Text Products for FWS Issued by MLB

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
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FNUS72 KMLB 240923
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Spot Forecast for MIR 1s...USFWS
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
523 AM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on April 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Dry conditions are forecast today, with minimum RH values in the
mid 40s near the burn site. Light easterly winds will increase to
around 10 mph, and may become slightly gusty up to 15 mph as the
east coast sea breeze develops and moves inland. Afternoon smoke
dispersion will be generally good. Winds will slowly diminish
overnight to around 5 mph out of the south, becoming variable at
times. Fog is not currently forecast near the burn site tonight
into Thursday morning. Similar conditions are forecast on
Thursday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 10 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....17 increasing to 52.
LVORI...............2 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........5   5   4   4   4   3   3   3   2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............67  72  75  77  77  77  77  77  76
RH..............65  55  50  47  45  45  45  47  48
20 FT wind dir..SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..3   5   6   7   8   9   10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.6   6   7   8   9   10  12  13  14
Mix hgt (kft)...2.9 3.9 4.3 4.4 4.3 4.1 3.8 3.5 3.3
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.5   5   6   7   9   10  12  12  12
Dispersion idx..17  23  31  39  46  51  52  50  46
LVORI...........2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    south around 6 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL decreasing to 600 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph shifting to the south 6
                    to 9 mph overnight.
Dispersion index....42 decreasing to 3.
LVORI...............1 increasing to 5.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........3      4      6      8      10     9
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............76     70     68     66     63     61
RH..............50     63     70     78     87     93
20 ft wind......E 10   SE 8   SE 7   SE 6   S 6    SW 6
20 ft wind gust.13     13     10     9      8      7
Mix hgt (ft)....2900   1000   800    800    700    600
Transport wind..E 12   E 12   SE 10  SE 9   S 8    S 7
Dispersion idx..42     8      6      5      4      3
LVORI...........1      3      3      4      5      5

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southeast 5 to 6 mph late in the morning, then
                    shifting to the east 8 to 10 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL increasing to 3700 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 6 mph shifting to the east 5 to 12
                    mph late in the morning.
Dispersion index....3 increasing to 41.
LVORI...............7 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........10     10     7      5      7      5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............60     63     74     80     81     80
RH..............96     90     64     51     49     51
20 ft wind......SW 5   SW 5   SE 5   E 6    E 9    E 10
20 ft wind gust.6      6      6      7      10     12
Mix hgt (ft)....500    400    2500   3600   3700   3000
Transport wind..SW 6   S 5    S 5    SE 6   E 9    E 12
Dispersion idx..3      3      13     26     41     41
LVORI...........7      6      3      2      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Tollefsen
Requested by...Greg Suszek
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411732.3/MLB
.DELDT 04/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL greg_suszek@fws.gov
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
