Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 260749
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
348 AM EDT TUE AUG 26 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...TRIGGERING SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT.
COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL THEN FILTER INTO THE AREA FOR THE MID WEEK
PERIOD AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE LOWER MICHIGAN. MINIMUM RH
VALUES SHOULD DROP FROM AROUND 60 PERCENT TODAY...TO CLOSER TO 50
PERCENT ON WEDNESDAY.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-262100-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
348 AM EDT TUE AUG 26 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 7 AM UNTIL 2 PM...THEN
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9720-10220 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND 15
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1810).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......810-1010 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-55 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST BY
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5150-5650 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (590).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-262100-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
348 AM EDT TUE AUG 26 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 7 AM UNTIL 2 PM...THEN
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9290-9790 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1760).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). POP...20
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......440-640 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-63 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4480-4980 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (610).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-262100-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
348 AM EDT TUE AUG 26 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 7 AM UNTIL 2 PM...THEN
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-63 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9640-10140 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1670).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 11 PM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......140-340 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3670-4170 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (400).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.LABOR DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.

$$

DRK






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