Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 141951
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
348 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2014

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP THE AREA DRY THROUGH MONDAY MORNING UNTIL A
COLD FRONT DROPS THROUGH THE REGION IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
THIS FRONT WILL BRING THE ONLY REAL CHANCE FOR SHOWERS FOR THE WEEK
AS HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE REST OF THE WEEK. UNSEASONABLY
COOL WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH MID WEEK AS WILL MINIMUM RH
VALUES...GENERALLY GREATER THAT 50 PERCENT...AS SURFACE MOISTURE
REMAINS TRAPPED IN THE AREA.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-151400-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
348 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 7 AM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......340-540 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 11 AM...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7720-8220 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1050).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 10 PM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2 AM. POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000-6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (840).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-151400-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
348 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 7 AM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......380-580 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 11 AM...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7590-8090 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1060).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2 AM. POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......710-910 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6370-6870 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (930).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-151400-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
348 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......920-1120 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 PM...THEN
                    CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 11 AM UNTIL NOON...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 4 PM...THEN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-68 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6750-7250 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND 15
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (910).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 10 PM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2 AM. POP...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......680-880 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5870-6370 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (810).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.

$$

DRK






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