Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 180709
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
309 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2014

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN DRY WEATHER OVER THE REGION THROUGH
TONIGHT. HIGH TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON WILL REMAIN IN THE 70S
WHILE MINIMUM RH VALUES APPROACH 50 PERCENT. APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE
WILL BRING AN INCREASED CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY
WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES CLOSER TO 60 PERCENT AS THIS MOISTURE WORKS
INTO THE AREA.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-182115-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
309 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
                    8 AM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4930-5430 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (340).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2 AM UNTIL
                    5 AM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......380-580 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1 PM...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. POP...70
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-69 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 5
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4450-4950 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (780).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-182115-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
309 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
                    8 AM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-67 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4090-4590 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (340).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.
                    POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......560-760 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 10 AM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...70
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4160-4660 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (640).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-182115-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
309 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-64 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4990-5490 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (350).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2 AM UNTIL
                    5 AM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......320-520 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1 PM...THEN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-63 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4410-4910 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (670).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID
60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.

$$

CB





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