Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS

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780
FNAK51 PAFC 281456
FWFAER

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
656 AM AKDT SAT MAY 28 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM
AKDT SUNDAY FOR THE SUSITNA VALLEY...

.DISCUSSION...
RED FLAG CONDITIONS FOR A COMBINATION OF HIGH TEMPS, LOW RH, AND WINDS ARE
EXPECTED OVER THE SUSITNA VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
THE COPPER RIVER BASIN IS ALSO EXPECTED TO HAVE SIMILAR RH AND WIND VALUES TODAY
BUT IS EXPECTED TO BE A LITTLE COOLER...STAYING JUST BELOW CRITICAL TEMPERATURE
THRESHOLDS.

AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH OVER WESTERN ALASKA AND A TROUGH OVER WESTERN CANADA
CONTINUES NORTHERLY FLOW ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA TODAY. NORTHERLY
GAP FLOWS CONTINUE ACROSS THE COPPER RIVER BASIN AND OVER THE SUSITNA VALLEY
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE REGION ARE EXPECTED TO BE
FAIRLY WARM AGAIN TODAY WITH MANY INLAND AREAS IN THE 70S. THE SUSITNA VALLEY
COULD BE PUSHING 80 DEGREES IN A FEW SPOTS. RH VALUES IN THE COPPER RIVER BASIN
AND SUSITNA VALLEY ARE EXPECTED TO DIP INTO THE TEENS THIS AFTERNOON. COOLER
AIR SPREADS WEST ACROSS THE COPPER RIVER BASIN SUNDAY WITH A UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH. INCREASED CLOUD COVER WITH THIS FEATURE SHOULD TEND TO DAMPER INLAND
TEMPS. HOWEVER...INLAND AREAS WEST OF THE COPPER RIVER BASIN WILL HAVE
AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE 70S. COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COASTS
WITH AFTERNOON AND EVENING SEA BREEZES THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE UPPER SHORT WAVE UNDERCUTTING THE MAINLAND RIDGE ON SUNDAY
WILL SPREAD SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL BY SUNDAY
EVENING. THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL ALSO SPREAD WEST WITH THE
COPPER RIVER BASIN AND TALKEETNA MOUNTAINS THE FAVORED LOCATIONS
SUNDAY.



AKZ101-290500-
ANCHORAGE-
INCLUDING...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...INDIAN...EKLUTNA
656 AM AKDT SAT MAY 28 2016

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP      0            0            20
TEMP (24H TREND)   57-63 (-2)   48 (+1)      60-67
RH % (24H TREND)   33-50 (+1)   73-79 (0)    21-36
20FTWND(MPH)       N 6-9        N 5-8        E 3-7
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP      0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)   69-75 (+1)   50 (+1)      73
RH % (24H TREND)   32 (-4)      79 (+1)      31
20FTWND(MPH)       N 4-8        NW 2-7       NE 2-6
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ111-290500-
MATANUSKA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...PALMER...WASILLA...SUTTON...CHICKALOON
656 AM AKDT SAT MAY 28 2016

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP      0            0            20
TEMP (24H TREND)   59-66 (0)    46 (0)       58-67
RH % (24H TREND)   30-42 (-3)   71-80 (+2)   25-39
20FTWND(MPH)       NE 5-10      NE 4-10      E 5-11
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP      0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)   71-77 (+2)   50 (+2)      75
RH % (24H TREND)   23-30 (-2)   78 (+2)      30
20FTWND(MPH)       NE 1-8       E 2-6        E 3-9
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ121-290500-
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER...COOPER LANDING
656 AM AKDT SAT MAY 28 2016

.INLAND AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP      0            0            20
TEMP (24H TREND)   63-72 (0)    48 (+2)      62-69
RH % (24H TREND)   24-40 (-1)   81 (+2)      28-42
20FTWND(MPH)       N 3-7        NW 4-8       NE 2-7
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.COASTAL AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP      0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)   59-67 (-2)   49 (+1)      59-68
RH % (24H TREND)   37-53 (+5)   80 (+2)      33-49
20FTWND(MPH)       NW 1-6       W 4-6        N 3-6
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ125-290500-
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING...WHITTIER...SEWARD...GIRDWOOD...MOOSE PASS
656 AM AKDT SAT MAY 28 2016

.INLAND AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        MCLEAR       CLEAR        PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP      0            0            20
TEMP (24H TREND)   55-68 (-1)   49 (+1)      57-64
RH % (24H TREND)   28-54 (-1)   82-88 (+1)   27-49
20FTWND(MPH)       N 3-6        N 4-8        E 4-9
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.COASTAL AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        MCLEAR       CLEAR        PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP      0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)   61 (0)       50 (-1)      55-61
RH % (24H TREND)   50-62 (+4)   78-87 (+3)   40-57
20FTWND(MPH)       NW 2-8       NW 4-9       NE 3-7
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

AKZ141-290500-
COPPER RIVER BASIN-
INCLUDING...GLENNALLEN...EUREKA...MCCARTHY...PAXSON...SLANA
656 AM AKDT SAT MAY 28 2016

                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP      0            20           40
TEMP (24H TREND)   62-71 (+2)   44 (-1)      60-67
RH % (24H TREND)   18-32 (-2)   61-74 (+7)   22-32
20FTWND(MPH)       NE 5-12G20   NE 6-15      E 4-12
CWR                0            0            10
LAL                1            1            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ145-290500-
SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...TALKEETNA...WILLOW...CANTWELL
656 AM AKDT SAT MAY 28 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM
AKDT SUNDAY FOR THE SUSITNA VALLEY...

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        MCLEAR       CLEAR        CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP      0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)   61-68 (+2)   41-47 (0)    60-69
RH % (24H TREND)   27-37 (-5)   67-82 (0)    20-29
20FTWND(MPH)       NE 5-13G20   NE 9-17      NE 7-15G20
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        MCLEAR       CLEAR        CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP      0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)   70-79 (+2)   51 (+2)      76
RH % (24H TREND)   18-26 (-2)   74 (-2)      21-27
20FTWND(MPH)       N 5-15G20    N 5-14G20    NE 5-15G20
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ171-290500-
KODIAK ISLAND-
INCLUDING...KODIAK CITY
656 AM AKDT SAT MAY 28 2016

.INLAND AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP      0            0            30
TEMP (24H TREND)   52-59 (-6)   44 (0)       53-60
RH % (24H TREND)   52-70 (+16)  96 (+2)      48-64
20FTWND(MPH)       NW 3-6       W 4-7        NW 4-6
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.COASTAL AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP      0            0            30
TEMP (24H TREND)   52-58 (-5)   47 (0)       53-59
RH % (24H TREND)   53-69 (+13)  93 (0)       53-66
20FTWND(MPH)       W 3-9        SW 5-10      W 3-11
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS AROUND 50. EAST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.

$$



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