Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 280809
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
409 AM EDT THU MAY 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE REGION
TODAY WILL BRING DRIER WEATHER TO LOWER MICHIGAN TODAY. MINIMUM RH
VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL TO AROUND 40 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON.
HOTTER WEATHER IS FORECASTED FOR FRIDAY WITH READINGS REACHING THE
MIDDLE 80S. SLIGHTLY MORE HUMID AIR WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD ACROSS
SOUTHEASTERN MICHIGAN...WHICH WILL OFFET CONDITIONS AND KEEP MINIMUM
RH VALUES INT HE MIDDLE 40 PERCENT RANGE FOR FRIDAY.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-282115-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
409 AM EDT THU MAY 28 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 PM UNTIL
                    7 PM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-50 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8950-9450 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (900).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-84 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER NOON UNTIL
                    1 PM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7360-7860 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1530).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-282115-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
409 AM EDT THU MAY 28 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 PM...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 PM UNTIL
                    6 PM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8420-8920 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (790).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1 PM. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6840-7340 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 TO 25
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1500).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-282115-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
409 AM EDT THU MAY 28 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
                    8 AM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING EAST IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN...BECOMING SOUTH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6450-6950 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTH IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN...BECOMING SOUTHEAST BY
                    AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (550).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-88 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......120-320 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER NOON UNTIL
                    2 PM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6850-7350 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 20
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1290).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID
60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND
80.

$$

CB



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