446
FXUS62 KCAE 272358
AFDCAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Columbia SC
758 PM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
Weak high pressure will be over the region through Monday along
with partly to mostly cloudy skies and a warming trend. A weak
front is expected to bring a slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms late Tuesday through Thursday, mainly northern and
eastern areas.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Showers continue to decrease in coverage this evening with a
loss of daytime heating and forecast soundings indicating a bit
drier air pushing in around 850mb. A few sprinkles may remain
over the next hour or so but in general, expect dry conditions
overnight. Lingering mid and high level clouds and even some
patchy low level clouds overnight will once again keep
low temperatures relatively mild, in the mid to upper 50s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
High pressure aloft builds over the Southeast U.S. early next
week which allows temperatures to warm to slightly above normal
levels. A weak shortwave trough moves over the ridge axis on
Tuesday or Tuesday Night and may bring a slight chance of
showers or thunderstorms, especially to the Northern and Western
Midlands.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Above normal H5 heights are likely through the end of next week with
a high probability of above normal temperatures. The models and
ensembles depict an upper level trough moving over or
flattening a ridge axis across the region with a chance of
showers and/or thunderstorms Friday afternoon through Saturday.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Expect VFR ceilings across the terminals through the period.

Isolated light showers will be dissipating by sunset, keeping
dry weather overnight into Sunday. Onshore flow may indicate
continued stratus deck tonight into Sunday also, but ceilings
are expected to remain mainly vfr. Can not completely rule out a
brief mvfr ceiling at ogb closer to the coast around sunrise
Sunday, but most models continue to keep vfr ceilings, so low
confidence in that brief mvfr possibility. Winds light and
variable overnight, then they pick back up out of the south to
southwest on Sunday with speeds from 5 to 10 kts.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...Restrictions possible in early morning
fog or stratus each morning. Slight chance of afternoon showers
and thunderstorms Tuesday onward.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...None.
GA...None.

&&

$$