Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 040737
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
337 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

...COLD AND WET TODAY THEN DRYING OUT BY FRIDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
A SYSTEM DROPPING INTO THE AREA TODAY WILL BRING SHOWERS TO ALL OF
THE AREA. THE BEST CHANCES OF RAIN WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO ALONG AND
EAST OF U.S.-131 THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL BECOME
A BIT GUSTY...AND TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN COOL WITH HIGHS NO WARMER
THAN THE MID 50S WITH CLOUDS AND RAIN SHOWERS.

CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE ON THURSDAY AS THE SYSTEM MOVES OUT OF THE
AREA. HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN THROUGH FRIDAY BRINGING
DRIER AND WARMER WEATHER TO THE AREA.



MIZ037>039-043>045-042030-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
337 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1800...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......35 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 18 TO 23 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    32 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-2900 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    3200-3700 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 25 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 35 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.39 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 0600...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1300 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    2500-3000 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 25 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND
                    15 MPH OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 200 (FAIR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SPRINKLES AFTER 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2400 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    7300-7800 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ040-046-042030-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
337 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......42 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.27-0.45 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-400 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SPRINKLES AFTER 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000-7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-042030-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...GRAND HAVEN...JENISON...
HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
337 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1400...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......34 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 17 TO 22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    31 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.35 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0500.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...1800-2300 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...3000-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO
                    800-1300 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 30 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 300 (GOOD)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SPRINKLES AFTER 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-3800 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    7400-7900 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1300-1400 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-042030-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
337 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......31 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.22-0.51 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800-1300 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 300 (GOOD)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SPRINKLES AFTER 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600-8100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100-1500 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-042030-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
337 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......31 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1400-1500 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.22-0.48 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 0200...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-1100 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 200 (FAIR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.10 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SPRINKLES AFTER 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300-7800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1400-1700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...COLDER. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTHWEST
WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 6 TO
11 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND 70.



$$



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