Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

000
FNUS53 KDTX 160733
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
333 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

.DISCUSSION...High pressure will shift east today into tonight, but
conditions should remain dry through this afternoon. Minimum RH
values will dip into the 30-40 percent range as high temperatures
reach the 60s. An approaching warm front associated with a low
pressure system over the Midwest will bring the next chance for rain
tonight. Showers and a chance of thunderstorms are then expected on
Wednesday as the low pressure system lifts across the northern Great
Lakes and drives a cold front across southern Michigan.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-162115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
333 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....56-62.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........33-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph increasing to around 15 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3160-3660 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph increasing to around 20 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (517).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 am, then showers and
                    slight chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 80 percent.
Min temperature.....44-48.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........77-86 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......610-810 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (66).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
                    likely until 2 pm. Rain showers after 2 pm.
                    Chance of thunderstorms after 5 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 100 percent.
Max temperature.....60-64.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........63-73 percent.
   24 hr trend......33 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1280-1780 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (409).
Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-162115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
333 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....52-58.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........33-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph becoming east around 15
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3040-3540 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph becoming east in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (446).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until 2 am, then showers
                    likely. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....42-46.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........74-82 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......960-1160 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 20 mph becoming southeast after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (33).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers.
                    Chance of precipitation 100 percent.
Max temperature.....54-60.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........61-71 percent.
   24 hr trend......29 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 20 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1110-1610 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (406).
Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-162115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
333 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....56-60.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........33-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph increasing to around 15 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2690-3190 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (450).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 am, then showers and
                    slight chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 80 percent.
Min temperature.....44-50.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........87-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......610-810 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (24).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers.
                    Chance of thunderstorms after 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 100 percent.
Max temperature.....62-66.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........56-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......33 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2110-2610 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (609).
Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 60s. West winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the upper 50s. West winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower
50s. West winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the lower
50s.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper 50s.

$$

DG