Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 272003
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
403 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

...A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS POSSIBLE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT WILL TOUCH
OFF A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS. THE FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH INTO
INDIANA AND OHIO ON THURSDAY WITH THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
STORMS CONTINUING ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. IT
WILL TREND SLIGHTLY COOLER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS.

MIZ037>039-043>045-280830-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
403 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 2300...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...600-1100 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...3900-4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO
                    700-1200 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.16 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500-6000 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    7400-7900 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.12 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...1600-2100 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...5200-5700 FT AGL DECREASING TO
                    1800-2300 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-500 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 39-44
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 10
                    PERCENT DRIER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100-6600 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    8000-8500 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ040-046-280830-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
403 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700-6200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 900-1400 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7800-8300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 2200...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-5700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000-1500 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-500 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300-7800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-280830-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...GRAND HAVEN...JENISON...
HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
403 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...400-900 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...3600-4100 FT AGL DECREASING TO
                    500-1000 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-300 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.19 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7100-7600 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    8700-9200 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.18 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...2400-2900 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...4900-5400 FT AGL DECREASING TO
                    1100-1600 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-400 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.18 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...7000-7500 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...6200-6700 FT AGL INCREASING TO
                    8300-8800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-280830-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
403 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 0100...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300-7800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-1100 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...900 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 200 (FAIR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100-6600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8700-9200 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.16 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 0300...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200-6700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000-1500 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 200 (FAIR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.11 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8300-8800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-280830-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
403 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8500-9000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-800 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600-7100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9600-10100 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-900 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.13 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 0700...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500-7000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800-1300 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.23 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8800-9300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 9 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
9 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO
9 MPH.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90.



$$


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