Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 150747
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
347 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2014

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP THE AREA DRY THROUGH THIS MORNING UNTIL A
COLD FRONT DROPS THROUGH THE REGION IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
THIS FRONT WILL BRING THE ONLY SIGNIFICANT POTENTIAL FOR RAINFALL
THIS WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN DOMINATE THE REGION.
UNSEASONABLY COOL WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH MID WEEK AS WILL
MINIMUM RH VALUES...GENERALLY GREATER THAT 50 PERCENT...AS SURFACE
MOISTURE REMAINS TRAPPED IN THE AREA.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-152115-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
347 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 8 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 8 AM. CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 8 AM UNTIL 2 PM...THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-76 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6460-6960 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND
                    15 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1110).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 10 PM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL
                    11 PM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1 AM. POP...90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1720-1920 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND 5
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5830-6330 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (760).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-152115-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
347 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 8 AM UNTIL 2 PM...THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-77 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7070-7570 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1300).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 10 PM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL
                    2 AM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 3 AM. POP...80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING 5 TO 10 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2150-2350 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (40).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-55 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6250-6750 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (770).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-152115-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
347 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 8 AM UNTIL 2 PM...THEN
                    SHOWERS. POP...100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH
                    THROUGH MID AFTERNOON...THEN...BECOMING WEST
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900-6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1170).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2 AM. POP...100 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......690-890 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-55 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5090-5590 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (660).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.

$$

CB





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