD FRONT
WILL THEN USHER IN MUCH COOLER AIR BY MONDAY THAT WILL LAST THROUGH
THE END OF THE MONTH.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-281400-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
338 PM EDT SUN JUL 27 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). OCCASIONAL RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    2 AM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 10 TO
                    15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT...THEN...INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL NOON. POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-55 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7390-7890 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1220).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8350-8850 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1700).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-281400-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
338 PM EDT SUN JUL 27 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). OCCASIONAL RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    2 AM...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......360-560 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND
                    20 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 1 PM. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-60 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6750-7250 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1380).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......340-540 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6220-6720 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1090).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-281400-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
338 PM EDT SUN JUL 27 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). OCCASIONAL RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    2 AM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......740-940 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AROUND
                    15 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    UNTIL NOON...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1 PM. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7780-8280 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1550).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......140-340 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND 5
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8520-9020 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 20
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1510).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.

$$

KURIMSKI






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