Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 221950
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
345 PM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION TONIGHT...BRINGING BRIEF
INCREASED RH VALUES AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES. THE AIRMASS BEHIND THE
FRONT WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY DRIER FOR SEVERAL DAYS. TEMPS WILL
TREND MUCH COOLER THAN NORMAL FOR SEVERAL DAYS AS WELL. WINDS WILL BE
GUSTY FROM THE NORTH WEDNESDAY /30 MPH/...BUT WILL SETTLE DOWN FOR
THE FOLLOWING DAYS.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-231400-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
345 PM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 9 PM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 5 AM.
                    POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......820-1020 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-52 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 10
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5750-6250 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1000).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-91 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......640-840 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6380-6880 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (730).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-231400-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
345 PM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 9 PM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    5 AM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......180-380 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND
                    10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN...INCREASING TO
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
   24 HR TREND......19 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-63 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4880-5380 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1170).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 5
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......620-820 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-52 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 5
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6060-6560 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (900).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-231400-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
345 PM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 9 PM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND 5
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......360-560 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 9 AM.
                    POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-55 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4690-5190 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1120).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......240-440 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-44 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 5
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5790-6290 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (740).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.

$$

MM






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