Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 041936
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
336 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

...WET CONDITIONS CONTINUE TONIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...THE RAIN TODAY HAS DAMPENED AREA FUELS BUT CONDITIONS
WILL HAVE A CHANCE TO DRY OUT THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. MIN RH VALUES
ARE EXPECTED TO BE LOWEST FRIDAY AFTERNOON. FORTUNATELY THE WINDS
WILL NOT BE STRONG DURING THE DAY.




MIZ037>039-043>045-050815-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
336 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY
                    UNTIL 2200...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 26 MPH IN
                    THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 25 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 200 (FAIR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 38-43
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 22
                    PERCENT DRIER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-2900 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    7300-7800 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...100-600 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...3300-3800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300
                    FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...500 (GOOD) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR) OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69 NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND AROUND 72 INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 8
                    DEGREES WARMER INLAND.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2400 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    3700-4200 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ040-046-050815-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
336 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) UNTIL 0400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY
                    UNTIL 2300...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL 0100.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH AND GUSTY.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-500 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 1300 UNTIL 1900.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......30 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300-5800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7400-7900 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-1100 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500-6000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-400 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 0 TO 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-300 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-050815-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...GRAND HAVEN...JENISON...
HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
336 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 0700...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY
                    UNTIL 2300...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL 0400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 28
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 25 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 41-46
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 20
                    PERCENT DRIER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...4400-4900 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...5800-6300 FT AGL INCREASING TO
                    7800-8300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900-1300 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...600-1100 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...2200-2700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200
                    FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 0 TO 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-300 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-2600 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    3700-4200 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200 (FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-050815-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
336 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) UNTIL 0400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY
                    UNTIL 2300...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL 0300.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH AND GUSTY.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 25 MPH BECOMING NORTH AROUND
                    15 MPH OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 1300 UNTIL 1900.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7700-8200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1500 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500-6000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 0 TO 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-050815-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
336 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY
                    UNTIL 0100...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL 0500.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH AND GUSTY.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.09 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 1300 UNTIL 1900.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000-8500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1400 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1900 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600-6100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-400 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300-5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-400 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MIDDAY...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...COLDER. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 6 TO
11 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH OVERNIGHT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
9 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S.



$$


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