Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 231954
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
354 PM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

.DISCUSSION...A mid-level disturbance and cold front push a region of
showers and thunderstorms through southeast Michigan this evening
ahead of high pressure that fills in for Wednesday. MinRH values
Wednesday through Friday range between 30 and 40 percent, with gusty
winds on Wednesday subsiding by afternoon. Winds gradually veer from
northwest to southeast through the week as high pressure drifts
overhead.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-232115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
354 PM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and slight chance of thunderstorms until
                    2300, then chance of showers until 5 am,
                    then slight chance of showers. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....31-36.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........81-91 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West around 10 mph becoming north after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......590-790 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph becoming north after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (35).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....40-46.
   24 hr trend......20 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........29-39 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 15 to 20 mph becoming northeast around 10
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3520-4020 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (620).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Areas of frost
                    after 11 pm until 2 am, then widespread frost.
Min temperature.....26-30.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........73-83 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph until early morning becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......540-740 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....50-54.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........26-36 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5040-5540 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (326).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-232115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
354 PM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and slight chance of thunderstorms until
                    2300, then chance of showers until 5 am.
                    Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....29-34.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......27 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West around 10 mph becoming northwest in the
                    late evening and early morning, then increasing
                    to north around 20 mph after midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......540-740 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph becoming northwest in the
                    late evening and early morning, then increasing
                    to north around 25 mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (33).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....38-42.
   24 hr trend......25 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........41-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3090-3590 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 20 to 25 mph decreasing to around 15 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (604).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent). Areas of frost after 11 pm
                    until 2 am, then widespread frost.
Min temperature.....26-30.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........71-81 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......560-760 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....48-54.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........28-38 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5150-5650 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (378).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-232115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
354 PM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and slight chance of thunderstorms until
                    2300, then chance of showers until 5 am,
                    then slight chance of showers. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....34-38.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........82-92 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 10 to 15 mph becoming northwest after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......580-780 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph becoming northwest after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (41).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....42-48.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........36-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 15 to 20 mph diminishing to around 10 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3770-4270 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (594).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Areas of frost
                    after 11 pm until 2 am, then widespread frost.
Min temperature.....26-30.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........75-85 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......640-840 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....52-56.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........27-37 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4940-5440 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (376).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Areas of frost after midnight. Lows in the
mid 30s. Highs in the mid 60s. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs
in the mid 70s. South winds around 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Southwest winds around 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 70s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the mid 60s.

$$

MV
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