Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
332 FNUS53 KDTX 140803 FWFDTX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 403 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024 .DISCUSSION...Low pressure moves west to east through the Ohio valley today and tonight while drawing a cold front the remaining way through Lower Michigan. Clusters of showers and cooler air fill in across the region today and tonight. Weak high pressure then expands southward from Ontario with dry weather Wednesday into Thursday. The next chance for rain arrives with a low pressure system Friday. MIZ047-048-053-060-061-142130- Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee- Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint 403 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms until 8 am, then chance of showers until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Max temperature.....54-60. 24 hr trend......20 degrees cooler. Min humidity........50-60 percent. 24 hr trend......24 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Northeast 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......1480-1980 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (244). Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2 am, then partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Min temperature.....44-49. 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler. Max humidity........75-85 percent. 24 hr trend......4 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northeast 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......940-1140 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (31). Pcpn amount.........None. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Max temperature.....60-64. 24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer. Min humidity........39-49 percent. 24 hr trend......14 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northeast 15 to 20 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3190-3690 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (513). Pcpn amount.........None. $$ MIZ049-054-055-062-142130- Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer- Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer 403 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms until 8 am, then chance of showers until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Max temperature.....52-58. 24 hr trend......20 degrees cooler. Min humidity........58-68 percent. 24 hr trend......17 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Northeast 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......1340-1840 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (223). Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Min temperature.....43-48. 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler. Max humidity........78-88 percent. 24 hr trend......7 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northeast 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......860-1060 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (35). Pcpn amount.........None. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Max temperature.....58-62. 24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer. Min humidity........49-59 percent. 24 hr trend......9 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northeast 15 to 20 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2710-3210 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (456). Pcpn amount.........None. $$ MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-142130- St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe- Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe 403 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of thunderstorms until 8 am. Chance of rain showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Max temperature.....62-66. 24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler. Min humidity........53-63 percent. 24 hr trend......29 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Northeast around 5 mph increasing to 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4010-4510 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph becoming east. Smoke dispersal.....Good (420). Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of thunderstorms until 2 am. Chance of rain showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after 5 am. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Min temperature.....48-54. 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler. Max humidity........78-88 percent. 24 hr trend......10 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northeast 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......510-710 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (37). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent) until 2 pm, then partly sunny (55-65 percent). Max temperature.....64-70. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........43-53 percent. 24 hr trend......10 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northeast 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3990-4490 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (593). Pcpn amount.........None. $$ .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 70s. Northeast winds around 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. South winds around 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. North winds around 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. $$ BT