Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 290806
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
406 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

.DISCUSSION...TODAY WILL BE ANOTHER WARM AND DRY DAY...BUT A COLD FRONT WILL
TRIGGER SHOWERS TONIGHT. IT WILL TURN MUCH COOLER BEHIND THE FRONT
TOMORROW.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-292115-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
406 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 PM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    UNTIL 10 AM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AFTER 5 PM. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH UP TO 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10
                    TO 15 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8580-9080 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1690).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......680-880 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (90).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS. POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
   24 HR TREND......18 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-69 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 5
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2760-3260 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (310).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-292115-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
406 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    UNTIL 10 AM. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-55 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8190-8690 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1040).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......810-1010 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (50).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......20 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-77 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2320-2820 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (400).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-292115-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
406 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
                    10 AM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-50 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5150-5650 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 0 TO 5 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (540).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2 AM. SHOWERS. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2 AM.
                    POP...80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO 15
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......750-950 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS. POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......19 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-63 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2430-2930 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (280).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.

$$

SF





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