Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 201910
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
309 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL REMAIN MINIMAL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD
AS INCREASING MOISTURE LEADS TO REGULAR THUNDERSTORM CHANCES. MINIMUM
AFTERNOON RH VALUES WILL STRUGGLE TO FALL BELOW 60 PERCENT WHILE
WINDS REMAIN BELOW 10 MPH.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-211400-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
309 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 10 PM...THEN A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 1 AM. POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......560-760 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 PM.
                    POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-68 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 0 TO 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (350).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......640-840 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2 PM. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3850-4350 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (380).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-211400-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
309 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 2 AM. POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......640-840 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-68 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4170-4670 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST BY
                    AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (230).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......760-960 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 9 AM...THEN A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 2 PM. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-75 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3560-4060 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (290).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-211400-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
309 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 9 PM...THEN A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
                    POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4240-4740 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (470).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......640-840 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT...THEN...BECOMING NORTHEAST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........1.01-1.50 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2 PM. POP...50
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-69 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3850-4350 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (320).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.

$$

JVC






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