Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 280802
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
402 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2016

...AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR STORM CHANCE REMAINS THROUGH MIDDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN THIS MORNING WILL
GRADUALLY SLIP SOUTH OF THE STATE THIS EVENING. THROUGH ROUGHLY
MIDDAY A STRAY SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE IN THE
HUMID AIR AHEAD OF THE FRONT. TONIGHT MUCH LESS HUMID AIR WILL
FILTER INTO THE STATE. DRY WEATHER IS THEN EXPECTED UNDER HIGH
PRESSURE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. THE NEXT FRONT TO MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA WILL OCCUR ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY
NIGHT BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS. HIGHS WILL PUSH INTO
THE LOW 80S THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

MIZ037>039-043>045-282030-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
402 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 1800...THEN
                    SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 53-58
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT DRIER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 25
                    PERCENT DRIER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-2700 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    3800-4300 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-700 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 1200-1700
                    FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL MIDDAY
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-4900 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    6100-6600 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-500 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ040-046-282030-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
402 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1300...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......34 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-3700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5200-5700 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-400 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500-7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-282030-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...GRAND HAVEN...JENISON...
HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
402 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT UNTIL MIDDAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-3800 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    4800-5300 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-100 (POOR TO POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH UNTIL MIDDAY BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-4900 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    5600-6100 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...300 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-282030-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
402 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1200. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT UNTIL MIDDAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100-5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-100 (POOR TO POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH UNTIL MIDDAY BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800-6300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...300 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-282030-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
402 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT UNTIL MIDDAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-4700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6400-6900 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-300 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400-5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 9 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 9 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.



$$



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