Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 140810
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
410 AM EDT MON APR 14 2014

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND WINDY CONDITATIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH A CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH LOWER MICHIGAN. MUCH
COLDER AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE AREA TONIGHT...LEADING TO
ACCUMULATING SNOW. COLD TOMORROW...WITH RH VALUES FALLING INTO THE 35
TO 45 PERCENT RANGE.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-142115-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
410 AM EDT MON APR 14 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS WITH
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 2 PM...THEN CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...100
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-64 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 15
                    TO 20 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3790-4290 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 30 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN...BECOMING
                    WEST IN THE AFTERNOON...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1420).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SNOW SHOWERS.
                    POP...90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....21-26.
   24 HR TREND......29 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND
                    10 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (460).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    FLURRIES UNTIL 6 PM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
   24 HR TREND......24 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-41 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6540-7040 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1470).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-142115-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
410 AM EDT MON APR 14 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS WITH
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 2 PM...THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    POP...100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTH 20 TO 25 MPH...BECOMING WEST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON...THEN...BECOMING NORTHWEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3790-4290 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 35 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN...BECOMING
                    WEST AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1440).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SNOW SHOWERS. POP...90
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....22-27.
   24 HR TREND......26 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (420).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED SNOW
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2 PM...THEN SCATTERED FLURRIES
                    UNTIL 6 PM. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
   24 HR TREND......24 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-50 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6240-6740 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1460).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-142115-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
410 AM EDT MON APR 14 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 8 AM...THEN SHOWERS
                    WITH THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. POP...100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-68 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTH 20 TO 25 MPH...BECOMING WEST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON...THEN...BECOMING NORTHWEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2920-3420 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 25 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 40 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN...BECOMING
                    WEST AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1330).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 2 AM. SNOW SHOWERS. POP...90
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....22-27.
   24 HR TREND......30 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2180-2380 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (330).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    FLURRIES UNTIL 6 PM. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
   24 HR TREND......31 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5430-5930 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1430).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.

$$

SF





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