Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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FNUS71 KCTP 160800
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for SGL 014 RX burn...PGC
National Weather Service State College PA
400 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0500 EDT on April 16.

If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service
in State College.


.DISCUSSION...
Sunny to partly cloudy and pleasantly warm today with low
humidity and light wind. Clouds will increase tonight with
periods of light rain on Wednesday.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
Min Temperature.....Around 37.
Max Humidity........70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing Height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....North around 5 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................2.

TIME (EDT)          5AM
Sky (%)...........  2
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
Temp..............  40
RH................  70
20 FT Wind Dir....  N
20 FT Wind Spd....  3
20 FT Wind Gust...
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.4
Transp Wind Dir...  N
Transp Wind Spd...  5
LVORI.............  3
ADI...............  2
Haines Index......  3

.TODAY...

Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....Around 69.
Min Humidity........24 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 10 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......5200 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....North around 3 mph shifting to the northwest 5
                    to 10 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................3 to 36.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  3   4   4   6   7   9   11  12  14  15  17  18
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
Temp..............  39  38  43  48  52  56  59  62  64  65  67  69
RH................  73  76  62  51  44  40  36  31  29  28  26  24
20 FT Wind Dir....  N   NW  NW  N   NW  W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT Wind Spd....  2   2   1   2   3   4   5   6   6   6   6   5
20 FT Wind Gust...          2       4   5   6   7   8   8   7   6
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.4 0.4 0.4 1.3 2.8 4.0 4.6 4.8 5.0 5.2 5.1 4.9
Transp Wind Dir...  N   N   NE  NW  W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp Wind Spd...  3   3   3   3   7   8   10  10  10  12  12  8
LVORI.............  3   4   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   2
ADI...............  3   3   3   22  22  22  32  32  32  36  36  36
Haines Index......  3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain after 3 am.
Min Temperature.....Around 44.
Max Humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast 5 to 10 mph in
                    the late evening and overnight, then shifting
                    to the east after 3 am.
Mixing Height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....North 5 to 10 mph shifting to the east
                    late in the evening.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................4 to 10.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)...........  19  21  22  30  38  45  53  61  68  72  76  79
Weather Cov.......                                          SCH SCH
Weather Type......                                          RN  RN
Tstm Cov..........
Temp..............  66  62  57  54  52  50  48  47  45  45  45  45
RH................  28  32  40  45  48  52  56  58  62  62  62  62
20 FT Wind Dir....  N   N   NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT Wind Spd....  4   4   4   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT Wind Gust...  5   5   5   6   6   7   8   8   8   8   8   8
Mix Hgt (kft).....  4.5 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5
Transp Wind Dir...  NW  N   N   NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp Wind Spd...  8   6   7   9   9   9   10  12  12  12  10  10
LVORI.............  2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   2   3   3   3
ADI...............  4   4   4   6   6   6   10  10  10  9   9   9
Haines Index......  4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain early in
                    the morning, then rain in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 56.
Min Humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 9 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......1400 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 10 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................15 to 28.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  83  87  91  93  94  96  97  99  100 100 100 100
Weather Cov.......  CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather Type......  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm Cov..........
Temp..............  45  46  46  47  48  49  51  52  53  54  55  55
RH................  62  63  65  74  80  86  83  86  86  83  80  83
20 FT Wind Dir....  E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT Wind Spd....  6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   8   8   9   9
20 FT Wind Gust...  8   10  10  10  10  10  11  12  13  14  14  16
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.6 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4
Transp Wind Dir...  E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp Wind Spd...  12  10  14  12  13  9   10  13  14  15  17  18
LVORI.............  2   2   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   4
ADI...............  17  17  17  15  15  15  19  19  19  28  28  28
Haines Index......  5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Steinbugl
Requested by...Travis Weinzierl
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410958.0/CTP
.DELDT 04/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL trweinzier@pa.gov
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