Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 210753
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
353 AM EDT THU MAY 21 2015

.DISCUSSION...OUTSIDE OF A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS WITH A PASSING COLD
FRONT TONIGHT...THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WILL BE DOMINATED BY DRY
AND QUIET CONDITIONS. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL FALL TO NEAR 30
PERCENT TODAY AND TO AS LOW AS 25 PERCENT FOR AREAS WELL INLAND ON
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. THE APPROACH OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN
BRING WARMER AND MORE HUMID CONDITIONS SUNDAY AND MONDAY...WITH
ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-212115-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
353 AM EDT THU MAY 21 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-33 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4-6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8440-8940 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1570).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 9 PM...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 7 AM. POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........73-79 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......140-340 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-32 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2-4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6930-7430 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1270).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-212115-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
353 AM EDT THU MAY 21 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-42 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8930-9430 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1520).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 9 PM...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 7 AM. POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......480-680 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-40 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6990-7490 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1340).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-212115-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
353 AM EDT THU MAY 21 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) UNTIL 8 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 PM...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 5 AM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-36 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4-10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8470-8970 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND
                    20 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1410).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 3 AM...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 6 AM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 7 AM. POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-78 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-35 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......SLIGHTLY DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6940-7440 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1460).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.

$$

MR/HLO



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