Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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098
FNUS53 KDTX 042000
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
353 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS WILL BE WIDESPREAD WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGHOUT SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN TONIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS ACROSS
THE STATE. THE RESULTING COOL AND MOIST ENVIRONMENT WILL BECOME
SLIGHTLY WARMER AND DRIER DURING THURSDAY BEFORE A MORE SUBSTANTIAL
WARMING TREND GETS UNDERWAY FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL CLIMB INTO THE LOWER TO MID 70S BY SATURDAY BEFORE THE NEXT COLD
FRONT AND CHANCE OF RAIN ARRIVES LATE IN THE DAY AND INTO SATURDAY
NIGHT. COOLER AND SHOWERY CONDITIONS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO LINGER WITH
ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM SUNDAY.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-051400-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
353 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 11 PM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1 AM. POP...70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......660-860 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-50 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7120-7620 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1510).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1-4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING WEST UP TO 5 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AROUND
                    0 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-39 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4440-4940 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (250).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-051400-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
353 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 11 PM. POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......0-10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400-6900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1590).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST UP TO 5
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 0 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-44 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4720-5220 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (420).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-051400-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
353 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 10 PM...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2 AM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AFTER 2 AM UNTIL 4 AM. POP...70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......SLIGHTLY WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......180-380 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20-25 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8020-8520 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2020).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 5
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-43 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8-10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5530-6030 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (660).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.

$$

HLO



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