Text Products for FWS Issued by DTX

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
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FNUS73 KDTX 151123
FWSDTX

Spot Forecast for Leslie Woods Rx Burn...City of Ann Arbor Natural Area Preservation
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
723 AM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EDT on April 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...High pressure will expand across Lower Michigan today
and provide dry conditions. Minimum RH values are forecast to near
30 percent this afternoon in many locations as temperatures warm
into the mid to upper 60s. This high will move to the east on
Tuesday. A warm front associated with a low pressure system over the
Midwest will bring the next chance for rain Tuesday night. Showers
and a chance of thunderstorms are then expected on Wednesday as the
low pressure system lifts across the northern Great Lakes and drives
a cold front across southern Michigan.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds up to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......6700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 7 mph...becoming west 8 to 17
                    mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal....Excellent (MAX...876).

TIME (EDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........15  18  22  25  22  19  16
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............59  62  64  66  67  68  68
RH..............47  42  38  36  34  33  33
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW  NW  NW  W   W   NW  NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.4   5   6   6   7   7   8
EYE LVL WND GST.8   10  11  13  14  14  14
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 3.0 4.4 5.7 6.3 6.6 6.7
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5   5   5   5   5
SMOKE DISPER....129 181 306 514 689 922 1008

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 40.
Max humidity........84 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 5 to 7 mph...becoming northeast
                    5 to 6 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 17 mph...becoming east 12 to 13
                    mph overnight.
Haines Index........4 to 5 OR low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal....Poor (MIN...36).

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........13     6      13     19     26     31
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............68     62     55     49     45     42
RH..............34     43     54     65     75     80
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW     NW     N      NE     NE     NE
EYE LVL WND SPD.7      5      5      5      5      6
EYE LVL WND GST.12     10     10     11     11     11
MIX HGT (KFT)...6400   600    500    500    500    500
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      4      4
SMOKE DISPER....962    47     42     49     50     48

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Eye level winds.....East winds 6 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 14 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal....Good (MAX...365).

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........36        48        65        79
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP............40        45        58        63
RH..............84        70        46        41
EYE LEVEL WIND..E 6       E 8       E 10      E 10
EYE LEVEL WIND..12        13        14        14
MIX HGT (FT)....500       1100      2200      3000
HAINES INDEX....4         4         4         4
SMOKE DISPER....64        163       327       394

$$
Forecaster...Richter
Requested by...Becky Hand
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410845.0/DTX
.DELDT 04/15/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bhand@a2gov.org
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
