Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 241925
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
325 PM EDT SUN JUL 24 2016

.DISCUSSION...RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES. THIS FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH
OVERNIGHT BRINGING DRIER CONDITIONS TO THE AREA FOR THE BEGINNING OF
THE WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND THE DEPARTING FRONT BUT
TEMPERATURES WILL STILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL WITH HIGHS EXPECTED TO
RANGE FROM THE MID 80S TO LOW 90S. MINIMUM RH VALUES IN THE 50
PERCENT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON WILL DROP BACK TO AROUND 40 PERCENT ON
MONDAY.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-251415-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
325 PM EDT SUN JUL 24 2016

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 3 AM. POP...40
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND 5
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......620-820 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 25 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND
                    15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN...BECOMING WEST
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7800-8300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND
                    25 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1750).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-47 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8750-9250 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (930).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-251415-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
325 PM EDT SUN JUL 24 2016

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 3 AM. POP...50
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND 5
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......780-980 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (30).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 PM...THEN
                    SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-52 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7610-8110 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    25 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1770).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND
                    5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-52 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7510-8010 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (750).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-251415-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
325 PM EDT SUN JUL 24 2016

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 7 AM. POP...40
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......260-460 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 PM...THEN
                    SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7480-7980 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1600).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING WEST BY
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8190-8690 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING WEST BY
                    AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (860).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.

$$

DRC



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