Area Forecast Discussion Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX
000
FXUS64 KAMA 171722
AFDAMA
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1222 PM CDT Sun Mar 17 2024
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM ...
(Today through Monday night)
Issued at 408 AM CDT Sun Mar 17 2024
The H500 cutoff low in the southwestern CONUS should remain
stationary for the short term period. A surface trough sweeps
through our CWA this morning, while the upper level flow stays
west-southwesterly. By Monday, a surface high will move across
the area as the H500 low pressure system prepares to transition
east.
Some isolated shower are ongoing for a few areas in the northern
Texas Panhandle, but accumulation has been light so far tonight
and looks to linger as such. Later on this morning, the better
moisture exits our region to the south, and chances for
precipitation dwindle as the day goes on. Mentionable PoPs are now
restricted to the far southwestern Texas Panhandle for the
morning and early afternoon hours. QPF will also be light today
for areas that receive precipitation, generally being less than
one tenth of an inch. Winds will continue to be light today and
Monday, and clouds will slowly clear out starting from the
northeast. By tonight into tomorrow morning, sky coverage will be
mostly clear. Temperatures will also slowly rise for the next few
days. Highs will start to approach the mid 60`s, but Monday
morning lows could be in the lower 30`s as a result of radiational
cooling. Clear skies and light northerly winds are forecast to
support this process.
Rangel
&&
.LONG TERM ...
(Tuesday through Saturday)
Issued at 321 AM CDT Sun Mar 17 2024
Most models agree that the upper level low will get the boot out of
Arizona sometime Tuesday night. The models do not agree on how
fast the low moves east across New Mexico and the Panhandles the
following days. At any rate, it should bring enough moisture,
lift, and instability to provide the Panhandles another chance of
showers and thunderstorms Wednesday and Wednesday night with a few
wrap- around showers possible on Thursday. Will leave the rest of
the forecast dry for now. However, there are some models that
want to bring another chance of rain on Friday sometime in
association with a fast moving weak upper level disturbance moving
through the zonal or northwest flow.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1218 PM CDT Sun Mar 17 2024
VFR conditions are likely over the next 24 hours. Light winds
around 10 kts or less are expected along with scattered mid level
clouds.
Muscha
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX 31 62 37 69 / 10 0 0 0
Beaver OK 26 62 36 74 / 0 0 0 0
Boise City OK 28 60 35 68 / 0 0 0 0
Borger TX 34 65 39 74 / 0 0 0 0
Boys Ranch TX 31 65 35 70 / 10 0 0 0
Canyon TX 31 63 35 68 / 10 0 0 0
Clarendon TX 32 61 38 69 / 10 0 0 0
Dalhart TX 27 61 32 68 / 10 0 0 0
Guymon OK 27 62 35 71 / 0 0 0 0
Hereford TX 31 62 35 67 / 10 0 0 0
Lipscomb TX 29 63 37 74 / 0 0 0 0
Pampa TX 31 62 39 71 / 0 0 0 0
Shamrock TX 32 63 37 71 / 0 0 0 0
Wellington TX 32 62 37 71 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
OK...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...55
LONG TERM....15
AVIATION...05