Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
481 FNUS73 KAPX 060748 FWSAPX Spot Forecast for Little Blue Stem...USFS National Weather Service Gaylord MI 348 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 EDT on May 06. If conditions become unrepresentative... contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at (989)732-9306, if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION...Some wisps of high clouds this morning should give way to sun-filled skies at the burn site today. Efficient warming/mixing this afternoon with high temperatures in the upper 60s and RHs falling to near-critical levels. Calm winds this morning turn east-southeast for the afternoon, generally below 10 mph. Inland penetrating lake breeze off of Lake Huron this afternoon may at least briefly allow RHs to rise a bit. Good RH recovery tonight as temperatures cool back into the 30s. Increasing clouds expected Tuesday with shower/storm chances arriving late Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday night. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Max temperature.....Around 67. Min humidity........25 percent. 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 7 mph. Transport winds.....East 8 to 9 mph. Mixing height.......4200-4900 ft AGL. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Ventilation index...Poor (347.0). TIME (EDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........5 3 0 0 0 0 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Temp............63 64 65 66 67 67 RH..............35 31 32 29 26 26 20 ft wind dir..E E E E E E 20 ft wind spd..7 7 7 9 9 9 20 ft wind gust.8 8 8 10 10 10 Mix hgt (kft)...4.2 4.7 4.9 4.8 4.7 4.3 Haines index....4 4 5 5 5 5 Transp wind dir.E E E E E E Transp wind spd.9 8 8 8 8 8 Vrate kt-ft.....384 376 395 388 375 347 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Areas of frost after 3 am. Min temperature.....Around 35. Max humidity........89 percent. 20-foot winds.......East winds 6 to 7 mph early in the evening becoming light. Transport winds.....Southeast 3 to 9 mph. Mixing height.......2600-3600 ft AGL decreasing to 300-1500 ft AGL early in the evening. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Ventilation index...Poor (11.0). TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........1 1 2 1 1 1 2 3 4 4 4 4 Weather cov..... ARS ARS ARS Weather type.... FST FST FST Tstm cov........ Temp............65 62 59 55 50 47 44 42 40 37 35 35 RH..............27 33 39 45 54 60 68 70 76 82 89 89 20 ft wind dir..E E E E E E NE NE NE NE NE NE 20 ft wind spd..8 8 8 5 5 5 0 0 0 1 1 1 20 ft wind gust.12 12 12 8 8 8 2 2 2 3 3 3 Mix hgt (kft)...3.6 2.6 1.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 Transp wind dir.SE SE SE SE SE SE E E E E E E Transp wind spd.9 8 7 6 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 6 Vrate kt-ft.....331 208 101 24 16 15 13 11 15 15 14 18 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .TUESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Areas of frost early in the morning. Max temperature.....Around 67. Min humidity........38 percent. 20-foot winds.......Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Transport winds.....East 7 to 16 mph shifting to the southeast 17 to 18 mph in the afternoon. Mixing height.......300-1700 ft AGL increasing to 2200-3100 ft AGL late in the morning. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Ventilation index...Poor to fair (21.0-495.0) increasing to fair (403.0) in the afternoon. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........6 12 12 9 28 65 Weather cov.....AREAS Weather type....FROST NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ Temp............36 43 56 63 65 65 RH..............89 76 49 39 38 38 20 ft wind dir..E E E SE SE SE 20 ft wind spd..5 5 9 12 12 12 20 ft wind gust.6 6 15 16 16 17 Mix hgt (ft)....300 500 1700 2900 3100 2600 Haines index....4 5 5 5 5 5 Transport wind..E 7 E 8 E 14 SE 17 SE 18 SE 18 Vrate kt-ft.....21 37 240 495 566 494 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR FAIR FAIR FAIR $$ Forecaster...MJG Requested by...Corey Smith Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2413233.0/APX .DELDT 05/06/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL corey.smith@usda.gov