Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 170849
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
449 AM EDT Thu Aug 17 2017

...Showers and Thunderstorms Today...

.DISCUSSION...
Expect humid conditions today with occasional showers and
thunderstorms as a low pressure system tracks through Wisconsin.
Friday will be breezy, cooler, and less humid with some lingering
clouds and light showers. A warming trend is forecast over the
weekend into early next week.

MIZ037>039-043>045-172015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
449 AM EDT Thu Aug 17 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely until 1400, then a chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....76-81.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........69-74 percent.
   24 hr trend......30 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 3200-3700 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 2500-3000 ft AGL increasing to
                    4500-5000 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600 (excellent) increasing to 1300 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.29-0.57 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.17 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........64-69 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-172015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
449 AM EDT Thu Aug 17 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely until 1700, then a chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........73-78 percent.
   24 hr trend......26 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3400-3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-800 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.43-0.82 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2100, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2300. chance of showers.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1700-2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.10 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........62-67 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3200-3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-172015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
449 AM EDT Thu Aug 17 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely until 1100, then a chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....80-85.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........59-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4700-5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 25 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....800 (excellent) increasing to 1400 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.25-0.64 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2300-2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Max temperature.....71-76.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........60-65 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800-1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-172015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
449 AM EDT Thu Aug 17 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely until 1700, then a chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....78-83.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........63-68 percent.
   24 hr trend......24 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4600-5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 25 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....800 (excellent) increasing to 1300 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.34-0.83 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2100, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2300. chance of showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-800 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.16 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 73.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........64-69 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3500-4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800-1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-172015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
449 AM EDT Thu Aug 17 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely until 1700, then a chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........65-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 25 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....800-1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.33-0.62 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2300. chance of showers
                    until 0500.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 76.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........58-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 12 to 17 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900-1100 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms until
midday. Highs in the upper 70s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Southwest
winds 5 to 6 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds
5 to 9 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
overnight. Lows in the mid 60s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Numerous showers and thunderstorms until
midday, then scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Highs in the lower 80s.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s.

$$



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