Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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912
FNUS53 KDTX 211941
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
341 PM EDT THU MAY 21 2015

.DISCUSSION...SUNSHINE TOMORROW AND SATURDAY...WITH MIN RH AS LOW AS
25 PERCENT FOR AREAS WELL INLAND ON FRIDAY...AND IN THE 30S ON
SATURDAY. INCREASING MOISTURE ON SUNDAY WILL HOLD MIN RH VALUES IN
THE 40S...WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AS WE HEAD INTO
SUNDAY NIGHT.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-221415-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
341 PM EDT THU MAY 21 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS. POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........62-68 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......120-320 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO
                    15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-35 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6720-7220 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1150).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST AFTER
                    2 AM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING
                    LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT...THEN...BECOMING SOUTH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7570-8070 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1330).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-221415-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
341 PM EDT THU MAY 21 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 7 AM. POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........66-74 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......440-640 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND
                    10 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-43 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6210-6710 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1090).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST AFTER 2 AM
                    UNTIL 4 AM...THEN WIDESPREAD FROST.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN...BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7180-7680 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1390).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-221415-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
341 PM EDT THU MAY 21 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 7 AM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........73-83 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 10
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-39 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500-7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1230).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST AFTER 2 AM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........77-87 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING
                    LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING EAST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT...THEN...BECOMING SOUTH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-39 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6710-7210 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1080).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.

$$

SF



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