Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 210734
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
334 AM EDT Sun May 21 2017

...A Cold Front Pushes Through Today...

.DISCUSSION...
A few showers or thunderstorms may accompany the passage of a cold
front mainly this morning.  The area dries out for the afternoon.
The wind will be shifting from east to west southwest today and it
could become gusty.




MIZ037>039-043>045-212015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
334 AM EDT Sun May 21 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Areas of fog
                    until 1100. Isolated thunderstorms until 1200.
                    chance of rain showers until 1300.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent until midday.
Max temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........64-69 percent near Lake Michigan and 56-61
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......16 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 23
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 9 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 15 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 3400-3900 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 2000-2500 ft AGL increasing to
                    4500-5000 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 20 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....400 (good) increasing to 1300 (excellent) in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.08 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2100, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 0200.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 46.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4300-4800 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....West around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1200-1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 12 to 17 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    7000-7500 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....West 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....2100 (excellent) increasing to 2900 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.16 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-212015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
334 AM EDT Sun May 21 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 1800, then
                    partly sunny (45-55 percent). Isolated
                    thunderstorms until 1400. chance of rain
                    showers until 1500.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 7 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 14 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL increasing to 4500-5000 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 20 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....200 (fair) increasing to 1300 (excellent) in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........around 0.08 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 0100, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 47.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3800-4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000-1100 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 11 to 16 mph with gusts to
                    around 26 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7600-8100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 30 to 35 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....2300 (excellent) increasing to 2900 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-212015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
334 AM EDT Sun May 21 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Areas of fog
                    until 1100. Isolated thunderstorms until 1200.
                    chance of rain showers until 1300.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent until midday.
Max temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........54-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3800-4300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4800-5300 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph increasing to around 20
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....600 (excellent) increasing to 1300 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2200, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 0200, then
                    partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 49.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........81-86 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4400-4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1200-1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 4500-5000 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 5000-5500 ft AGL increasing to
                    7100-7600 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1300 (excellent) increasing to 2300 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-212015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
334 AM EDT Sun May 21 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Areas of fog
                    until 1100. Chance of rain showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms until 1500.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....67-72.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL increasing to 4700-5200 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 20 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....400 (good) increasing to 1300 (excellent) in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.12 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 0200, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 0500, then
                    partly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 47.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4300-4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 67.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 13 to 18 mph with gusts to
                    around 26 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6900-7400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....2000 (excellent) increasing to 2600 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-212015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
334 AM EDT Sun May 21 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Areas of fog
                    until 1100. Isolated thunderstorms until 1500.
                    chance of showers until 1800.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....69-74.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........54-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL increasing to 5000-5500 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 20 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....500 (good) increasing to 1100 (excellent) in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.13 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 48.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4400-4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4900-5400 ft AGL increasing to 6900-7400 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1500 (excellent) increasing to 2400 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and a slight chance of
thunderstorms until midday, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Highs in the mid 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
in the evening, then a chance of showers overnight. Lows in the
upper 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph shifting to the northeast 5 to
8 mph overnight.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 60s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. North winds 7 to
12 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.



$$



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