Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 292004
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
404 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

.DISCUSSION...COOL CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST TOMORROW EVEN AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DROP
THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY...PULLING AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT ACROSS LOWER
MICHIGAN. THIS WILL BRING WINDY CONDITIONS AND ALLOW SHOWERS TO
TURN TO SNOW SHOWERS FRIDAY. MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
BEHIND THE FRONT FOR THE WEEKEND.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-292130-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
404 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 7 PM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-64 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5010-5510 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (107830).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL MIDNIGHT. POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 2 PM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4350-4850 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (54720).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2 AM...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY. POP...70
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1580-1780 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2320).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-292130-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
404 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-63 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5060-5560 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (111980).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL MIDNIGHT. POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND 5
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-64 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4190-4690 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (48390).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1990-2190 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (11360).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-292130-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
404 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS. POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5320-5820 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (115080).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). POP...20
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND 5
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-55 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4590-5090 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (45800).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2 AM...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN...BECOMING LIGHT LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1460).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS AROUND 50.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.

$$

RK/HLO



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