National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office

• Home
• Site Map
• News
• Organization
• Search for: NWS All NOAA 

000
FXUS64 KMOB 220501
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1201 AM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1201 AM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

VFR conditions will prevail through the period. Northerly winds
from 6 to 12 knots with gusts up to around 20 knots will continue
near the coastal areas, including all TAF sites, on Monday. Winds
should gradually subside Monday evening. /22

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 350 PM CDT Sun Apr 21 2024/

.New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

NEAR TERM...
(Now through Monday)
Issued at 350 PM CDT Sun Apr 21 2024

Zonal flow aloft this afternoon will gradually turn northwesterly
as an upper-level trough digs into the southeast US. This trough
will continue pushing towards the east on Monday before sliding
into the western Atlantic by Monday evening. At the surface, the
cold front which passed through the area last night will continue
to push further into the Gulf throughout the period as high
pressure builds in from the north. This will allow for a cooler
and much drier airmass to continue advecting into the region. No
rain is expected through the remainder of the period. Lows tonight
will range from the low to mid 40s inland to the low 50s along
the immediate coast. Highs on Monday will only reach the upper 60s
to low 70s under sunny skies. A Low risk of rip currents
continues through the period. /96

SHORT/LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Sunday)
Issued at 350 PM CDT Sun Apr 21 2024

Expect a dry forecast for the entire short/long term period. The
area generally remains under a northwesterly flow pattern aloft
through Thursday, then expect ridging aloft Friday through Sunday.
At the surface, high pressure centered over the southeast CONUS
Monday night through late Tuesday will drift east off the Florida
Atlantic coast, but continue to ridge back westward into the Gulf
coast region through Sunday. A front slides into the Southeast
Wednesday into Thursday, but due to the surface ridging in our
area hangs up well to our north (which also keeps the rain to our
north). Low level winds will become more southeasterly through the
period, with temperatures slowly rising and moisture levels
slowly increasing. Still rather cool on Monday night with lows
again mainly in the low to mid 40s across most of the area (low to
mid 50s at the coast), but min temps will be gradually moderating
trough the period, rising through the 50s and by Saturday night
being primarily in the lower 60s. Daytime highs moderate as well,
starting off in the 70s on Tuesday, but in the low to mid 80s for
the remainder of the period (maybe even a few spots hitting upper
80s by next Sunday). Beach Note: Rip current risk remains low
through at least mid- week, but increasing onshore flow late in
the week may lead to an increasing risk, and we will continue to
monitor. DS/12

MARINE...
Issued at 350 PM CDT Sun Apr 21 2024

A moderate to strong northerly flow will continue through tonight.
A Small Craft Advisory is in effect this evening through Monday
morning for the Gulf waters as well as southern Mobile Bay and the
Mississippi Sound. Winds decrease on Monday as high pressure
builds into the area. A light to moderate southeasterly flow
develops on Tuesday, before becoming light and variable by
midweek. /96

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      47  76  54  81  57  82  61  82 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Pensacola   52  74  57  78  59  79  63  80 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Destin      57  74  60  77  61  78  65  79 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Evergreen   43  77  49  82  53  84  56  85 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Waynesboro  41  77  50  81  54  84  57  85 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Camden      41  75  50  79  53  81  56  83 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Crestview   44  77  49  82  53  84  56  85 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM CDT this morning for GMZ631-632.

     Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM CDT this morning for GMZ650-655-
     670-675.

&&

$$

This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mob