Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 120738
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
338 AM EDT SAT JUL 12 2014

...SHOWERS ARRIVE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
TODAY...BUT THE BULK OF THEM SHOULD HOLD UNTIL LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. THE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL THEN CONTINUE INTO
TONIGHT...BEFORE DIMINISHING SUNDAY MORNING. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN
WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING MAINLY ALONG
AND SOUTH OF I-96. THERE IS ALSO THE SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS
TONIGHT...MAINLY SOUTHWEST OF GRAND RAPIDS. WE WILL GRADUALLY DRY
OUT SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT. THEN MORE SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN ON MONDAY...MAINLY NORTH OF
I-96. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND 80 TODAY AND
SUNDAY...THEN COOL TO 70 TO 75 BY MONDAY.

THE SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE OUT OF THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT WITH
COOLER AIR FILTERING IN.  HIGHS ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY SHOULD ONLY
BE AROUND 70...BUT THEN WARM TO AROUND 80 FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.


MIZ037>039-043>045-122015-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
338 AM EDT SAT JUL 12 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1800. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200
                    UNTIL 1800...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800-900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.17 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 2200...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.30-0.47 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 56-61
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 11
                    PERCENT DRIER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6700-7200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1500-1700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.


$$

MIZ040-046-122015-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
338 AM EDT SAT JUL 12 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1800. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200
                    UNTIL 1800...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900-1100 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.30-0.49 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) UNTIL 1100...THEN PARTLY
                    SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6100-6600 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1400 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.10 IN.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-122015-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
338 AM EDT SAT JUL 12 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1800. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1800...THEN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5300 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    4900-5400 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.21 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...2000-2100 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.42-0.86 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 1300...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 52-57
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 16
                    PERCENT DRIER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-3600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5800-6300 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1400 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.30 IN.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-122015-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
338 AM EDT SAT JUL 12 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1800. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200
                    UNTIL 1800...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.21 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.44-0.72 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 1300...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-4200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5900-6400 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1400 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.27 IN.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-122015-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
338 AM EDT SAT JUL 12 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1800. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1800...THEN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800-900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07-0.20 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 35 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...2000-2100 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.52-0.83 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1600...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 1400...THEN A CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-3700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300-5800 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.18-0.41 IN.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL MIDDAY...THEN A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.



$$






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