Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI

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FGUS73 KMKX 132159
ESFMKX
WIC021-045-111-140359-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
359 PM CST SUN DEC 13 2015

...Rising river levels with flooding possible later this week...

Low pressure over the central Plains this afternoon will
lift north into central Wisconsin by Monday afternoon.
Ahead of the low will be a surge of deep subtropical moisture. This
anomalously high moisture will lead to favorable conditions for moderate
to heavy rain across southern Wisconsin over the next few days. Storm
total rainfall amounts of 1.5 to 2.5 inches are expected...and this will
result in rises on area rivers and streams. The potential exists for
rivers to reach their bankfull levels...with some possibly reaching
flood stage. Please monitor the latest river forecasts and statements
closely.

Below is preliminary river forecast information. River forecasts are
normally updated twice a day-in the morning and evening. Seven day
river forecasts take into account past precipitation...soil
moisture, etc...and predicted future precipitation for the next 48
hours.

...Wisconsin River at Portage...
...Baraboo River at Baraboo...
...Pecatonica River at Martintown...


-                                                Maximum
(stages in ft.)             Latest              forecast
               Flood       observed           stage in next
Location       stage     stage/time/day          7 days
Baraboo        16.0     8.18 02 PM 12/13     18.20  12 PM 12/17
Martintown     13.5     7.26 02 PM 12/13     15.00  12 AM 12/17
Portage        17.0    12.47 03 PM 12/13     20.00  12 AM 12/18

...Below is predicted 48 hour precipitation information in 6 hour
increments for the listed sites...

(BABW3)  6-hour precipitation amounts (in.)
Baraboo: 6 pm-midn   0.04
Baraboo: midn-6 am   0.38
Baraboo: 6 am-noon   0.39
Baraboo: noon-6 pm   0.36

(MTNW3)  6-hour precipitation amounts (in.)
Martintown: 6 pm-midn   0.07
Martintown: midn-6 am   0.38
Martintown: 6 am-noon   0.39
Martintown: noon-6 pm   0.45

(PORW3)  6-hour precipitation amounts (in.)
Portage: 6 pm-midn   0.04
Portage: midn-6 am   0.34
Portage: 6 am-noon   0.37
Portage: noon-6 pm   0.36

$$
SPM


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