Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6
000
FNUS53 KGRR 151918
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
318 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2017

...Dry into Wednesday night then Showers and Thunderstorms...

.DISCUSSION...High pressure will keep the region dry into Wednesday,
when moist air will flow north ahead of a low pressure system
bringing showers and thunderstorms to the area late Wednesday night
into early Friday.


MIZ037>039-043>045-160830-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
318 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Patchy fog after
                    0200.
Min temperature.....53-58.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........99 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......400-900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1300-1800
                    ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor to poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....79-84.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........56-61 percent near Lake Michigan and 47-52
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 2
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5600-6100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6600-7100 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-700 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 0200.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 800-1300 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 3700-4200 ft AGL decreasing to
                    600-1100 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-400 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.16 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....74-79.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........69-74 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3000-3500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5200-5700 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600 (excellent) increasing to 1100 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.33-0.83 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-160830-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
318 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Patchy fog after
                    0200.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 79.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6000-6500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 0100, then
                    mostly cloudy (80-90 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 63.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........68-73 percent.
   24 hr trend......22 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft AGL increasing to 4800-5300 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-800 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.46-0.83 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-160830-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
318 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Patchy fog after
                    0200.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1300-1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the southeast
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor to poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....79-84.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5700-6200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6500-7000 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2200, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 68.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 900-1400 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 3700-4200 ft AGL decreasing to
                    700-1200 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph increasing to around 15
                    mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.09-0.31 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....78-83.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........67-72 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4900-5400 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.36-0.70 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-160830-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
318 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Patchy fog after
                    0200.
Min temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 7 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....79-84.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6400-6900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 0200.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3400-3900 ft AGL decreasing to 500-1000 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.20 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........67-72 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3400-3900 ft AGL increasing to 5500-6000 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600 (excellent) increasing to 1100 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.40-0.70 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-160830-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
318 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Patchy fog after
                    0200.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 83.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5700-6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-500 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.09-0.37 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........65-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3800-4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-900 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.38-0.71 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. West winds 5 to 9 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers until midday. Highs
in the mid 70s. West winds 7 to 12 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. West winds
5 to 9 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 70s. West winds 5 to 9 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Southwest
winds 5 to 6 mph in the evening becoming light.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. West winds 5 to 9 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers overnight. Lows in
the lower 60s.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower
80s.

$$

63



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.