205
FNUS71 KCTP 030916
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for Ricketts Glenn SP...Bureau of Forestry
National Weather Service State College PA
516 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on May 03.

If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service
in State College.


.DISCUSSION...
Dry and pleasant conditions through this evening followed by a
slight chance for rain overnight. Cloudy and noticeably cooler to
start the weekend with periods of rain into Sunday.


.TODAY...

Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 69.
Min Humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    south 6 to 8 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing Height.......3300 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 10 mph shifting to the south.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................16 to 31.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  35  43  51  51  50  49  54  58  63  67  71  75
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  49  51  52  56  59  61  65  66  68  69  68  68
RH................  80  77  74  69  64  62  54  54  51  49  52  52
20 FT Wind Dir....  E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT Wind Spd....  6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   8
20 FT Wind Gust...  7   10  10  8   8   8   8   10  10  10  10  12
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.4 0.5 1.1 1.4 1.8 2.2 2.5 2.9 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.2
Transp Wind Dir...  E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp Wind Spd...  8   9   12  10  9   9   9   9   10  12  13  13
LVORI.............  4   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1
ADI...............  16  16  16  19  19  19  26  26  26  31  31  31
Haines Index......  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain after 3 am.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min Temperature.....Around 44.
Max Humidity........82 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 10 mph.
Mixing Height.......900 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................13 to 17.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)...........  73  71  69  70  70  70  71  71  71  72  72  73
Weather Cov.......                                      SCH SCH SCH
Weather Type......                                      RN  RN  RN
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  65  63  59  55  53  52  50  48  47  47  46  45
RH................  56  60  67  74  74  74  77  80  79  79  79  82
20 FT Wind Dir....  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT Wind Spd....  8   9   10  10  10  11  10  10  10  10  9   10
20 FT Wind Gust...  13  13  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14
Mix Hgt (kft).....  2.7 2.5 1.6 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.9
Transp Wind Dir...  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp Wind Spd...  13  13  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  14  14  15
LVORI.............  2   2   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4
ADI...............  17  17  17  13  13  13  13  13  13  13  13  13
Haines Index......  4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3

.SATURDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    in the morning and early afternoon, then rain
                    likely in the afternoon.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 53.
Min Humidity........77 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 10 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Mixing Height.......2100 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....South 10 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................17 to 39.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  73  74  74  78  81  85  89  92  96  96  95  95
Weather Cov.......  CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather Type......  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  46  45  46  47  48  49  50  51  52  51  51  51
RH................  79  82  79  86  83  83  80  80  77  80  80  83
20 FT Wind Dir....  S   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE
20 FT Wind Spd....  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  11  11  11
20 FT Wind Gust...  14  14  14  14  14  16  16  16  17  17  18  18
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.9 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.9
Transp Wind Dir...  S   S   SE  S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp Wind Spd...  14  13  13  15  16  16  17  17  18  20  20  21
LVORI.............  3   3   3   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI...............  17  17  17  28  28  28  36  36  36  39  39  39
Haines Index......  3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Steinbugl
Requested by...Brian Laudermilch
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412957.0/CTP
.DELDT 05/03/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL blaudermil@pa.gov