Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ

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FNUS71 KPHI 261020
FWSPHI

Spot Forecast for Snow Bowl Wildfire...NJFFS
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
620 AM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 EDT on April 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
RH values will be in the 25-30% range today. However, with
winds so low, around 10 MPH or less, the threat for the rapid
spread of wildfire remains low. The morning shift will take
another look and coordinate with partners to see if any
statements are needed.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Widespread frost early
                    in the morning.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the
                    south around 6 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 6 to 8 mph shifting to the southwest
                    around 8 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1800 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (48500 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
ADI.................6 early in the morning increasing to 60 in the
                    afternoon.
Eye level winds.....East winds up to 4 mph shifting to the south
                    around 4 mph late in the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........16  14  12  12  13  13  14  17  25  29  24
Weather cov.....WID WID
Weather type....FST FST
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............34  40  45  49  51  53  55  57  58  58  58
RH..............75  62  53  46  41  38  35  31  30  30  30
20 FT wind dir..N   NE  E   E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.7   9   9   9   9   9   9   10  10  12  12
Eye lvl wnd dir.N   NE  E   E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.4   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.9 1.7 2.8 4.1 5.4 6.2 6.6 7.0 6.9 6.9
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  E   E   E   SE  S   S   SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.6   8   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   8
ADI.............6   9   13  21  30  38  43  55  52  52  60
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2   6   9   14  21  27  31  40  42  42  49
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 36.
Max humidity........72 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 8 mph in the evening and
                    overnight becoming light.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (38300 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (1900 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
ADI.................50 early in the evening decreasing to 3 late in
                    the night.
Eye level winds.....Southwest winds up to 5 mph shifting to the
                    south around 3 mph after 3 am.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........16  15  15  13  15  15  16  21  23  25  27  28
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............56  53  49  46  44  43  41  40  39  39  38  36
RH..............34  38  44  51  55  55  62  62  64  64  67  72
20 FT wind dir..S   S   SE  S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  S
20 FT wind spd..7   8   8   8   8   9   8   8   7   6   5   3
20 FT wind gust.12  13  13  14  13  13  12  12  10  9   7   6
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   SE  S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  S
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   3   2
Eye lvl wnd gst.7   8   8   8   8   8   7   7   6   5   4   4
Mix hgt (kft)...5.5 1.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.8   12  10  12  10  12  9   9   9   9   8   7
ADI.............50  8   7   8   7   8   6   6   4   4   4   3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..38  17  6   6   4   5   3   3   3   3   2   2
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2100 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (66100 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
ADI.................3 early in the morning increasing to 74 in the
                    afternoon.
Eye level winds.....South winds around 3 mph increasing to up to 7
                    mph.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........29  30  15  27  29  21  36  45  54  60  67  73
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............37  38  42  48  51  53  57  57  58  59  58  58
RH..............72  70  62  49  42  39  34  35  34  33  34  34
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   7   8   9   10  10  12  12  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.7   7   9   12  13  14  16  17  18  18  18  18
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.3   3   4   5   5   6   6   7   7   7   7   7
Eye lvl wnd gst.4   4   5   7   8   8   10  10  11  11  11  11
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.4 0.8 1.9 2.9 3.6 4.1 4.4 4.7 4.5 4.2 3.9
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.7   7   9   12  14  15  15  16  16  16  16  16
ADI.............3   7   10  29  50  66  74  61  65  63  61  59
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2   2   7   19  35  47  54  60  66  62  59  55
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  GD  GD  FR  FR

$$
Forecaster...RCM
Requested by...Tomas Liogys
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2412545.0/PHI
.DELDT 04/26/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL tomas_liogys@fws.gov
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