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000
FXUS64 KSHV 230300
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1000 PM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 948 PM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

For this evening`s update, no major wholesale changes are needed.
Another quiet night is in store, with mostly clear skies,
providing optimal viewing conditions for the waxing gibbous moon,
which will become truly full tomorrow evening. This month`s full
moon is known as the Pink Moon, named for the pink creeping
phlox, one of the earliest blooming flowers of Spring.

Temperatures are cooling into the upper 50s and lower 60s as of
the 03Z hour with dewpoints in the mid 40s, allowing for another
full night of radiational cooling to lows in the mid to upper 40s
across the ArkLaTex. Ingested the most recent several hours worth
of temperature and dewpoint observations and interpolated through
to 12Z.

/26/

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 233 PM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

Quiet, slightly cooler weather will continue into the middle of
the week across the Four State Region. This is due to a broad
ridge axis that currently extends across the Mississippi River
Valley into the Appalachian Mountains. This ridging will gradually
progress eastward, reintroducing southerly winds, a chance of
precipitation (north of I-30) and increased fog potential by
tomorrow night. Temperature-wise, this means a gradual warm-up to
near-normal with maximums/minimums in the 70s/50s, respectively.
/16/

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 233 PM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

Chances of rain will accompany a warming trend across the Four
State Region through the rest of the week into the weekend. This
is due to northwesterly flow aloft that transitions to
southwesterly flow by the weekend, steering more disturbances
across the Southern Great Plains that graze parts of our area with
precipitation by midweek (along and north of I-30) with some
potential for severe thunderstorms by Friday and Saturday (mainly
for our western zones). This relatively active pattern will
maintain precipitation chances and continue into early next week.
In the process, temperatures will gradually increase from
maximums/minimums in the lower 60s/lower 80s into the lower
70s/upper 80s, respectively. /16/

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 656 PM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

VFR conditions will continue through the 23/00Z TAF period. SKC
will prevail areawide overnight, although a scattered cu field
may develop in the higher elevations of SE OK/Wrn AR near or just
prior to daybreak Tuesday. An additional scattered cu field
should develop over ECntrl TX between 12-15Z, and spilling into
NE TX by mid to late morning. The cu field should eventually
spread into SW AR/NW LA after 18Z, and across the remainder of the
region by mid to late afternoon. Cu cigs will be possible by
mid/late afternoon over portions of E TX/SE OK/SW AR, before
eventually spilling ENE into NW LA/SCntrl AR Tuesday evening.
Lt/Vrb winds tonight, except S 5-7kts over E TX, will become S
areawide and increase to 7-14kts after 15Z, with gusts to 20-25kts
over E TX/SE OK/extreme SW AR and NW LA. /15/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  50  79  62  83 /   0   0   0  10
MLU  45  77  57  81 /   0   0   0  10
DEQ  46  76  58  75 /   0   0  20  30
TXK  50  78  61  78 /   0   0  10  20
ELD  45  77  57  78 /   0   0   0  20
TYR  51  78  62  82 /   0   0   0  10
GGG  49  78  60  82 /   0   0   0  10
LFK  49  80  60  83 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...26
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...15