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Spot Forecast for WS-07a Ranger Academy Prescribed Fire 04/24...Wekiwa Springs State Park
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
448 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on April 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Good morning. High pressure will remain over the local area today and
Wednesday, with a drier airmass remaining in place over the region.
Mostly sunny skies will persist through mid-week with temperatures
forecast to be slightly above normal for this time of year. Minimum RH
values near 30 percent this afternoon, and around 35 percent Wednesday.
Light winds will become east to southeast by late morning, increasing
to 8-13 KT with gusts up to 20 KT possible each day, which will produce
sensitive fire weather conditions. These gusty winds will also cause control
issues at new and existing burns. Rain chances remain out of the forecast through
midweek. Smoke dispersion values will be good to very good today and Wednesday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL increasing to 5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East to southeast 7 to 16 mph.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 66.
LVORI...............4 decreasing to 2 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........19  20  19  25  24  22  11  8   16
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............68  74  78  81  84  86  87  87  86
RH..............76  62  52  44  38  35  32  31  32
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..5   7   9   10  12  13  12  13  13
20 FT wind gust.            14  17  18  17  18  18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 2.3 3.0 3.8 4.6 5.3 5.6 5.6 5.0
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.7   9   13  15  16  16  16  16  15
Dispersion idx..7   28  48  68  70  68  69  68  62
LVORI...........4   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 14 mph.
Dispersion index....58 decreasing to 6.
LVORI...............2 increasing to 9.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........17     10     9      19     21     25
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............84     76     71     67     65     64
RH..............36     52     68     84     90     93
20 ft wind......E 12   E 10   E 7    SE 6   SE 5   SE 5
20 ft wind gust.17     15
Mix hgt (ft)....4300   500    500    500    400    400
Transport wind..E 14   E 12   SE 10  SE 9   SE 8   SE 9
Dispersion idx..58     8      6      4      4      4
LVORI...........1      2      3      5      6      6

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL increasing to 5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 56.
LVORI...............6 decreasing to 2.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........28        34        26        19
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............63        70        80        88
RH..............93        76        52        38
20 FT wind......SE 6      SE 7      SE 10G14  SE 10G14
Mix hgt (ft)....400       1300      3500      5000
Transport wind..SE 9      SE 9      SE 10     SE 10
Dispersion idx..4         16        44        57
LVORI...........6         4         1         1

$$
Forecaster...Watson
Requested by...Mark Werley
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410863.0/MLB
.DELDT 04/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Mark.Werley@FloridaDEP.gov