Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 252024
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
424 PM EDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...RAIN CHANCES WILL BE MINIMAL THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON.
A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO SLIDE THROUGH THE REGION THIS
EVENING...LEADING TO SLIGHLY COOLER WEATHER FOR SUNDAY. AFTERNOON RH
VALUES ARE FORECAST TO FALL TO AROUND 45 PERCENT.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-261415-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
424 PM EDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-91 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 10
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3140-3640 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (57220).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......980-1480 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 15 TO
                    20 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (32420).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-261415-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
424 PM EDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-91 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......180-380 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND
                    10 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND
                    10 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3110-3610 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (69220).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2 PM. CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2 PM.
                    POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......960-1460 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 20
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (30940).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-261415-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
424 PM EDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......140-340 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND
                    10 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3060-3560 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (65200).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......120-320 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 2 PM. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1620-2120 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (52780).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S.

$$

MM



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