Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 012001
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
355 PM EDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...WARM AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY AS
A STRONG SURFACE TROUGH DROPS DOWN TOWARDS THE AREA. THIS WILL
INCREASE HUMIDITY...AND BRING A GOOD CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY
BECOME SEVERE. COOLER CONDITIONS ARE THEN EXPECTED THROUGH MID WEEK.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-021400-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
355 PM EDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (35-45 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 7 AM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 6 PM...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. POP...70
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO
                    20 TO 25 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3990-4490 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    25 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2000).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 1 AM...THEN CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 3 AM...THEN
                    A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
                    POP...70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND
                    10 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......460-660 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT...THEN...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...30
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6880-7380 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1250).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-021400-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
355 PM EDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 7 AM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 6 PM...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. POP...70
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-63 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    20 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4750-5250 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1610).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. POP...70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND
                    10 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......240-440 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7150-7650 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (980).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-021400-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
355 PM EDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 7 AM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 9 AM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...60
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    20 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7110-7610 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    35 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2210).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. POP...70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND
                    10 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......840-1040 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 30 TO 35 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND
                    15 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8060-8560 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1450).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.

$$

DG/HLO



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