Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 180747
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
346 AM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.DISCUSSION...COOL TEMPERATURES AND MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
OF 50 PERCENT OR HIGHER MINIMIZE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THROUGH THE
PERIOD. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY ALONG WITH WIND
GUSTS OF 20 MPH.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-182100-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
346 AM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 8 AM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1 PM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-60 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3860-4360 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (950).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 9 PM. WIDESPREAD FROST
                    AFTER 2 AM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2130-2330 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND
                    10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (140).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 6 PM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2480-2980 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (400).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-182100-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
346 AM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 8 AM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1 PM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3750-4250 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1290).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 10 PM. PATCHY FROST AFTER
                    2 AM. POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-82 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2620-2820 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (200).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 7 PM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2730-3230 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (510).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-182100-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
346 AM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-67 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3870-4370 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1110).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 9 PM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 10 PM. AREAS OF FROST AFTER
                    2 AM. POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1810-2010 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND
                    10 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (40).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2470-2970 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (360).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60.

$$

MR






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