Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 231932
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
332 PM EDT SAT JUL 23 2016

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...HOT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY WITH
INCREASING HUMIDITY LEVELS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
SUNDAY MORNING AND AGAIN SUNDAY EVENING. THE WIND WILL BECOME
SOUTHWESTERLY ON SUNDAY BUT SPEEDS WILL BE MODEST. SLIGHTLY COOLER
AND DRIER CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED MONDAY AFTER A WEAK COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE SUNDAY NIGHT.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-241415-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
332 PM EDT SAT JUL 23 2016

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 5 AM. POP...50
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-91 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9080-9580 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2250).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2 AM...THEN A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
                    POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......740-940 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND
                    15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 PM...THEN
                    SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7960-8460 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 20 TO
                    25 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1810).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-241415-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
332 PM EDT SAT JUL 23 2016

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 5 AM. POP...50
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........76-82 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-66 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5550-6050 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST BY
                    AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1590).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2 AM...THEN A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
                    POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING WEST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7730-8230 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 20 TO
                    25 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1930).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-241415-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
332 PM EDT SAT JUL 23 2016

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 5 AM. POP...40
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........76-85 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8660-9160 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1970).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. POP...70
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......260-460 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8240-8740 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1700).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.

$$

DRC



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