Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 271940
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
340 PM EDT TUE SEP 27 2016

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LOW DRIFTING OVER THE REGION WILL CONTINUE TO
BRING SEASONABLY COOL TO NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND PERIODIC
SHOWERS THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. SOUTHERLY/EASTERLY WINDS
WEDNESDAY WILL BE LIGHTER COMPARED WITH TUESDAY.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-281400-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESSE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
340 PM EDT TUE SEP 27 2016

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
                    POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT...THEN...BECOMING SOUTHEAST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1 PM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 11 AM. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    AFTER 1 PM. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000-9500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO EAST
                    AROUND 20 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2040).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    NOON. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3510-4010 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 30 TO 35 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1400).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-281400-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
340 PM EDT TUE SEP 27 2016

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 10 PM...THEN CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1 PM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 11 AM. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    AFTER 1 PM. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-64 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING EAST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8860-9360 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    20 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2010).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY. POP...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...INCREASING TO EAST 15
                    TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    NOON. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........69-75 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (880).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-281400-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
340 PM EDT TUE SEP 27 2016

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 2 AM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...70
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-64 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING EAST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7540-8040 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1980).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY. POP...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......690-890 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    20 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    NOON. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-74 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3510-4010 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (940).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S.

$$

DG



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