Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 181933
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
333 PM EDT THU SEP 18 2014

...RAIN RETURNS LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...QUIET AND PLEASANT WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
FRIDAY. IT WILL BE A SLIGHTLY WARMER WITH HIGHS ON FRIDAY IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S WITH A MIX OF CLOUDS AND SUNSHINE. THE RISK
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS RETURN LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND ARE
EXPECTED TO LINGER INTO SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. A FEW OF
THESE STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 60S
OVER CENTRAL LOWER TO AROUND 80 OVER FAR SOUTHERN LOWER.

MUCH OF NEXT WEEK APPEARS TO BE DRY.  TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO
BE NEAR NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S AND LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO AROUND 50.


MIZ037>039-043>045-190815-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
333 PM EDT THU SEP 18 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-4200 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    4800-5300 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH
                    AROUND 15 MPH OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-800 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 49-54
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 1
                    PERCENT WETTER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100-1400 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 0700...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3200 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    3600-4100 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 45 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1500 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.15-0.34 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5700-6200 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 40 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1800 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ040-046-190815-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
333 PM EDT THU SEP 18 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 0700...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST
                    AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 20 MPH OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1200 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 0700...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......18 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 40 TO 45 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1300-1500 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.17 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........71-76 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 35 TO 40 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1400 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.12 IN.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-190815-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
333 PM EDT THU SEP 18 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 2200...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 0500...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600-6100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300-5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3300 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    3700-4200 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 35 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 45 MPH OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...1400 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.33 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 58-63
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 18
                    PERCENT WETTER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 40 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1700 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.15-0.27 IN.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-190815-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
333 PM EDT THU SEP 18 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 2200...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 0600...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100-5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1200 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 35 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 45 MPH OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...1300-1400 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.23 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 40 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1700 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.13-0.26 IN.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-190815-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
333 PM EDT THU SEP 18 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 2300...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 0300...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100-5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 30 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 40 MPH OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1900...THEN
                    CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400...THEN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 40 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1700 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.13-0.25 IN.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO
11 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70.



$$






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