Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 220752
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
350 AM EDT TUE APR 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...
COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL SPILL INTO THE AREA TODAY BEHIND AN EXITING
COLD FRONT. AFTERNOON RH VALUES WILL DROP TO NEAR 40 PERCENT THIS
AFTERNOON AND INTO THE 30 PERCENT RANGE FOR WEDNESDAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE AREA. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME ELEVATED
THIS AFTERNOON REACHING NEAR 30 MPH AT TIMES BEFORE RELAXING
OVERNIGHT AND THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY. THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL
NOT COME TIL THE END OF THE WEEK.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-222100-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
350 AM EDT TUE APR 22 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 PM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    5 AM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 8 AM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AFTER 1 PM. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
   24 HR TREND......28 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    20 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3610-4110 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    30 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1130).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......720-920 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND
                    15 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (70).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-42 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5210-5710 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (740).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-222100-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
350 AM EDT TUE APR 22 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 PM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    5 AM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL
                    8 AM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AFTER 1 PM. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......27 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-50 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    30 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1300).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......870-1070 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AROUND
                    20 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (90).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-43 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4380-4880 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (710).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-222100-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
350 AM EDT TUE APR 22 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    5 AM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL 8 AM.
                    A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER 1 PM.
                    POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......23 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-45 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5210-5710 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...INCREASING TO 25 TO
                    30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1690).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
   24 HR TREND......19 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-91 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......640-840 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH...DECREASING TO 15 TO
                    20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (60).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-42 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300-5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (840).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50.

$$

DRK






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