Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 242003
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
403 PM EDT Wed May 24 2017

.DISCUSSION...A wet pattern through the midweek period, as low
pressure lifts into the Ohio Valley. Periodic rainfall with a few
thunderstorms are forecast to develop between this afternoon and
Thursday. Dry weather returns Friday.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-251230-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
403 PM EDT Wed May 24 2017

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 10 pm. Chance of thunderstorms until 1 am.
                    showers after 10 pm. Chance of precipitation 80
                    percent.
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........96 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......920-1120 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (100).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Showers likely. Chance
                    of precipitation 80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........76-84 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1990-2490 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (460).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Showers likely
                    until 8 pm then chance of showers until 2 am.
                    Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....49-54.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........96 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1190-1390 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (90).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........56-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph becoming west early
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5090-5590 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph becoming northwest around 5
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (550).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-251230-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
403 PM EDT Wed May 24 2017

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 10 pm. Chance of thunderstorms until 1 am.
                    showers after 10 pm. Chance of precipitation 90
                    near percent.
Min temperature.....49-54.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........97 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......660-860 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Showers. Chance of
                    precipitation 80 percent.
Max temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........80-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1070-1570 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (220).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Showers likely until
                    8 pm then chance of showers until 2 am then
                    a slight chance of showers. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....46-51.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......940-1140 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (20).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation
                    20 percent.
Max temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........59-69 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4920-5420 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph decreasing to around 10
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (560).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-251230-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
403 PM EDT Wed May 24 2017

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 1 am. Showers. Chance of
                    precipitation 90 near percent.
Min temperature.....53-58.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........97 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1180-1380 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (50).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Showers likely until
                    7 am then chance of showers until noon then
                    showers likely. Chance of precipitation 80
                    percent.
Max temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........77-87 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3400-3900 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph becoming north early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (700).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers likely
                    until 8 pm then chance of showers until 2 am.
                    Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1130-1330 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (30).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........56-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......22 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4920-5420 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph becoming west around 5
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (590).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs in the mid 70s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. West
winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the upper 60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 50. Highs
in the mid 60s.

$$

BT



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