Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 291916
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
316 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

...COLD WEATHER WILL REMAIN IN PLACE...

.DISCUSSION...THE SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL END BY EARLY THIS EVENING
THEN IT WILL BE MOSTLY CLOUDY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. MIXED RAIN AND
SNOW WILL FALL FRIDAY MORNING WITH MINOR ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE
NORTH OF INTERSTATE 96.


MIZ037>039-043>045-300830-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
316 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 2200...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 0300...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...4300-4800 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...3700-4200 FT AGL DECREASING TO
                    1100-1600 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 0 MPH OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-600 (FAIR TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.
                    SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 0500.
CHANCE OF PCPN......NEAR 100 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600-6100 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    4000-4500 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1600 (EXCELLENT)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.14-0.30 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1400. SNOW SHOWERS. SPRINKLES AFTER 1400
                    UNTIL 1700.
CHANCE OF PCPN......NEAR 100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 47-52
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 7
                    PERCENT DRIER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...BREEZY. NORTH WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH. GUSTS UP TO
                    29 MPH INCREASING TO 42 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600-8100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 30 TO 35 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...2800-2900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.23 IN.


$$

MIZ040-046-300830-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
316 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 2200...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 0700...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-500 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.
                    SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 0500.
CHANCE OF PCPN......NEAR 100 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-800 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.15 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1400. SNOW SHOWERS. SPRINKLES AFTER 1400
                    UNTIL 1700.
CHANCE OF PCPN......NEAR 100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH
                    INCREASING TO 37 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7900-8400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...2200-2400 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.16-0.27 IN.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-300830-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
316 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 2200...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 0300...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1100 UNTIL 1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0200...THEN RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......NEAR 100 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-1100 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.16-0.27 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). RAIN AND SNOW
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......NEAR 100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 40-45
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 11
                    PERCENT DRIER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...BREEZY. NORTH WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH. GUSTS UP TO
                    29 MPH INCREASING TO 40 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7900-8400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...2400-2700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.31 IN.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-300830-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
316 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500 (GOOD) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR) OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1700.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT LATE IN THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0200...THEN RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......NEAR 100 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.13-0.20 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1400. SNOW SHOWERS. SPRINKLES AFTER 1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......NEAR 100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    INCREASING TO 37 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7800-8300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...2100-2400 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.18-0.35 IN.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-300830-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
316 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 0700...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-400 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0200...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.19 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN AND SNOW
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......NEAR 100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS
                    SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 17 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO AROUND 34 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500-6000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7500-8000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 25 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 35 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1900-2300 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.25-0.37 IN.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 40. NORTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 9 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 50. SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.



$$






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