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Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE
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FNUS73 KLBF 101333
FWSLBF

Spot Forecast for Bessey RX...USFS
National Weather Service North Platte NE
833 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on April 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact the NWS North Platte office at 308-532-0921 (or
at 1-800-603-3562) if you have any questions or concerns with this forecast.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

Elevated to near-critical fire weather conditions are expected
across much of central and western Nebraska Wednesday, largely due
to anticipated wind gusts behind a frontal passage later this
afternoon.

Afternoon highs will reach the middle 60s with steady northwest
winds around 10 to 20 mph and gusts as high as 25 mph through
early afternoon. These speeds will increase this evening behind a
frontal passage which will not consist of a noteworthy wind shift.
By late afternoon, expect steady winds around 20 mph and gusts
nearing 40 mph. Afternoon humidity minimums will fall to around
the 20 to 30 percent range and with expected strong winds through
the overnight, humidity recovery will be limited to around 60 to
70 percent with steady winds continuing through sunrise Thursday.

One concern for fire weather today will be the threat for isolated
rain showers later this afternoon. While QPF will be greatly
limited to only a few hundredths in very localized areas, concern
is increasing for gusty erratic winds in close proximity to these
showers. Should one approach the fire location, erratic and brief
gusts in the 40 to 50 mph range cannot be ruled out. Precise
timing of this potential focuses around 4pm to 8pm but confidence
in this is medium at best until activity develops and moves
southeast.

A Fire Weather Watch is in effect for much of central and eastern
Nebraska on Thursday due to the combination of strong winds and
low afternoon humidity. Similar conditions are forecast Friday
although winds appear to be weaker thus precluding any headlines
at this time.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers late in
                    the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 7 to 16 mph increasing to 18 to
                    24 mph in the afternoon.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 5 to 14 mph decreasing to 6 to
                    11 mph early in the morning, then increasing to
                    13 to 14 mph late in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......8900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 18 mph increasing to 21 to 29
                    mph late in the morning.
Haines Index........5 moderate.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........5   5   5   6   5   25  44  54  61
Weather cov.....                            SCH SCH
Weather type....                            RW  RW
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............48  51  57  59  62  63  62  62  59
RH..............55  50  40  36  32  30  28  27  33
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..12  13  15  16  18  21  21  22  24
20 FT wind gust.16  21  22  24  25  28  29  29  32
Eye lvl wnd dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.7   8   9   10  11  13  13  13  14
Eye lvl wnd gst.10  13  13  14  15  17  17  17  19
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.6 4.3 5.8 7.6 8.7 8.8 8.9 6.0
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.14  18  21  22  24  26  26  26  29
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly clear.
Min temperature.....Around 33.
Max humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 17 to 24 mph with gusts to
                    around 39 mph.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 10 to 14 mph with gusts to
                    around 23 mph.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 21 to 30 mph.
Haines Index........5 moderate.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........59  35  26  13  14  20  14  21  32  15  5   13
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............56  54  51  47  44  42  40  40  38  37  35  35
RH..............38  38  41  43  49  55  62  62  64  64  64  59
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..24  18  17  17  18  22  22  22  21  20  21  18
20 FT wind gust.35  29  31  32  33  37  39  37  35  32  29  31
Eye lvl wnd dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.14  11  10  10  11  13  13  13  13  12  13  11
Eye lvl wnd gst.21  17  19  19  20  22  23  22  21  19  17  19
Mix hgt (kft)...4.1 3.6 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.3 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.30  25  22  21  25  26  26  26  25  25  24  23
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........18 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 18 to 23 mph.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 11 to 14 mph.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......7200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 22 to 28 mph increasing to 28 to 32
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate to high potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........13  4   3   2   2   4   6   7   7   7   6   5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............35  33  35  38  44  48  51  53  55  57  58  58
RH..............56  61  54  48  38  32  27  23  20  19  18  18
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..18  18  18  20  20  22  23  22  22  21  21  20
20 FT wind gust.31  29  31  32  31  32  32  33  33  32  29  28
Eye lvl wnd dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.11  11  11  12  12  13  14  13  13  13  13  12
Eye lvl wnd gst.19  17  19  19  19  19  19  20  20  19  17  17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.7 1.2 2.1 4.6 5.7 6.1 6.5 6.8 7.0 7.0 7.2
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.23  22  23  28  32  31  30  30  30  30  29  28
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6

$$
Forecaster...Jurgensen/WFO LBF
Requested by...Michael Meisner
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410267.0/LBF
.DELDT 04/10/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Michael.w.meisner@usda.gov,nws.northplatte@noaa.gov
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
