Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV

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FNUS71 KRLX 220133
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Spot Forecast for Mountaineer RX Fire...Keeping It Native Land Manangement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
933 PM EDT Sun Apr 21 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 2200 EDT on April 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure gradually builds in from the west, providing cool and
dry weather into the start of the new work week.

Widespread frost is likely to develop early Monday morning, then
patchy frost is possible for Tuesday morning. Minimum RH values Monday
afternoon will be in the lower to mid 20s.

The chance for rain arrives late Tuesday, and then continues into
Wednesday as a cold front crosses the region. Drier weather returns
Wednesday afternoon, and persists until another system approaches late
this week.

The weather will remain seasonably cool for early spring through
much of the week, before a warming trend takes place ahead of the
late week or weekend system.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Areas of frost
                    after 3 am.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 33.
Max humidity........78 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 3 mph shifting to the west 2
                    to 3 mph overnight.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................1 to 2.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........16  10  15  21  26  15  11  4
Weather cov.....                        ARS ARS
Weather type....                        FST FST
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............44  42  40  39  38  37  36  34
RH..............51  56  61  64  66  69  73  78
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.6   5   4   4   4   4   4   4
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2
LVORI...........2   3   3   3   3   3   4   4
ADI.............2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Areas of frost early in
                    the morning, then widespread frost early in the
                    morning. Areas of frost early in the morning.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 2 to 6 mph.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................2 early in the morning increasing to 48 in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........4   3   3   2   1   0   3   5   8   9   9   10
Weather cov.....ARS WID ARS
Weather type....FST FST FST
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............33  33  37  41  49  53  55  58  60  61  62  63
RH..............76  78  73  63  46  39  35  31  29  27  27  27
20 FT wind dir..W   NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..2   2   1   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.4   4   2       4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.4 4.2 5.0 5.6 6.3 6.6 6.8 6.9 7.0
Transp wind dir.W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W
Transp wind spd.2   2   2   2   3   3   3   5   5   5   6   6
LVORI...........4   4   3   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............2   2   2   4   18  22  24  35  37  38  48  48
Haines index....3   3   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   4   4

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 39.
Max humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 5 mph shifting to the south 5 to
                    6 mph in the late evening and overnight.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................2 to 4.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........8   7   5   10  15  20  28  37  45  44  42  41
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............62  60  56  52  49  47  45  44  43  42  42  42
RH..............28  31  38  42  47  51  52  54  57  59  60  61
20 FT wind dir..W   SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.5   4   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   8
Mix hgt (kft)...6.4 4.3 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.W   SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.5   5   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3
ADI.............2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   4   4
Haines index....4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...TRM
Requested by...Eric R. Hayes Jr.
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411660.0/RLX
.DELDT 04/21/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ehayes@kinlm.com


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