Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 270930
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
430 AM EST THU NOV 27 2014

.DISCUSSION...

WHILE IT WILL NOT BE QUITE AS COLD AS LAST THANKSGIVING WHEN
TEMPERATURES DID NOT MAKE IT OUT OF THE 20S...TODAY WILL BE ON THE
COLD SIDE OF NORMAL WITH THE MERCURY REACHING CLOSE TO FREEZING. THE
COLD WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH BLACK FRIDAY...ALONG WITH SOME
SNOW SHOWERS THAT WILL ACCUMULATE A FEW INCHES SOUTHEAST OF BOTH
LAKES. IT WILL BECOME NOTICEABLY MILDER DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE
HOLIDAY WEEKEND WHEN THERE WILL BE THE CHANCE FOR SOME SPOTTY LIGHT
RAIN AND WET SNOW SHOWERS.

NYZ001-002-010-011-272100-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
430 AM EST THU NOV 27 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30           40            0
PRECIP TYPE                  FLURRIES SNOW SHOWERS         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       33           24           31
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                      W 13
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  7         W  5         W 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.01         0.09         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     5            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         6 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               59           85           51
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5310          830         5030
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 10         W  7        NW 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               53100         5810        90540
DISPERSION INDEX                   53            6           91
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-272100-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
430 AM EST THU NOV 27 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50           70           50
PRECIP TYPE                  FLURRIES         SNOW SNOW SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       31           20           28
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                      W 11
PM WIND (MPH)                   NW  8         W  7         W 10
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.03         0.25         0.04
PRECIP DURATION                     4            9            3
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING         5 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               63           93           55
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5820          680         5760
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 12         W 18        NW 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               69840        12240       115200
DISPERSION INDEX                   70           12          115
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-272100-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
430 AM EST THU NOV 27 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     60           40           50
PRECIP TYPE                      SNOW SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       34           23           32
AM WIND (MPH)                   NW  6                      W 11
PM WIND (MPH)                   NW  6      LGT/VAR         W 13
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.07         0.13         0.09
PRECIP DURATION                     6            5            3
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING        12 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               60           82           49
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5140          570         7650
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 10         W  8        NW 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               51400         4560       130050
DISPERSION INDEX                   51            5          130
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-272100-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
430 AM EST THU NOV 27 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30           40           40
PRECIP TYPE                  FLURRIES SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       33           20           31
AM WIND (MPH)                    N  5                     NW  6
PM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR         W  8
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.02         0.10         0.08
PRECIP DURATION                     5            6            4
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING         9 AM
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               59           89           52
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4840         1480         6400
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW  7        NW 13         W 15
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               33880        19240        96000
DISPERSION INDEX                   34           19           96
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 30S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.

WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$

RSH





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