Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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469
FNUS53 KGRR 240753
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
353 AM EDT Sat Jun 24 2017

...COOLER WITH A FEW SHOWERS THIS WEEKEND...

.DISCUSSION...A fall like airmass will gradually filter into the
Great Lakes region this weekend and early next week. Highs will reach
the low 70s today, around 70 on Sunday and peak in the 60s on Monday.
Scattered showers are possible the next 3 days. An isolated storm may
occur during the afternoon and early evening hours as well.

MIZ037>039-043>045-242015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
353 AM EDT Sat Jun 24 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) until 1300, then
                    partly sunny (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1100. chance of thunderstorms
                    after 1400.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....67-72.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........57-62 percent near Lake Michigan and 47-52
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged near Lake Michigan and 19 percent
                    wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......West winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5700-6200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6900-7400 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1300-1600 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.13 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 0500, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2300. chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....49-54.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 5100-5600 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 6000-6500 ft AGL decreasing to
                    4000-4500 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1300 (excellent) decreasing to 800 (excellent)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.12 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. chance of thunderstorms after 1400.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........58-63 percent near Lake Michigan and 47-52
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 3
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......West winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4600-5100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6200-6700 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1400-1500 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-242015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
353 AM EDT Sat Jun 24 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) until 1300, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1100. chance of thunderstorms
                    after 1400.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7100-7600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1500 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.23 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 0700, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2300. chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4900-5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800-1100 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. chance of thunderstorms after 1400.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6600-7100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1400 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.12 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-242015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
353 AM EDT Sat Jun 24 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6900-7400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    7100-7600 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph increasing to around 25 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....1700-2000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 6300-6800 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 6300-6800 ft AGL decreasing to
                    3200-3700 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1700 (excellent) decreasing to 700 (excellent)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5600-6100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6100-6600 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1500-1600 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-242015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
353 AM EDT Sat Jun 24 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) until 1400, then
                    partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 1100. slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 1400.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 11 to 16 mph. Gusts up to 26 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7600-8100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph increasing to around 25 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....1600-1900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.09 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 0200.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6300-6800 ft AGL decreasing to 2200-2700 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph becoming southwest around 5
                    mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....1600 (excellent) decreasing to 200 (fair)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. chance of thunderstorms after 1400.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7000-7500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1600-1700 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.09 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-242015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
353 AM EDT Sat Jun 24 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 74.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 12 to 17 mph. Gusts up to 27 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......8000-8500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph increasing to around 25 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....1800-1900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 0200.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6000-6500 ft AGL decreasing to 1700-2200 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1600 (excellent) decreasing to 300 (good)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 13 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7100-7600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1600-1800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. West winds 6 to 11 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid 60s.
Northwest winds 9 to 14 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds
5 to 9 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the afternoon. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds 8 to 13 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Warmer. Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening, then showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms overnight. Lows in the mid 60s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 70s.

$$



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