Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 231950
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
350 PM EDT Tue May 23 2017

...Wet weather to continue the next couple days...

.DISCUSSION...
Showers and a few thunderstorms remain in the forecast from this
evening through the day on Wednesday. A low pressure system moving
north from the Ohio Valley will bring additional rain some of which
that may be heavy across portions of Southern Lower Michigan
Wednesday night into Thursday. Temperatures will be a bit cooler than
normal through Thursday.

MIZ037>039-043>045-240815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
350 PM EDT Tue May 23 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Isolated thunderstorms
                    until 0200. rain showers likely.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....47-52.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 7 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 1300-1800 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 3800-4300 ft AGL decreasing to
                    1800-2300 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.05-0.22 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers.
                    chance of thunderstorms after 1400.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6900-7400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1100-1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.12-0.19 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-500 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.26 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2200-2700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4000-4500 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-240815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
350 PM EDT Tue May 23 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Isolated thunderstorms
                    until 0200. rain showers likely.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 7 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft AGL decreasing to 400-900 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.09 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    until 1400, then rain showers likely and a
                    chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........58-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-500 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.06-0.21 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-400 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.10-0.29 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........60-65 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2200-2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.09 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-240815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
350 PM EDT Tue May 23 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely and
                    isolated thunderstorms until 0200, then a
                    chance of rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2600-3100 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.20 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    until 1400, then rain showers likely and a
                    chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6100-6600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph increasing to around 20 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....800-1100 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.16-0.48 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely
                    until 0200, then a chance of rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.06-0.35 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........59-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-240815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
350 PM EDT Tue May 23 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and isolated thunderstorms until 0200,
                    then a chance of rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2200-2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph increasing to around 15
                    mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.08 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    until 1400, then rain showers likely and a
                    chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........59-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-700 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.17-0.30 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.22-0.38 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........60-65 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.14 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-240815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
350 PM EDT Tue May 23 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Isolated
                    thunderstorms until 0200. chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL decreasing to 300-800 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-400 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    until 1400, then rain showers and a chance of
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........59-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5900-6400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800-1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.27-0.50 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers likely.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.31-0.43 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........63-68 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.14 in.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 50. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds 5 to
9 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 50s. South winds 5 to 8 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
70s. South winds 5 to 9 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in
the lower 70s. West winds 8 to 13 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers until midday, then a
chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs around
70.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows around
50.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.



$$


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