Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 181950
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
348 PM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.DISCUSSION...COOLER TEMPERATURES AND A DRIER AIRMASS WILL BE IN
PLACE TOMORROW. THERE WILL BE A MODEST WARMUP ON MONDAY AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT...BUT SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS CAN BE
EXPECTED...WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR TUESDAY.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-191400-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
348 PM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST
                    AFTER 2 AM. POP...10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2070-2270 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND
                    10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (90).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2390-2890 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 15
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (410).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 9 PM UNTIL 11 PM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......550-750 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (40).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY.
                    POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-75 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6680-7180 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1120).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-191400-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
348 PM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 10 PM. PATCHY FROST AFTER
                    2 AM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-91 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2660-2860 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (120).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2580-3080 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (430).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 9 PM UNTIL 11 PM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS. POP...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......920-1120 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (60).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY.
                    POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........72-78 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100-6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (850).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-191400-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
348 PM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 9 PM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 10 PM. AREAS OF FROST AFTER
                    2 AM. POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1760-1960 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND
                    10 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (60).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (330).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 10 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......940-1140 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (30).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY.
                    POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-74 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6220-6720 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1010).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.

$$

SF






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