Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 271837
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
237 PM EDT WED MAY 27 2015

...DRY WEATHER EXPECTED UNTIL FRIDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
RAIN CHANCES WILL DIMINISH BEGINNING THIS EVENING. ANOTHER WET
PERIOD IS EXPECTED FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WHEN CLOSE TO ONE INCH
OF RAIN IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA. THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY
DRY AND COOL CONDITIONS LASTING WELL INTO THE COMING WEEK.

MIZ037>039-043>045-280815-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
237 PM EDT WED MAY 27 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...300-800 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...2100-2600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-500
                    FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-400 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2200 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    8600-9100 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...100-600 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...2800-3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-700
                    FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-300 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1900 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    5600-6100 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1600-1900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.14 IN.


$$

MIZ040-046-280815-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
237 PM EDT WED MAY 27 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-3900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9300-9800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1200 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.12 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-4900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-700 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-500 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600-8100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1900-2300 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.10 IN.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-280815-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
237 PM EDT WED MAY 27 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...400-900 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...1800-2300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200
                    FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000-5500 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    7600-8100 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...2100-2600 FT AGL
                    DECREASING TO 0-400 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...4400-4900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-500
                    FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-500 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700-5200 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    6400-6900 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1600-1900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.09 IN.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-280815-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
237 PM EDT WED MAY 27 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-3900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6800-7300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8800-9300 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100-5600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-500 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8400-8900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1700 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 2300 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-280815-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
237 PM EDT WED MAY 27 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500-7000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8500-9000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-4900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500 (GOOD) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR) OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8700-9200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1600 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 2300 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...COLDER. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO
12 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...WARMER. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.

$$

TJT



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