Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 250747
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
347 AM EDT THU AUG 25 2016

...SHOWERS AND STORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTH THROUGH THE LOWER PENINSULA TODAY WILL
TOUCH OFF SHOWERS AND STORMS FROM I-96 SOUTHWARD. A COOLER AND
LESS HUMID AIR MASS WILL FLOW IN BEHIND THE FRONT FOR LATER
TONIGHT AND ON FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY CONDITIONS
FROM TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
BRING MORE RAIN OVER THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL
NORMALS.

MIZ037>039-043>045-252030-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
347 AM EDT THU AUG 25 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 41-46
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......30 PERCENT DRIER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 32
                    PERCENT DRIER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3400 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    4400-4900 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 45-50
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 8
                    PERCENT WETTER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-4500 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    4900-5400 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ040-046-252030-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
347 AM EDT THU AUG 25 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 1800...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000-6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.17 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-600 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500 (GOOD) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR) OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100-6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-252030-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...GRAND HAVEN...JENISON...
HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
347 AM EDT THU AUG 25 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 1100...THEN A CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 44-49
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 10
                    PERCENT DRIER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    4100-4600 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.25 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 6 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-3900 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    4300-4800 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-252030-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
347 AM EDT THU AUG 25 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700-6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.27 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500-6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-252030-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
347 AM EDT THU AUG 25 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 1700...THEN A CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300-5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-1100 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.21-0.48 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-300 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700-6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-800 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 5 TO 6 MPH OVERNIGHT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 6 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
9 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.



$$


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