Text Products for FWS Issued by LZK

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
000
FNUS74 KLZK 112327
FWSLZK

Spot Forecast for BP Greenhaw RX...USDA Forest Service
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
627 PM CDT Thu Apr 11 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (800) 482-8471 and ask for the fire
weather forecaster if you have any questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

High pressure is expected to control the weather pattern through
the short term period promoting calmer and drier conditions.

.FRIDAY...

Max temperature.....55 at ignition...Max 69.
Min humidity........37 percent at ignition...Min 29 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 22 mph.
Stability class.....3.
LVORI...............1.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Dispersion..........50 increasing to 59 in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....66.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 6761 ft MSL.
Category Day........4.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 5200 ft AGL.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............55  58  61  63  66  67  67  68
RH..............37  34  31  30  29  29  30  31
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W
20 FT wind spd..13  12  12  12  12  12  10  8
20 FT wind gust.19  18  18  18  17  16  14  13
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W
Transp wind spd.21  22  22  22  22  21  18  15
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Min temperature.....Min 50.
Max humidity........Max 74 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 13 mph.
Stability class.....6.
LVORI...............3.
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Dispersion..........18 decreasing to 6 in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Haines Index........4 to 6 or low to high potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....MISSING.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 3922 ft MSL.
Category Day........2.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 2300 ft AGL.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............66  63  59  57  55  54  54  53  53  53  53  53
RH..............33  41  47  53  55  57  57  59  61  64  66  69
20 FT wind dir..W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..7   6   5   5   5   5   6   6   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.11  10  7   6   6   7   8   8   10  10  11  11
Transp wind dir.W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.12  9   8   8   8   8   8   9   10  12  13  13
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.SATURDAY...

Max temperature.....Max 76.
Min humidity........Min 34 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Southwest 13 to 21 mph increasing to 24 to 29
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Stability class.....3.
LVORI...............3 early in the morning.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Dispersion..........20 increasing to 82.
Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate to high potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....73.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 6112 ft MSL.
Category Day........5.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 4500 ft AGL.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............53  53  56  60  63  66  69  72  73  74  75  73
RH..............71  74  69  62  58  52  45  41  38  37  34  37
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..8   8   12  15  17  16  16  16  16  16  17  17
20 FT wind gust.11  11  16  21  26  25  25  24  25  26  26  26
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.13  14  17  21  24  26  28  29  29  29  28  25
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$
Forecaster...44
Requested by...Tim Jones
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410425.0/LZK
.DELDT 04/11/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Timothy.e.jones@usda.gov
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
