Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
345
FNUS53 KGRR 030804
FWFGRR
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
404 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024
...Showers and storms taper off today...
.DISCUSSION...
Numerous showers and scattered storms this morning will taper off
into this afternoon from West to East. Skies will clear out, and
much drier air will filter in over the area. Most areas should see
dry conditions on Saturday with warm temperatures persisting. There
will be a small chance of a shower or storm toward Jackson in the
afternoon. Some rain will then overspread the area Saturday night.
MIZ037>039-043>045-032030-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
404 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) until 11 AM, then mostly
sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy fog until 10 AM.
Rain showers until 11 AM. Chance of
thunderstorms until 2 PM. Chance of rain
showers after 11 AM until 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent until midday.
Max temperature.....67-72.
24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........43-48 percent near Lake Michigan and 30-35
percent Inland.
24 hr trend......4 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 1
percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1300-1800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
3800-4300 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-670 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.09 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....41-46.
24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....70 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....68-73 near Lake Michigan and around 76 Inland.
24 hr trend......1 degree warmer near Lake Michigan and 6
degrees warmer Inland.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged near Lake Michigan and 13 percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 9 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......2300-2800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
4300-4800 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....550-670 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ040-046-032030-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
404 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 5 PM, then
mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy fog until
9 AM. Rain showers and a chance of
thunderstorms until 2 PM, then a slight chance
of rain showers until 5 PM.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........34-39 percent.
24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 7 mph shifting to the
northwest around 9 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL increasing to 3800-4300 ft AGL
in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the north
in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....250-640 (fair to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........around 0.08 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....41-46.
24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60-80 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 73.
24 hr trend......2 degree warmer.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....310-430 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ050-056-064-071-032030-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
404 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 5 PM, then
mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy fog until
9 AM. Rain showers likely until 11 AM. Chance
of thunderstorms until 2 PM. Chance of rain
showers after 11 AM until 5 PM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....67-72.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
3200-3700 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph shifting to the north in the
afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....250-540 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.10 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....47-52.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60-70 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....74-79.
24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 8 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
3700-4200 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....380-460 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ051-052-057>059-032030-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
404 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Patchy fog until
9 AM. Rain showers until 2 PM. Chance of
thunderstorms until 5 PM. Chance of rain
showers after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 7 mph shifting to the
northwest around 9 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the north
in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....250-600 (fair to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.05-0.21 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....46-51.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60-70 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max temperature.....74-79.
24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....320-410 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ065>067-072>074-032030-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
404 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
until 2 PM. Chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
rain showers after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest around 8 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph shifting to the northwest
in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....230-400 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.18 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 5 AM, then
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min temperature.....52-57.
24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....80-90 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 77.
24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........52-57 percent.
24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3400-3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....290-370 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Showers likely in the evening, then a chance of
showers overnight. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds 5 to 8 mph
shifting to the west 5 to 9 mph overnight.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Northwest winds 7 to
12 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast
winds 6 to 11 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. East winds 8 to
13 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers overnight. Lows in
the lower 50s. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely. Highs in the mid 70s.
South winds 13 to 18 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms.
Showers likely in the evening, then a chance of showers overnight.
Lows in the mid 50s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
70s.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 50s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs
around 70.
$$