Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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164
FNUS53 KDTX 030728
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
328 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

.DISCUSSION...Numerous showers hang around today with possible
thunderstorms. MinRH values Friday and Saturday of 55 to 65 percent
reflect the humid airmass that will be in place, although drier
weather is anticipated for Saturday.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-032115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
328 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2 pm. Rain showers likely.
                    Slight chance of thunderstorms after 2 pm.
                    Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....66-70.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........43-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......22 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest in the
                    late morning and early afternoon, then becoming
                    north early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph becoming southwest in the
                    late morning and early afternoon, then becoming
                    north early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (377).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Min temperature.....46-52.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........87-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......820-1020 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (22).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....64-70.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........51-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2770-3270 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (306).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-032115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
328 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers likely
                    until 8 am. Chance of thunderstorms. Rain
                    showers after 8 am. Chance of precipitation 80
                    percent.
Max temperature.....64-70.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........59-69 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2560-3060 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (257).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 11 pm. Slight chance of rain
                    showers until 5 am. Chance of precipitation 20
                    percent.
Min temperature.....44-50.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........93-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......820-1020 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (25).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Max temperature.....62-68.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........54-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2520-3020 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph becoming southeast in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (326).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-032115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
328 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers likely and
                    chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 80 percent.
Max temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........56-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph becoming south in the late
                    morning and early afternoon, then becoming
                    northwest early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2540-3040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph becoming south in the
                    late morning and early afternoon, then becoming
                    northwest early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (233).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 11 pm. Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 am, then slight chance of rain
                    showers. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....52-56.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........91-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......880-1080 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (19).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....68-74.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........53-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2680-3180 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (325).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 70. West winds
around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper
60s. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the mid 70s. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs in the lower 70s.

$$

SF