Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 202006
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
406 PM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...
.SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TOMORROW...AS A
SECONDARY COLD FRONT TRACKS THROUGH. MUCH COOLER AIR WILL FOLLOW
BEHIND THIS FRONT. DRY WEATHER IS THEN EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE
WORK WEEK.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-211400-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
406 PM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    MIDNIGHT...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......620-820 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...80
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-73 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5740-6240 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 20
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1010).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2960-3160 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND
                    10 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (100).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3480-3980 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (520).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-211400-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
406 PM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 2 AM. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER 2 AM. POP...70
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......880-1080 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 9 AM. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. OCCASIONAL
                    SHOWERS AFTER 9 AM. POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........70-77 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2610-3110 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 TO 25
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (800).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND
                    10 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2910-3110 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (210).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3790-4290 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (840).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-211400-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
406 PM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
                    AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 11 PM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......840-1040 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 9 AM. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AFTER 9 AM. POP...80
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 15
                    TO 20 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7660-8160 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 20 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1450).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2140-2340 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (60).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (680).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S.

$$

SF






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