Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 281949 CCA
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
330 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

.DISCUSSION...MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL CONSISTENTLY SIT IN THE MID 50S
THROUGHOUT THE WEEK AS LOW PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION. AN UPPER
LEVEL LOW...PRESENTLY OVER THE INDIANA/ILLINOIS BORDER...WILL DRIFT
SOUTH INTO THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY TOMORROW. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL
PUSH THE LOW BACK INTO MICHIGAN LATE THIS WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND.
THE RESULT WILL BE PERIODS OF OFF AND ON SHOWERS. TEMPERATURE
HIGHS WILL STICK IN THE MID 60S THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-291400-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESSE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
330 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    25 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    NOON. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-75 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3240-3740 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1350).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
                    POP...70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1230-1430 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (200).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...70
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........74-81 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2910-3410 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1110).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-291400-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
330 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...INCREASING TO EAST 15
                    TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO EAST
                    AROUND 30 MPH OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    NOON. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........72-79 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 20 TO 25 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND
                    15 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3490-3990 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1020).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
                    POP...70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......970-1170 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (170).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.
                    POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........76-81 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2030-2530 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (830).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-291400-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
330 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 9 PM...THEN RAIN SHOWERS. POP...90
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......580-780 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 20 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER NOON.
                    POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2230-2730 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (850).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.
                    POP...80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......960-1160 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (120).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...80
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2320-2820 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (620).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.

$$

DG



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