Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 230718
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
318 AM EDT Mon Oct 23 2017

...Fall Weather Has Arrived...

.DISCUSSION...
Rain, occasionally heavy, will spread across the area this afternoon
and last much of tonight. Rain will continue Tuesday before
tapering off Tuesday night. Rain showers will be less frequent for
the latter half of this week. Temperatures will be seasonably
cool with highs in the upper 40s to low 50s for much of the week.
It will feel blustery Tuesday and Wednesday with gusty winds.

MIZ037>039-043>045-232030-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
318 AM EDT Mon Oct 23 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......near 100 percent.
Max temperature.....53-58.
   24 hr trend......18 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........80-85 percent.
   24 hr trend......27 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-500 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.26-2.28 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......near 100 percent.
Min temperature.....45-50.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 11 to 16 mph with gusts to
                    around 27 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000-1100 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.95-1.69 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......near 100 percent.
Max temperature.....47-52.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........77-82 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3800-4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1300-1400 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.27-0.70 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-232030-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
318 AM EDT Mon Oct 23 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......near 100 percent.
Max temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......19 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........83-88 percent.
   24 hr trend......43 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........1.12-2.27 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......near 100 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2200-2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.93-2.02 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 49.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........77-82 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.19-0.33 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-232030-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
318 AM EDT Mon Oct 23 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......near 100 percent.
Max temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........83-88 percent.
   24 hr trend......33 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph increasing to north
                    around 20 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....200-600 (fair to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.94-2.03 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......near 100 percent.
Min temperature.....47-52.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 11 to 16 mph and gusty.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.39-1.08 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......near 100 percent.
Max temperature.....48-53.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........77-82 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4000-4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1200-1500 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.43-0.78 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-232030-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
318 AM EDT Mon Oct 23 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......near 100 percent.
Max temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........70-75 percent.
   24 hr trend......38 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.54-2.12 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......near 100 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 12 to 17 mph with gusts to around 30
                    mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2300-2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800-900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.43-1.55 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....48-53.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........74-79 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 12 to 17 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.17-0.59 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-232030-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
318 AM EDT Mon Oct 23 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......near 100 percent.
Max temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........62-67 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph increasing to south
                    around 20 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....300-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.38-1.64 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers until
                    0500, then a chance of rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 26
                    mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2200-2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.41-1.01 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 50.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........69-74 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 11 to 16 mph with gusts to
                    around 27 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3300-3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000-1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.11-0.63 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Showers in the evening, then a chance of
showers overnight. Lows around 40. West winds 12 to 17 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 40s. West winds 8 to 13 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Southwest
winds 5 to 9 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. South winds 6 to
11 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Southwest
winds 6 to 11 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs around 50.
Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
40s.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s.

$$



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