Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 040736
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
336 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.DISCUSSION...A GREATER COVERAGE OF SHOWERS WILL EXIST THROUGHOUT
SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN TODAY AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS ACROSS THE STATE.
THIS INCREASE IN MOISTURE WILL SUSTAIN A GENERALLY COOL ENVIRONMENT
TODAY. TURNING DRIER AND SLIGHTLY WARMER ON THURSDAY. A GREATER
WARMING TREND IS THEN EXPECTED TO GET UNDERWAY FRIDAY LASTING INTO
SATURDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO THE LOWER TO MID 70S
SATURDAY...AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO BRING THE NEXT CHANCE OF
RAIN LATE SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-042115-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
336 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 6 AM...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 8 AM...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......43 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH
                    BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5620-6120 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 15 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN...INCREASING TO NORTH AROUND
                    25 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (980).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 9 PM...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1 AM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2 AM. POP...80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (30).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200-6700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (800).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-042115-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
336 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 8 AM...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-63 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING EAST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300-7800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON...THEN...BECOMING NORTHEAST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1260).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 9 PM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1 AM. POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......620-820 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5030-5530 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (980).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-042115-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
336 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL NOON. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 8 AM. RAIN SHOWERS AFTER NOON. POP...100
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING EAST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8620-9120 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1470).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 9 PM...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1 AM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 4 AM. POP...80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......420-620 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7020-7520 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1410).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.

$$

JVC



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