Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
622
FNUS52 KILM 110727
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
327 AM EDT Sat May 11 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Dry conditions with seasonable temperatures will be in place
across the area the next several days.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-112330-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
327 AM EDT Sat May 11 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 76 55 81
Min/Max RH (%) 44 86 32
Wind20ft/Early (mph) N 5 Lgt/Var NW 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NW 4 Lgt/Var NW 8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 58/0600 2000 65/0900
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 4 4 5
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6700 8100
Transport Wind (mph) NW 12 NW 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 80400 162000
ADI Early 57 Gen Good 62 Good 96 Good
ADI Late 91 Good 6 Very Poor 151 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 89 percent. South winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-112330-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
327 AM EDT Sat May 11 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 76 55 80
Min/Max RH (%) 41 87 31
Wind20ft/Early (mph) N 4 Lgt/Var NW 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NW 4 Lgt/Var NW 8 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 58/0800 2000 64/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 5
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6700 7900
Transport Wind (mph) W 14 NW 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 93800 158000
ADI Early 56 Gen Good 90 Good 96 Good
ADI Late 104 Very Good6 Very Poor 153 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 3 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
39 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-112330-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
327 AM EDT Sat May 11 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 76 55 80
Min/Max RH (%) 42 87 33
Wind20ft/Early (mph) N 4 Lgt/Var NW 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NW 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 59/0800 1900 65/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 5
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7000 7200
Transport Wind (mph) NW 12 W 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 84000 115200
ADI Early 47 Gen Good 75 Good 75 Good
ADI Late 101 Very Good6 Very Poor 121 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
mid 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 78 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-112330-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
327 AM EDT Sat May 11 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 76 54 80
Min/Max RH (%) 40 88 32
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NW 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NW 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 61/0900 2000 64/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 5 5
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7100 7200
Transport Wind (mph) W 14 W 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 99400 115200
ADI Early 40 Fair 91 Good 77 Good
ADI Late 108 Very Good5 Very Poor 117 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 4 3 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
lower 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-112330-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
327 AM EDT Sat May 11 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 76 54 80
Min/Max RH (%) 41 89 33
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NW 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NW 4 Lgt/Var NW 8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 60/0900 2000 64/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 5
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6800 7500
Transport Wind (mph) W 13 NW 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 88400 127500
ADI Early 40 Fair 81 Good 85 Good
ADI Late 105 Very Good5 Very Poor 139 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 3 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
mid 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 78 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$