Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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020
FNUS53 KGRR 050741
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
341 AM EDT THU MAY 5 2016

...DRIER AND MILDER THROUGH FRIDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE DAY TODAY.
SOME CLOUDS WILL BE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AWAY FROM LAKE MICHIGAN...
WITH EVEN A SPRINKLE POSSIBLE. TEMPERATURES WILL RECOVER INTO THE
60S. FRIDAY LOOKS LIKE A VERY NICE DAY WITH A GOOD DEAL OF SUNSHINE
AND HIGHS AROUND 70.

A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA MAINLY ON SATURDAY MORNING.
THIS WILL BRING A CHANCE OF A FEW SHOWERS AND EVEN A STORM. SKIES
WILL CLEAR OUT SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY NIGHT. THERE WILL BE
OCCASIONAL CHANCES OF RAIN NEXT WEEK WITH MULTIPLE SYSTEMS EXPECTED
TO IMPACT THE AREA.



MIZ037>039-043>045-052015-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
341 AM EDT THU MAY 5 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SPRINKLES AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......19 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......43 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-3700 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    7700-8200 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 95-100
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...400-900 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...2600-3100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300
                    FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...500 (GOOD) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR) OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2200 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    3400-3900 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-400 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ040-046-052015-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
341 AM EDT THU MAY 5 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SPRINKLES AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
   24 HR TREND......19 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......45 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7800-8300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900-6400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-400 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-400 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-052015-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...GRAND HAVEN...JENISON...
HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
341 AM EDT THU MAY 5 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SPRINKLES AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100-5600 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    7900-8400 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1400 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...1100-1600 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...2400-2900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200
                    FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-400 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-2700 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    3600-4100 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-400 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-052015-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
341 AM EDT THU MAY 5 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SPRINKLES AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7700-8200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1500 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200-6700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-400 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-052015-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
341 AM EDT THU MAY 5 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SPRINKLES AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......30 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8100-8600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1400-1800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600-6100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-1000 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 7 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300-5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-400 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MIDDAY...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...COLDER. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTHWEST
WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 5 TO 6 MPH OVERNIGHT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S.



$$



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