Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 251943
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
343 PM EDT SUN SEP 25 2016

.DISCUSSION...DRY CONDITIONS WILL HOLD THROUGH THE EVENING BEFORE A
COLD FRONT TRACKS ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. THE FRONT WILL
BRING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS EARLY MONDAY MORNING. MUCH COOLER AIR THEN
FOLLOWS BEHIND ON TUESDAY, WITH SCATTER SHOWERS POSSIBLE.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-260915-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
343 PM EDT SUN SEP 25 2016

.REST OF TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 8 PM UNTIL 2 AM...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......280-480 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 11 AM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 2 PM. POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND
                    20 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6640-7140 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH...INCREASING TO 30 TO 35 MPH
                    BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2170).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND
                    10 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......440-640 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 30 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND
                    20 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6320-6820 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1650).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-260915-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
343 PM EDT SUN SEP 25 2016

.REST OF TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 8 PM UNTIL 2 AM...THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...90
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......19 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......180-380 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 20 TO
                    25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2 PM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6570-7070 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND
                    30 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2090).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND
                    20 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6060-6560 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1700).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-260915-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
343 PM EDT SUN SEP 25 2016

.REST OF TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) UNTIL 8 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 8 PM UNTIL 2 AM...THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...80
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......520-720 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2 PM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6520-7020 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1980).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF RAIN SHOWERS. POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-88 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......120-320 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 30 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND
                    20 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6690-7190 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1660).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.

$$

RBP


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