Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 160707
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
307 AM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017

...Some showers this morning then drying out...

.DISCUSSION...
There will be some showers around to start the day today...but
the will diminish with increasing sunshine expected for the
afternoon.  Conditions then look dry for much of the week with a
warming trend expected to develop.


MIZ037>039-043>045-162015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
307 AM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 1200.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent until midday.
Max temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6400-6900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900-1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....39-44.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........78-83 percent near Lake Michigan and 88-93
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......19 percent drier near Lake Michigan and
                    unchanged Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4600-5100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2600-3100 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 64.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........60-65 percent near Lake Michigan and 52-57
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 1
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2900-3400 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900-1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-162015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
307 AM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 55.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......7200-7700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph increasing to around 15 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....800-1100 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 41.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3800-4300 ft AGL decreasing to 0-500 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700 (excellent) decreasing to 0 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3300-3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900-1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-162015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
307 AM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 1200.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent until midday.
Max temperature.....Around 57.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6100-6600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800-1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....41-46.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........78-83 percent near Lake Michigan and 88-93
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier near Lake Michigan and
                    unchanged Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4200-4700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2700-3200 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 64.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2900-3400 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800-1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-162015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
307 AM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 56.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7100-7600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph increasing to around 15 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....700-1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 43.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft AGL decreasing to 0-300 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700 (excellent) decreasing to 0 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 11 to 16 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3300-3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph increasing to around 30
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....1000-1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-162015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
307 AM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 56.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6700-7200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....39-44.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL decreasing to 0-200 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500 (good) decreasing to 0 (poor) overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3400-3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph increasing to around 25
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....700-1100 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Southwest winds 9 to
14 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Southwest
winds 6 to 11 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Southwest winds
5 to 9 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. South winds 6 to 11 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper
60s.

$$



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