Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 210759
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
359 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING FROM THE CENTRAL GREAT
LAKES TO THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES WILL BRING COOL CONDITIONS AND
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AGAIN TODAY. WINDS WILL ALSO BECOME A LITTLE
GUSTY TODAY BEHIND A COLD FRONT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE
REGION FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...BRINGING QUIET WEATHER BUT STILL
KEEPING TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-212115-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
359 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 9 AM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3720-4220 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (88770).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE TO 9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1980-2180 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (650).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 PM...THEN
                    SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
   24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE TO 3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14-18 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2730-3230 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (38350).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-212115-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
359 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 7 PM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-76 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3290-3790 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (94610).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 9 PM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE TO 9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2230-2430 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 20 TO 25 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND
                    15 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (280).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 PM...THEN
                    SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-64 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10-15 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 5
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2770-3270 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (49230).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-212115-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
359 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 7 PM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-74 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3950-4450 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (98500).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 9 PM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE TO 9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......810-1010 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1500).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 PM...THEN
                    SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 TO 20 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 5
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (57960).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.

$$

MR/HLO



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