Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI

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000
FNUS53 KMQT 220934
FWFMQT

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR UPPER MICHIGAN
National Weather Service Marquette MI
534 AM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

...UNSEASONABLY WARM AND HUMID TODAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH A
SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY FAR WEST...

.DISCUSSION: Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible this
morning over western Upper Michigan. Unseasonably warm and humid
conditions are then expected this afternoon through Sunday. Some
record highs will likely be set as afternoon temperatures rise
well into the 80s across much of Upper Michigan each day.
Conditions will be cooler near Lake Michigan and Lake Huron. There
will be a small chance of showers and thunderstorms over far
western Upper Michigan Saturday and Sunday. A cold front slowly
moving across the Upper Michigan late Monday and Tuesday will then
bring an increasing chance of showers and thunderstorms eastward
across the area. Temperatures will fall back to near normal on
Wednesday.

MIZ001-003-230945-
Keweenaw-Northern Houghton-
Including the cities of Copper Harbor, Houghton, and Hancock
534 AM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Areas of fog. Scattered rain
                    showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....82-87 inland to around 75 at the shore.
   24 hr trend......17 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........62-67 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 7 to 12 mph.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.07 inch.
Hours of Sun........5.
LAL.................3 until 1300, then 2 until 1600, then 1 until
                    1800, then 2 until 1900, then 3.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Areas of fog through midnight.
                    Isolated rain showers and thunderstorms. Chance
                    of precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 6 to 11 mph shifting to the southwest
                    late.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.09 inch on the keweenaw
                    peninsula...and 0.19-0.26 inch over isle
                    royale.
LAL.................2 until 0200, then 3 until 0700, then 2.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers
                    by mid afternoon. A slight chance of
                    thunderstorms late. Chance of precipitation 20
                    percent.
Max temperature.....83-88 inland to around 78 at the shore.
Min humidity........56-61 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 8 to 13 mph.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.01 inch.
Hours of Sun........6.
LAL.................1 until 1700, then 2.

$$

MIZ002-009-084-230945-
Ontonagon-Gogebic-Southern Houghton-
Including the cities of Ontonagon, Ironwood, Kenton, and Sidnaw
534 AM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017 /434 AM CDT Fri Sep 22 2017/

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Areas of fog early. Scattered
                    rain showers and thunderstorms through mid
                    afternoon. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 87 inland to around 81 at the shore.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 8 to 13 mph with gusts to around 25 mph.
PCPN amount.........0.04-0.11 inch.
Hours of Sun........7.
LAL.................3 until 1300, then 2 until 1600, then 1.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Isolated rain showers and
                    thunderstorms late. Chance of precipitation 20
                    percent.
Min temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........85-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 8 to 13 mph.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.02 inch.
LAL.................1 until 0200, then 2 until 0700, then 1.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers
                    by mid afternoon. A slight chance of
                    thunderstorms late. Chance of precipitation 20
                    percent.
Max temperature.....Around 86 inland to around 80 at the shore.
Min humidity........51-56 percent inland to 60 percent at the
                    shore.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 6 to 11 mph.
PCPN amount.........None .
Hours of Sun........7.
LAL.................1 until 1700, then 2.

$$

MIZ004-005-230945-
Baraga-Marquette-
Including the cities of L`Anse, Gwinn, and Marquette
534 AM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Areas of fog through early
                    afternoon. Isolated rain showers and
                    thunderstorms through mid afternoon. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 9 to 14 mph with gusts to around 25
                    mph.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.04 inch.
Hours of Sun........7.
LAL.................3 until 1300, then 2 until 1600, then 1.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....Around 68.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent inland to 84 percent at the
                    shore.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 6 to 11 mph.
PCPN amount.........None .
LAL.................1.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    through early afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None .
Hours of Sun........9.
LAL.................1.

$$

MIZ010-011-230945-
Iron-Dickinson-
Including the cities of Iron River and Iron Mountain
434 AM CDT Fri Sep 22 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Areas of fog through early
                    afternoon. Isolated rain showers and
                    thunderstorms through mid afternoon. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph by mid
                    afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.04 inch.
Hours of Sun........8.
LAL.................2 until 0900, then 3 until 1300, then 2 until
                    1600, then 1.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........90-95 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PCPN amount.........None .
LAL.................1.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 6 to 11 mph.
PCPN amount.........None .
Hours of Sun........10.
LAL.................1.

$$

MIZ012-230945-
Menominee-
Including the city of Menominee
434 AM CDT Fri Sep 22 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming sunny. Areas of fog
                    through early afternoon.
Max temperature.....86-91.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph by mid
                    afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None .
Hours of Sun........8.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 7 to 12 mph.
PCPN amount.........None .
LAL.................1.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 88 inland to around 82 at the shore.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 6 to 11 mph.
PCPN amount.........None .
Hours of Sun........11.
LAL.................1.

$$

MIZ006-007-085-230945-
Alger-Luce-Northern Schoolcraft-
Including the cities of Grand Marais, Munising, Newberry,
and Seney
534 AM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Areas of fog through early
                    afternoon. Isolated rain showers and
                    thunderstorms by late morning. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........59-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph by mid
                    afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.01 inch.
Hours of Sun........8.
LAL.................1 until 1100, then 2 until 1600, then 1.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Patchy fog late.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent inland to 89 percent at the
                    shore.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
PCPN amount.........None .
LAL.................1.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....83-88.
Min humidity........52-57 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 8 to 13 mph.
PCPN amount.........None .
Hours of Sun........11.
LAL.................1.

$$

MIZ008-230945-
Chippewa-
Including the city of Sault Ste. Marie
534 AM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Areas of fog through early
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....81-86.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........62-67 percent inland to 58 percent at the
                    shore.
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 8 to 13 mph.
PCPN amount.........None .
Hours of Sun........7.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Areas of fog by midnight.
                    Isolated rain showers and thunderstorms by
                    midnight. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South 7 to 12 mph.
PCPN amount.........None .
LAL.................1 until 2300, then 2 until 0700, then 1.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....80-85.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 6 to 11 mph.
PCPN amount.........None .
Hours of Sun........11.
LAL.................1.

$$

MIZ013-014-230945-
Delta-Southern Schoolcraft-
Including the cities of Escanaba, Gladstone, and Manistique
534 AM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Areas of fog through mid
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....82-87 inland to around 74 at the shore.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........59-64 percent inland to 70 percent at the
                    shore.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
PCPN amount.........None .
Hours of Sun........8.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear. Areas of fog.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent inland to 91 percent at the
                    shore.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 7 to 12 mph.
PCPN amount.........None .
LAL.................1.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....83-88 inland to around 75 at the shore.
Min humidity........51-56 percent inland to 62 percent at the
                    shore.
20-foot winds.......South 8 to 13 mph.
PCPN amount.........None .
Hours of Sun........11.
LAL.................1.

$$

MIZ015-230945-
Mackinac-
Including the city of St. Ignace
534 AM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Areas of fog through mid
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....78-83 inland to around 73 at the shore.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........64-69 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 7 to 12 mph.
PCPN amount.........None .
Hours of Sun........8.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Areas of fog by midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........96-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 7 to 12 mph.
PCPN amount.........None .
LAL.................1.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....78-83 inland to around 74 at the shore.
Min humidity........61-66 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 7 to 12 mph.
PCPN amount.........None .
Hours of Sun........11.
LAL.................1.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of rain showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 65. Highs around 83 inland to around
77 at the shore. South 4 to 9 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy with a chance of rain showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. Lows around 62. Highs 76 to 81 inland to around 70 at
the shore. South 3 to 8 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. Lows 57 to 62. Highs 71 to 76 inland to around 67 at the
shore. South 3 to 8 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
rain showers. Lows 50 to 55 inland to around 57 at the shore. Highs
60 to 65 inland to around 59 at the shore.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows 44 to 49. Highs 57 to 62.

.Outlook for Fri Sep 29 through Thu Oct  5...expect below normal
temperatures and below normal precipitation.

$$

...................Smoke Management Forecast data....................

The following values are for 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) today:

                          Haines    Mixing  Transport  Ventilation
WIMS ID/         Site/     Index  / Height /  Winds   /    Index
------------------------------------------------------------------
471301 /    WAUSAUKEE/ 3 VERY LOW  / 3600  / SW 21   /   756 (E)
200301 /       KENTON/ 3 VERY LOW  / 2900  / SW 19   /   551 (G)
200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/ 3 VERY LOW  / 3800  / SW 20   /   760 (E)
201004 /     MUNISING/ 3 VERY LOW  / 1300  / SW 20   /   260 (F)
201002 /     DOE LAKE/ 3 VERY LOW  / 1800  / SW 20   /   360 (G)
201103 /  HIGH BRIDGE/ 3 VERY LOW  / 1400  / SW 19   /   266 (F)
200703 /        GWINN/ 3 VERY LOW  / 3500  / SW 24   /   840 (E)
200903 /    LABRANCHE/ 3 VERY LOW  / 2400  / SW 20   /   480 (G)
200503 /       PELKIE/ 3 VERY LOW  / 3300  / SW 17   /   561 (G)
201504 /         RACO/ 3 VERY LOW  / 2100  / SW 20   /   420 (G)
200802 /    RANDVILLE/ 3 VERY LOW  / 3700  / SW 23   /   851 (E)
201401 /       REXTON/ 3 VERY LOW  / 1200  / SW 19   /   228 (F)
201505 /      RUDYARD/ 4 LOW       / 2100  / SW 18   /   378 (G)
201202 /        SENEY/ 3 VERY LOW  / 1900  / SW 20   /   380 (G)
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 3 VERY LOW  / 1800  / SW 20   /   360 (G)
201102 /   STONINGTON/ 3 VERY LOW  / 1300  / SW 19   /   247 (F)
200102 /    WAKEFIELD/ 4 LOW       / 1600  / SW 20   /   320 (G)
200103 /   WATERSMEET/ 3 VERY LOW  / 2500  / SW 21   /   525 (G)
       /DRUMND ISLAND/ 3 VERY LOW  / 1300  / SW 13   /   169 (F)
       /          KEW/ 3 VERY LOW  / 800   / SW 13   /   104 (P)

THE FOLLOWING VALUES ARE FOR 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) Sat...

                          Haines    Mixing  Transport  Ventilation
WIMS ID/         Site/     Index  / Height /  Winds   /    Index
------------------------------------------------------------------
471301 /    WAUSAUKEE/ 5 MODERATE  / 3600  / SW 24   /   864 (E)
200301 /       KENTON/ 3 VERY LOW  / 4300  / SW 20   /   860 (E)
200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/ 3 VERY LOW  / 4600  / SW 21   /   966 (E)
201004 /     MUNISING/ 5 MODERATE  / 500   / SW 24   /   120 (P)
201002 /     DOE LAKE/ 5 MODERATE  / 2600  / SW 24   /   624 (E)
201103 /  HIGH BRIDGE/ 4 LOW       / 1900  / SW 25   /   475 (G)
200703 /        GWINN/ 6 HIGH      / 3500  / SW 26   /   910 (E)
200903 /    LABRANCHE/ 6 HIGH      / 3300  / SW 24   /   792 (E)
200503 /       PELKIE/ 3 VERY LOW  / 4300  / SW 19   /   817 (E)
201504 /         RACO/ 4 LOW       / 1500  / SW 27   /   405 (G)
200802 /    RANDVILLE/ 6 HIGH      / 3800  / SW 24   /   912 (E)
201401 /       REXTON/ 5 MODERATE  / 1100  / SW 27   /   297 (F)
201505 /      RUDYARD/ 5 MODERATE  / 1300  / W 25    /   325 (G)
201202 /        SENEY/ 4 LOW       / 1700  / SW 25   /   425 (G)
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 4 LOW       / 1600  / SW 25   /   400 (G)
201102 /   STONINGTON/ 4 LOW       / 1800  / SW 24   /   432 (G)
200102 /    WAKEFIELD/ 3 VERY LOW  / 3700  / SW 21   /   777 (E)
200103 /   WATERSMEET/ 3 VERY LOW  / 4200  / SW 21   /   882 (E)
       /DRUMND ISLAND/ 5 MODERATE  / 1300  / W 25    /   325 (G)
       /          KEW/ 3 VERY LOW  / 2800  / W 21    /   588 (G)

Note:  Mixing heights are in feet above ground level
       Transport winds are in miles per hour

.....................................................................

The following is point forecast information valid at 1 PM EST.
Note that the QPF is from 7 AM to 1 PM EST. Also, wind speeds have
been reduced by a factor of 0.7 by the request of local fire officials.

WIMS ID/         Site/Temp/  RH/WSPD/WGST/WDIR/ QPF
---------------------------------------------------
471301 /    WAUSAUKEE/  87/  55/   6/  10/   S/0.00
200301 /       KENTON/  83/  65/   8/  12/  SW/0.04
200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/  84/  61/   8/  13/   S/0.04
201004 /     MUNISING/  81/  65/   7/  10/   S/0.00
201002 /     DOE LAKE/  84/  60/   7/  10/   S/0.00
201103 /  HIGH BRIDGE/  83/  63/   6/  10/   S/0.00
200703 /        GWINN/  84/  60/   8/  12/   S/0.01
200903 /    LABRANCHE/  85/  59/   6/  10/   S/0.00
200503 /       PELKIE/  84/  63/   7/  12/  SW/0.04
201504 /         RACO/  82/  64/   7/  11/   S/0.00
200802 /    RANDVILLE/  84/  62/   6/  10/   S/0.00
201401 /       REXTON/  79/  71/   7/  10/   S/0.00
201505 /      RUDYARD/  82/  64/   8/  11/  SW/0.00
201202 /        SENEY/  83/  65/   7/  10/   S/0.00
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/  82/  67/   7/  10/   S/0.00
201102 /   STONINGTON/  81/  67/   5/   8/   S/0.00
200102 /    WAKEFIELD/  80/  72/   8/  13/   S/0.07
200103 /   WATERSMEET/  81/  67/   8/  15/   S/0.04
       /DRUMND ISLAND/  81/  65/   2/   3/   S/0.00
       /          KEW/  80/  70/   5/   8/   S/0.05
$$

JLB



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