Area Forecast Discussion Issued by NWS San Joaquin Valley, CA
000
FXUS66 KHNX 180954
AFDHNX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hanford CA
254 AM PDT Thu Apr 18 2024
.KEY MESSAGES...
1. Maximum temperatures will climb to around seven to ten degrees
above normal on Thursday.
2. Little change in maximum temperatures is expected Friday
through Monday.
3. The warmer weather will not cause hydrological concerns due
to snowmelt in the Sierra Nevada.
4. A few thunderstorms cannot be ruled out in the Sierra Nevada
on Friday afternoon.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Upper ridge across the Eastern Pacific and the west coast pushed
temperatures to around 4 to 6 degrees above normal on Wednesday.
The ridge will remain in place today and nudge temperatures a few
degrees higher. Maximum temperatures this afternoon are forecast
to be around 7 to 10 degrees above climatological normal for this
time of year.
A weak disturbance over the Eastern Pacific will move through on
Friday. Moisture and instability are marginal but look sufficient
for at least some cumulus buildups along the Sierra and possibly
isolated showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon and early
evening.
Relatively flat ridging returns over the weekend. Little change
in maximum temperatures is expected Friday through Monday. Here
are probabilities for a high temperature of 83 degrees or higher
for locations in the San Joaquin Valley.
Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Merced 26% 21% 11% 16% 31%
Madera 46% 36% 26% 26% 46%
Fresno 81% 76% 71% 61% 71%
Reedley 51% 36% 26% 31% 51%
Lemoore 81% 71% 61% 56% 66%
Hanford 76% 71% 66% 56% 71%
Visalia 66% 66% 61% 51% 66%
Porterville 56% 51% 51% 51% 66%
Delano 76% 76% 71% 61% 76%
Bakersfield 71% 66% 51% 51% 71%
&&
.AVIATION...
VFR conditions are expected across the Central CA interior for
at least the next 24 hours.
&&
.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
None.
&&
.CERTAINTY...
The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is medium.
The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is medium.
Certainty levels include low...medium...and high. Please visit
www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.html for additional information
and/or to provide feedback.
&&
.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
DCH
weather.gov/hanford