Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 301949
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
344 PM EDT WED JUL 30 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A SLIGHT WARMING TREND WILL ENSUE THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND. COOL AIR
ALOFT AND MARGINAL INSTABILITY WILL PROVIDE A CHANCE OF SOME LATE DAY
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-311400-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
344 PM EDT WED JUL 30 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 2 AM. CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 2 AM. POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......120-320 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 4 PM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...30
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-52 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10470-10970 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST
                    AROUND 20 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2350).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11050-11550 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1630).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-311400-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
344 PM EDT WED JUL 30 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 9 PM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 11 PM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AFTER 2 AM. POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN...BECOMING
                    SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......120-320 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 4 PM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...30
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10580-11080 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    20 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2250).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND 5
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11030-11530 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1750).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-311400-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
344 PM EDT WED JUL 30 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 10 PM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 11 PM. POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH THROUGH MIDNIGHT...BECOMING
                    LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2 PM.
                    POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-47 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10250-10750 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH
                    BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1840).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1 PM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11620-12120 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1670).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.

$$

CB/SC






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