Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 190746
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
345 AM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE TODAY AND PROVIDE DRY
WEATHER AND DROPPING MINIMUM RH VALUES AWAY FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO
NEAR 30 PERCENT BY LATE AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN A
LITTLE BELOW NORMAL WITH EAST WINDS OFF THE COLD GREAT LAKES
TODAY...THEN WARM INTO THE 60S TO NEAR 70 SUNDAY AND MONDAY AHEAD OF
AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT. THIS SYSTEM WILL
BRING A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-192100-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
345 AM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-39 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3080-3580 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING EAST
                    AROUND 15 MPH THROUGH MID
                    AFTERNOON...THEN...BECOMING SOUTHEAST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (460).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......510-710 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (30).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 2 PM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-38 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4080-4580 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (590).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-192100-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
345 AM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
                    8 AM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-41 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2870-3370 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING EAST BY
                    AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (400).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......520-720 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 2 PM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-40 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3830-4330 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (530).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-192100-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
345 AM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-40 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3390-3890 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING EAST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (490).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-36 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3930-4430 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (490).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.

$$

DG






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