Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 300749
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
349 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

.DISCUSSION...COOL CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST TODAY EVEN AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DROP
THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY...PULLING AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT ACROSS LOWER
MICHIGAN. THIS WILL BRING WINDY CONDITIONS AND ALLOW SHOWERS TO
TURN TO SNOW SHOWERS FRIDAY. MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
BEHIND THE FRONT FOR THE WEEKEND.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-302130-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
349 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 6 PM. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4350-4850 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (54720).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 3 AM...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL
                    7 AM...THEN SHOWERS. POP...80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1580-1780 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2320).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 2 PM...THEN SNOW
                    SHOWERS. POP...90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-68 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO
                    NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7880-8380 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 30 TO 35 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (220460).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-302130-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
349 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 6 PM UNTIL 7 PM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-64 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4190-4690 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (48390).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 7 AM...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY. POP...80
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1990-2190 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (11360).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2 PM. SHOWERS. SNOW SHOWERS AFTER
                    2 PM. POP...90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........70-80 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTH
                    AROUND 15 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN...INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5370-5870 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 30 TO 35 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (200190).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-302130-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
349 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 PM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 7 PM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-55 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4590-5090 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (45800).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 7 AM...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY.
                    POP...80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1460).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS UNTIL
                    5 PM. SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 2 PM. SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AFTER 5 PM. POP...90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-74 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN...BECOMING NORTH AROUND
                    20 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4340-4840 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 20 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 40
                    MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (181130).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND
20 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.

$$

SF



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