Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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409
FNUS51 KBUF 262333
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
733 PM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION INTO THE EVENING...AND THE
COLDER AIR IN ITS WAKE WILL GENERATE SOME LAKE EFFECT RAIN SHOWERS
NORTHEAST OF THE LAKES ON TUESDAY MORNING. A SLOW MOVING STORM
SYSTEM TO OUR SOUTH COULD THEN KEEP SOMEWHAT UNSETTLED WEATHER OVER
OUR REGION THROUGH MUCH OF THE REST OF THE WEEK.

NYZ001-002-010-011-270900-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
733 PM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

                              TONIGHT          TUE    TUE NIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     80           60            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS         NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       50           66           45           71
AM WIND (MPH)                                SW  7                     SE  6
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  9        SW 11         S  6        SE  7
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.10         0.16         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     4            7
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         6 PM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)              100           38           86           38
HAINES INDEX                        3            4            5            5
LAL                                 4            1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                70         8410            0         9140
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S  6        SW 23         S  5         E 11
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                 420       193430            0       100540
DISPERSION INDEX                    0          193            0          101
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-270900-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
733 PM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

                              TONIGHT          TUE    TUE NIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY       MCLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                    100            0            0           30
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS         NONE         NONE      SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       46           66           43           69
AM WIND (MPH)                                SW  8                     SE  6
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW  7        SW 10         S  6        SE  7
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.11         0.00         0.00         0.05
PRECIP DURATION                     3                                      1
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 PM                                   2 PM
PRECIP END                      10 PM                             CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)              100           34           87           36
HAINES INDEX                        3            4            4            4
LAL                                 4            1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                10         8560            0         8800
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W  9        SW 19         S  5        SE 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  90       162640            0        88000
DISPERSION INDEX                    0          163            0           88
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-270900-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
733 PM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

                              TONIGHT          TUE    TUE NIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY       MCLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                    100            0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS         NONE         NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       51           69           45           72
AM WIND (MPH)                                SW  6                     SE  6
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW  7        SW  8      LGT/VAR        SE  7
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.22         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     6
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 PM
PRECIP END                       1 AM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)              100           34           85           36
HAINES INDEX                        3            4            5            5
LAL                                 4            1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)               100         8860            0         7570
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW  5        SW 14         S  3         E 11
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                 500       124040            0        83270
DISPERSION INDEX                    1          124            0           83
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-270900-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
733 PM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

                              TONIGHT          TUE    TUE NIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                    100            0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS         NONE         NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       51           67           44           70
AM WIND (MPH)                                SW  5                     SE  5
PM WIND (MPH)                    S 10        SW  6      LGT/VAR         E  6
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.25         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     5
PRECIP BEGIN                     7 PM
PRECIP END                       4 AM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)              100           40           93           43
HAINES INDEX                        2            4            4            4
LAL                                 4            1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)               210         8810            0         8390
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW  8        SW 11         N  2        SE 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                1680        96910            0        83900
DISPERSION INDEX                    2           97            0           84
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 50S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.

WIND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...EAST AROUND 5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$



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