Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 300829
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
423 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

...COLD BLAST ON HALLOWEEN...

.DISCUSSION...OUR FIRST SIGNIFICANT BLAST OF COLD AIR WILL ARRIVE ON
HALLOWEEN BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTH FROM CANADA.
NORTH WINDS GUSTING OVER 40 MPH COMBINE WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 30S
WILL CREATE WIND CHILLS AROUND 20 DEGREES BY THE END OF THE DAY.
ALSO MANY AREAS WILL SEE THE FIRST SNOWFALL OF THE SEASON WITH SOME
LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE ON THE GRASS. TEMPERATURES WILL
MODERATE ABOVE NORMAL NEXT WEEK.


MIZ037>039-043>045-302015-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
423 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-4600 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    5200-5700 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2300...THEN RAIN SHOWERS. SNOW SHOWERS
                    AFTER 0500.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900-5400 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    3900-4400 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1500 (EXCELLENT)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.23 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN AND SNOW
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 17 TO 22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    41 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600-7100 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    5900-6400 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 35 TO 40 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...2800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.11 IN.


$$

MIZ040-046-302015-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
423 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500-6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2300...THEN RAIN SHOWERS. SNOW SHOWERS
                    AFTER 0500.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-800 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.14 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1400. SNOW SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 16 TO 21 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 25 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 35 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1300-1500 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.10 IN.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-302015-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
423 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1100 UNTIL 1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000-5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    AFTER 2300.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300-5800 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    4200-4700 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 20 MPH OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...800 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1400 (EXCELLENT)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07-0.13 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 17 TO 22 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 28 MPH
                    INCREASING TO 43 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000-6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 30 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 40 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...2100-2400 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.15 IN.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-302015-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
423 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1700.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT LATE IN THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100-5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO WEST
                    AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AFTER
                    2300.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 7 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1700. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 1100.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 16 TO 21 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700-5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 20 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 40 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1600-1700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.17 IN.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-302015-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
423 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 2300 UNTIL 0200...THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 6 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1700. SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......NEAR 100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 37
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7900-8400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH INCREASING TO NORTH
                    AROUND 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1400-1600 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.10-0.19 IN.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 40. NORTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 8 TO
13 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.

$$

MEADE







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