Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 192004
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
404 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL GIVE WAY TO A PATTERN OF
LIGHT RAIN AS MILDER AIR ARRIVES LATER TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE WILL PULL A COLD FRONT THROUGH SOUTHEAST
MICHIGAN BY MONDAY NIGHT FOLLOWED BY DAMP AND COLDER TEMPERATURES
THROUGH MOST OF TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BRING INCREASINGLY
FAVORABLE WEATHER FOR THE MID WEEK PERIOD.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-201430-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
404 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 11 PM UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......920-1120 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (30).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 9 AM...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...70
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4260-4760 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (590).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1510-1710 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (190).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-67 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4160-4660 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1050).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-201430-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
404 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 11 PM UNTIL 1 AM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS. POP...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......760-960 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (30).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
                    AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...80
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........70-79 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (380).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2 AM...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY. POP...60
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2320-2520 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (90).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 2 PM...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3210-3710 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (940).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-201430-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
404 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 1 AM UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......720-920 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 9 AM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 9 AM. POP...80
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4690-5190 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (730).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-1700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (170).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3260-3760 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1010).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S.

$$

BT





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