Routine Space Environment Product (Daily)
Issued by NWS

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000
FXXX10 KWNP 240031
DAYTDF

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2014 Jul 24 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#             3-Day Forecast
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jul 24-Jul 26 2014 is 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jul 24-Jul 26 2014

            Jul 24     Jul 25     Jul 26
00-03UT        2          2          3
03-06UT        1          2          2
06-09UT        1          2          2
09-12UT        1          2          2
12-15UT        1          2          2
15-18UT        1          2          2
18-21UT        2          2          2
21-00UT        2          3          2

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.  No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-13 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jul 24-Jul 26 2014

              Jul 24  Jul 25  Jul 26
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jul 24-Jul 26 2014

              Jul 24        Jul 25        Jul 26
R1-R2            1%            1%            1%
R3 or greater    1%            1%            1%

Rationale: No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected.  No
significant active region flare activity is forecast.



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