Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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576
FNUS53 KDTX 272015
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
415 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTH INTO CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN
THIS EVENING WILL PROVIDE A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS. HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN BEHIND THE FRONT LATER ON THURSDAY. THIS WILL BRING DRIER
AND SLIGHTLY COOLER WEATHER TO THE AREA FOR THE END OF THE WEEK AND
INTO THE WEEKEND. MINIMUM RH VALUES AROUND 40 PERCENT WILL INCREASE
INTO THE 50 PERCENT RANGE BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-281415-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
415 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 10 PM...THEN A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 11 PM. POP...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......220-420 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 9 AM UNTIL
                    11 AM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7580-8080 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (840).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 11 PM. POP...30
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......260-460 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND
                    10 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-50 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7060-7560 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1020).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-281415-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
415 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 9 PM...THEN CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 11 PM. POP...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). POP...20
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6070-6570 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (730).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). POP...20
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......520-720 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6430-6930 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (970).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-281415-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
415 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). POP...20
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 9 AM UNTIL
                    10 AM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8340-8840 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (860).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 11 PM. POP...40
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......860-1060 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8130-8630 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (940).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS AROUND 80. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.

$$

CB



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