Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook) Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
000
FNUS53 KGRR 141920
FWFGRR
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
320 PM EDT Sun Apr 14 2024
...Dry Weather Through Monday Night then Rain Tuesday...
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will bring dry weather for tonight, Monday and Monday
night. Rain will develop on Tuesday and persist into Wednesday. The
rain will develop Tuesday along and ahead of a warm front. A cold
front will sweep through on Wednesday bringing more rain. Monday`s
weather will feature mostly sunny skies and light winds given high
pressure in the area. Light winds under 5 knots Monday morning will
become west-northwest in the afternoon at 10 to 15 knots.
MIZ037>039-043>045-150830-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
320 PM EDT Sun Apr 14 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....36-41.
24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North winds around 6 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......400-900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....40-70 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....62-67.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........40-45 percent near Lake Michigan and 28-33
percent Inland.
24 hr trend......1 percent drier near Lake Michigan and
unchanged Inland.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2200-2700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
5300-5800 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1160-1280 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....33-38.
24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........80-85 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60-140 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....60-65.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........29-34 percent.
24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 13 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......3000-3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 15 mph increasing to around 25 mph
in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....570-710 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.
$$
MIZ040-046-150830-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
320 PM EDT Sun Apr 14 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....36-41.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North winds around 7 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....40-140 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....62-67.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........31 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6600-7100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph increasing to northwest
around 20 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....1270-1400 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....33-38.
24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........80-85 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....40-240 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 61.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........31-36 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....540-650 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.
$$
MIZ050-056-064-071-150830-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
320 PM EDT Sun Apr 14 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 44.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........78-83 percent.
24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northeast overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....50-60 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....66-71.
24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........37-42 percent near Lake Michigan and 28-33
percent Inland.
24 hr trend......1 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 4
percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
4700-5200 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....700-790 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....40-45.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........74-79 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....90 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....63-68.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....550-730 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.07 in.
$$
MIZ051-052-057>059-150830-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
320 PM EDT Sun Apr 14 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 43.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........81-86 percent.
24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North winds around 6 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 68.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........27-32 percent.
24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6800-7300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1050-1320 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....37-42.
24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........80-85 percent.
24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph shifting to the east
overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....70-90 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....61-66.
24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........32-37 percent.
24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......3000-3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....560-680 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.
$$
MIZ065>067-072>074-150830-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
320 PM EDT Sun Apr 14 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 45.
24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......400-900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60-120 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 69.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........27-32 percent.
24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 11 mph in
the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5900-6400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph shifting to the west in the
afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....800-1150 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent) until 2 AM, then partly
cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....40-45.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........80-85 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds around 7 mph shifting to the east
around 8 mph overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph shifting to the east
overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....80-90 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....65-70.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........41-46 percent.
24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....490-590 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.08 in.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely in the evening, then showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms overnight. Lows in the upper 40s.
East winds 16 to 21 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers. Chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 60s.
Southeast winds 16 to 21 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Southwest winds 13 to 18 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds 12 to
17 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. West winds
8 to 13 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds 12 to
17 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s.
$$