Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 211944
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
344 PM EDT THU MAY 21 2015

...SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AS A WEAK COLD
FRONT DROPS SOUTH THROUGH LOWER MICHIGAN. CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY
COOL AND DRY AT THE SURFACE THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. FROST FORMATION IS EXPECTED
TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING ACROSS CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN. MORE WIDESPREAD
FROST IS EXPECTED SATURDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL TURN SOUTHWESTERLY ON SATURDAY
AS HIGHS GET BACK INTO THE LOWER 70S. MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND STORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THE BEST CHANCE
FOR WIDESPREAD RAINFALL IS CURRENTLY SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.

MIZ037>039-043>045-220815-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
344 PM EDT THU MAY 21 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0200. PATCHY FROST AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...400-900 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...2400-2900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-900
                    FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...800 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 22-27
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 7
                    PERCENT DRIER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-4700 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    6100-6600 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200-1500 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST
                    AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...1100-1600 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...3400-3900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200
                    FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...500 (GOOD) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR) OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-3600 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    6600-7100 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100-1300 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ040-046-220815-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
344 PM EDT THU MAY 21 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2400. PATCHY FROST AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600-6100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-900 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300-6800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200-1300 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST
                    AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-4600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300-7800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100-1300 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-220815-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
344 PM EDT THU MAY 21 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0500.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    AROUND 5 MPH OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-900 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 1700-2200
                    FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-300 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300-5800 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    6100-6600 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
                    AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...2200-2700 FT AGL IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-200 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...3600-4100 FT AGL IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-400 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000-6500 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    7000-7500 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800-900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-220815-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
344 PM EDT THU MAY 21 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0300.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800-1300 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500-7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1300-1500 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
                    AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500-8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-220815-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
344 PM EDT THU MAY 21 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-900 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300-6800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1300-1400 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
                    AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900-5400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7100-7600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 9 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 50S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S.



$$

EBW



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