Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6
000
FNUS53 KDTX 292002
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
358 PM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

...WARM AND BREEZY BUT HUMID ON SATURDAY...

.DISCUSSION...WARM AND BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY AS A
COLD FRONT APPROACHES. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL WARM INTO THE UPPER
80S TO NEAR 90...AND WINDS WILL GUST TO 30 MPH. MIN HUMIDITIES ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT 45 PERCENT OR HIGHER HOWEVER AS HUMIDITY
INCREASES. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO LIKELY BY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE. WINDS AND
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL DECREASE SIGNIFICANTLY ON SUNDAY AS WEAK
HIGH PRESSURE SLOWLY BUILDS INTO THE AREA...BUT WARM AND HUMID
CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH
FOR LABOR DAY...BRINGING ANOTHER GOOD CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AND KEEPING WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS AROUND FOR
ANOTHER DAY.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-301400-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
357 PM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

...WARM AND BREEZY BUT HUMID ON SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 6 AM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER 6 AM.
                    POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......660-860 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8020-8520 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    25 TO 30 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2500).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2 AM. POP...50
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......860-1060 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 4 PM.
                    POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 5 MPH
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8880-9380 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1290).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-301400-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
357 PM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

...WARM AND BREEZY BUT HUMID ON SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS. POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......680-880 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1 PM...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. POP...60
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5750-6250 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    25 TO 30 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2250).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2 AM. POP...50
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......640-840 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 4 PM.
                    POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-69 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 5 MPH
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8690-9190 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1260).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-301400-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
357 PM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

...WARM AND BREEZY BUT HUMID ON SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 6 AM. POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......420-620 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1 PM...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. POP...60
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-55 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5970-6470 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 30 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2270).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1370-1570 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-64 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9680-10180 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1300).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.LABOR DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.

$$

PK/HLO





USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.