Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 210813
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
413 AM EDT MON JUL 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN WILL LINGER NEARBY AS IT SLOWLY
MOVES TO THE EAST TODAY AND TUESDAY. THIS WILL PROMOTE LIGHT BUT
PERSISTENT SOUTH WIND AND A WARMING TREND WITH INCREASING HUMIDITY.
THE NEXT COLD FRONT AND CHANCE OF STORMY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TUESDAY
NIGHT AND INTO WEDNESDAY. BEHIND THIS FRONT WILL BE SOME GUSTY WINDS
ON WEDNESDAY THAT WILL USHER IN LESS HUMID AIR FOR THE END OF THE
WEEK.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-212115-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
413 AM EDT MON JUL 21 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
                    7 AM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000-6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (610).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......680-880 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-52 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4890-5390 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    20 TO 25 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1290).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-212115-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
413 AM EDT MON JUL 21 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
                    7 AM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-52 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6350-6850 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (650).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......520-720 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5470-5970 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 25 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1440).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-212115-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
413 AM EDT MON JUL 21 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
                    7 AM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6770-7270 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 0 TO 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (570).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-47 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5180-5680 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 20 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1290).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.

$$

CB





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